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USING CLIMATOLOGY TO FORECAST THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO

USING CLIMATOLOGY TO FORECAST THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO. Stan Rose, Meteorologist, National Weather Service, Pueblo, CO. Microburst Winds. Damaging Winds. Thunderstorms can produce strong damaging wind gusts up to 100 mph.

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USING CLIMATOLOGY TO FORECAST THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO

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  1. USING CLIMATOLOGY TO FORECAST THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO Stan Rose, Meteorologist, National Weather Service, Pueblo, CO

  2. Microburst Winds

  3. Damaging Winds • Thunderstorms can produce strong damaging wind gusts up to 100 mph. • Cold dense rain cooled air accelerates down from the thunderstorm base and spreads outward along the ground creating strong outflow winds.

  4. Aircraft Induced Lightning

  5. Thunderstorms • Ingredients for a Thunderstorm • Moisture • Instability • Lift • Sun warms the ground and the air begins to rise (convection) • Clouds form and build into thunderstorms as moisture condenses within the rising bubbles of air

  6. NWS Pueblo’s County Warning and Forecast Area

  7. Severe Winds, Southeast Colorado

  8. Time of Severe Weather

  9. Lightning Flash Density

  10. The Monsoon

  11. Annual Lightning Density,Southeast Colorado

  12. Lightning Flash Density COS PUB

  13. Lightning Density: June COS PUB

  14. Lightning Density: August COS PUB

  15. Lightning Density: September COS PUB

  16. Lightning Density: October COS PUB

  17. Lightning Density: 17Z COS PUB

  18. Lightning Density: 18Z COS PUB

  19. Lightning Density: 19Z COS PUB

  20. Lightning Density: 22Z COS PUB

  21. Lightning Density: 01Z COS PUB

  22. Lightning Density: 03Z COS PUB

  23. Lightning Density: March COS PUB

  24. March 23, 2010 8 pm MDT IR satellite L

  25. Radar, 8:48pm

  26. METARs 10 pm MST

  27. July 14, 2011 00Z

  28. TAFS: For Colorado Springs, Pueblo: August KCOS 081200Z 0812/1612 36008KT P6SM FEW100 SCT200 FM081600 14010KT P6SM SCT100 SCT150 FM082100 16012KT P6SM VCTS SCT070CB BKN100 FM090100 07012KT P6SM SCT060 BKN120 KPUB 081200Z 0812/0912 30007KT P6SM SCT200 FM081600 12010KT P6SM SCT120 SCT200 FM082200 12015KT P6SM VCTS SCT080CB BKN120 FM090100 09012KT P6SM FEW080 SCT150

  29. THAT’S ALL FOLKS!!

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