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Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4 The Record of Dortmund-Sheffield Exchanges Nick Fieller Department of Probability & Statistics, University of Sheffield visiting Fachbereich Statistik, Universit ät Dortmund 8 th March 2004. Zzzz. Zzzz. Synopsis
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Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4 The Record of Dortmund-Sheffield Exchanges Nick Fieller Department of Probability & Statistics, University of Sheffield visiting Fachbereich Statistik, Universität Dortmund 8th March 2004 Zzzz Zzzz Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Synopsis • The Universities of Dortmund & Sheffield have had a formal Academic Cooperation Agreement since 1980 which is renowned throughout both countries and further afield. • How did this develop? • Who was involved? • What are the benefits? Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Outline • Historical Development • Personalities • Statistical analysis • Benefits • Statistics in Sheffield Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Historical Development • The story starts in Karlsruhe, 1976 • ICME 1976 • International Congress on Mathematical Education • [chance?] meeting between Peter Holmes, Vic Barnett & Fred Eicker • Vic :– Head of Department in Sheffield • Peter :– Director of Statistical Education Centre • Discovered common interest in Statistical Education, particularly at school level Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
I recall Vic reporting later in Sheffield that he had met a Professor from a German University which had a new Statistics Department & • This Department ‘felt lonely’ since it was the only real statistics department in the country, so had suggested forming a link with Sheffield. Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Various meetings and visits followed: • Particularly:– • Vic Barnett and Clive Anderson • Siegfried Heiler, Fred Eicker, Wolfgang Urfer • A draft proposal was drawn up & signed on 11 November 1979 • A formal Programme of Academic Cooperationwas signed in Dortmund on 8 August 1980 Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
The first six students from Dortmund came to Sheffield in October 1980 • & every year from then until 2002 • I (& family) spent three months in Dortmund in Spring, 1981 • Wolfgang & Barbara Urfer came to Sheffield in Spring 1981 for a month • [kindly lending us their flat…] • In 1982 the first Sheffield student came to Dortmund • & the second in 1994, the 3rd in 2000, 4th 2003! Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Other Landmarks: • 1988: – Start of ERASMUS scheme by EU • University of Lisbon joins as a third partner to form network • Provides generous funding for staff travel • Annual Sheffield meeting for all network coordinators • Bilateral visits • 1991:– the 100th student from Dortmund comes to Sheffield –– Mathias Rusert Bob Loynes presents a beer tankard to Mathias Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Other Landmarks: • 1987: – Start of ERASMUS scheme by EU • University of Lisbon joins as a third partner to form a network • Provides generous funding for staff travel • Annual Sheffield meeting for all network coordinators • Bilateral visits • 1991:– the 100th student from Dortmund comes to Sheffield –– Mathias Rusert • 1989 : other partners join the network • UPC Barcelona, Amsterdam, AUEB Athens, Perugia, Montpellier, Tampere, • Many student exchanges in all directions • (especially from Dortmund) • ~ 40 incoming students to Sheffield each year 1990–95 Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
1994:– Last meeting of Erasmus network coordinators in Sheffield Luigi(Perugia) Ali(Montpellier) Wolfgang(Dortmund) Kiki(Athens) Lupe(Barcelona) Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
A Solar Eclipse marks the event Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Since then Erasmus Network replaced by Socrates bilateral agreements: • Less money • More bureaucracy But • Sheffield students started to travel • New degree scheme MMath(Eur) allows 30% of time studying language • German/French/Italian/Spanish/Dutch/Catalan • Took 7 years from 1st idea to 1st student abroad Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
France • 14 Montpellier • 5 Versailles • 3 Caen • 4 Le Mans • Spain • 2 Barcelona • Italy • 1 Perugia • Germany/Austria • 2 Dortmund • 5 Augsburg • 2 Dresden • 1 Kaiserslautern • 2 Graz • Netherlands • 1 Amsterdam enough of history……… 42 in Total Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Personalities: • The first ambassadors in 1980:– • Heiko Becher • Sabine Brenneisen • Soeren Kristiansen • Petra Neumann • Willi Sauerbrei • Wolfgang Schumann Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Heiko Sabine Soeren Petra Willi Wolfgang Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Followed by: • 1981:– • Gisella Kesting • and in 1982:– • Arno Schell • Rainer Muche Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
And in 1983:– • Marita Durek • Reiner Latsch • Uwe Müller • Christoph Schröder • Claudia Spix Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Via:– Berthold Lausen 1984 Sabine Landau 1985 Johannes Faßbinder 1989 Dietrich Alte 1995 Vivian Lanius 1997 Achim Zeileis 1998 Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
To the most recent (2002) Wiebke Haupt Henrike Feuersenger Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Including several family pairs:– Astrid (1999) & Henrike (2003) Feuersenger Note: one of these was NOT a student in Sheffield Klaus (1993) & Joerg (1995) Langohr Ulrike (1995) & Siegfried Schach Viviane (1987) & Veit (1994) Grunert Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Frühling 1981 Including several family pairs:– Astrid (1999) & Henrike (2003) Feuersenger Klaus (1993) & Joerg (1995) Langohr Daniel Fieller Ulrike (1995) & Siegfried Schach Viviane (1987) & Veit (1994) Grunert Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
& not forgetting • Stephanie Scheid • Klaus Nordhausen • Frauke Jantzen who took my Medical Statistics course in Tampere, April 2000 • (& with apologies to the 200+ not commemorated here) Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
The Sheffield 4 in the other direction:– Peter Cooper (1982) Polly Hardy (1994) Christine Romslo (2000) Rhiannon Maudsley (2003) Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Peter Cooper (1982) Polly Hardy (1994) Now lecturing in Medical Statistics in London (LSH&TM) Christine Romslo (2000) Rhiannon Maudsley (2003) Now working at Girling in Köln Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Peter Cooper (1982) Polly Hardy (1994) (50% English) (English) Christine Romslo (2000) Rhiannon Maudsley (2003) (Norwegian) (Welsh) Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
To be followed by next year:– Gemma Stephenson & Oliver John Both English — 133% increase in total! Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
15 • Statistical Analysis — Future Trends trend 10 Zero in 2003 Dortmund ??? 2004/5/6 5 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Sheffield Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
15 • Statistical Analysis — Future Trends trend 10 Zero in 2003 Dortmund ??? 2004/5/6 5 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 The Kramer-Huff Upper Bound may not apply in this case 2 Sheffield 1 2000 2003 2004 Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Two useful statistical guides :– Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
The new edition very Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Objectives • Original Agreement called for • Student Exchange • Take courses, transfer credits • Staff Exchange • Visits for 1-6 months • Material Exchange • Research reports, papers,… • Seminars/Colloquia • Workshops, conferences • Statistical Education • Especially school level Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Student exchange • Yes (and improving) • Staff Exchange • Most Sheffield staff visited Dortmund in 1980 – 83 • Many Dortmund staff visited Sheffield • Only 1 extended visit (me in 1981) • Very few visits in last 10 years • Material Exchange • Sheffield research reports sent to Dortmund • None received from Dortmund for ? years Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Seminars/Colloquia • First Anglo-German Statistical Conference in Dortmund, 1982 • Second one in …………?? • Statistical Education • Any joint activity?? Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Objectives • Original Agreement called for • Student Exchange • Staff Exchange • Material Exchange • Seminars/Colloquia • Statistical Education Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Benefits • Clear benefits to participating students • Many participants now in major positions • Clear personal development • (especially noticed in returning Sheffield students in last 6 years) • Maybe partly self-selection but not entirely Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Clear benefit to Sheffield • It’s a pleasure to have some of the best students from the best Universities across Europe • Good for ‘ordinary’ Sheffield students • If they won’t go to Europe then I’ll bring Europe to them • Provides a significant source of PhD (& MSc) students • Viviane Grunert • + 6 other PhDs + 8 MSc Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Our Dortmund visitors particularly show our students different attitudes to study and different ways of approaching work • Especially good in collaborative data analysis projects • We particularly appreciate the courtesy when Dortmund students switch to English when talking to each other. Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Statistics in Sheffield • Bayesian Statistics • Major Bayesian Statistics group in UK • Tony O’Hagan + 50% of Department • Health Economics • National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) • Risk Assessment in Industry and Government • Environmental Statistics Clive Anderson et al • Archaeostatistics • Caitlin Buck, Paul Blackwell (& me) Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
My interests:– Currently 6 PhD students • Facial identification • Multivariate shape analysis • Use of statistics in forensic evidence • Funded by US Government (FBI) • Archaeostatistics • Tree-ring sequences, Robust Time Series analysis • Bioinformatics • Microarrays, tumour images, high content cell biology • Funded by AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals • Design of Clinical Trials • Covariate adaptive methods Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Bioinformatics: Data from microarrays gives gene expression levels for ~13,000 genes. Very high dimensional data sets, very ‘noisy’ data, subject to contamination Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Bioinformatics (ctd.): E14M34: 50mg dose NMR Images of tumour before & after treatment: use statistical characterization of images as measure of response to treatment. Very high dimensional data sets, very ‘noisy’ data, subject to contamination ……. Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
hit potent hit compound fluorescence over- confluency toxicity imaging error Norak Transfluor HTS – samples of images High Content Cell Biology non-hit false positives Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Archaeostatistics: PhD student Julie Hopkins measuring mummy pots in British Museum, April 1997. What was their provenance? Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Saqqara, Egypt At top of 10m shaft leading to labyrinth Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Sample size calculations are important……………. Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Inside labyrinth: note broken pots Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004
Intact pots in situ in labyrinth gallery Now need a random sample of size 20…………Complex sampling problems, messy data, …….. Dortmund 227, Sheffield 4; Dortmund, 8/3/2004