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The President I

The President I. 2/9/2012. Clearly Stated Learning Objectives. Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: understand and interpret the United States Constitution and apply it to the present (the sections on the presidency and Electoral College).

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The President I

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  1. The President I 2/9/2012

  2. Clearly Stated Learning Objectives • Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: • understand and interpret the United States Constitution and apply it to the present (the sections on the presidency and Electoral College). • assess the 2008 & 2012 Presidential Elections without resorting to partisan bickering. • identify and explain the role of formal and informal institutions and their effect on policy.

  3. Office Hours and Readings • Readings- Chapter 9 on the President • Office Hours • Today 12-2 • Wednesday 10-2

  4. Who are our Presidents?

  5. Simple Requirements (Article II) • Natural Born Citizen • 35 Years Old • 14 years a resident

  6. Our Presidents Historically • Most are in their 50’s at time of election • Most are Lawyers • Most are of English Ancestry • All but one has been Protestant

  7. How many and how much power? The Debate on the executive

  8. On an executive • The Articles Lacked one • We feared monarchy • We Feared Tyranny The Country Needed one

  9. What the Debate centered on • How Many • A Singular executive vs. a plural executive • How Much Power • Tyranny vs impotence • What is the safe and effective combination?

  10. Option I: A Monarch • Advantages • Disadvantages

  11. Option II: A Plural executive • Advantages • Disadvantages

  12. Option III: A Weak Executive • Advantages • Disadvantages

  13. Option IV: A Strong Executive • Advantages • Disadvantages

  14. Balancing it out

  15. The history of nominations Choosing a presidential Nominee

  16. Congressional Caucus Method (1800-1828) • Parties in Congress picked the Nominees • Problems • What ends it

  17. The Party Convention System • Lasts until the 1970’s • Party leaders picked nominees at national conventions

  18. The End of the Party System • Problems with it • A Focusing Event • Who Loses

  19. The Current system • Voter-centered, rather than party centered • Binding Primaries and Caucuses • A Race for Delegates

  20. In 2008 (The Democrats)

  21. The Republicans in 2008

  22. The Impact of The Current System • Advantages • Disadvantages

  23. So You want to be president? Getting the nomination

  24. Step 1 Don’t Sit back at wait • You have to participate in the invisible primary • If you wait, your window might close

  25. When You can Run? • Never Take a candidate on their word • You can run whenever, but things can make it difficult • You have to Wait for your Window • GOP (as early as 2016, as late as 2024) • Democrats (as early as 2016, as late as 2028)

  26. Step 2: Have a “Presidential Job”

  27. The Current GOP Field Presidential Jobs Non-Presidential Jobs House Members Gingrich Bachmann Paul Other Herman Cain • Governors • Perry • Romney • Huntsman • Senators • Santorum

  28. Step 3: Be Prepared to Spend Money • Money Buys Organization • Money Buys Name Recognition • Money Converts itself

  29. Federal Money vs. Self-financing

  30. The Effect of Money on Campaigns • How it has changed the primary campaign • How important is it? • Where We stand

  31. Step 4:Getting Delegates • Primaries • Caucuses • Which helped Obama?

  32. Delegate Apportionment The Democrats The Republicans Fewer Delegates More winner-take-all states • More Delegates • Proportional Representation • Super Delegates

  33. Front-loading of Delegates

  34. Frontloading and 2012 • The GOP is making more states use proportional representation • They do not want an early nominee. • Pro’s and Cons of a longer primary?

  35. Delegates Matter

  36. Step 5: Momentum • Looking like a winner and Actually winning • Media coverage goes to those who can win. • Be the last person standing (winnowing)

  37. The First Four • Iowa • New Hampshire • South Carolina • Florida

  38. The Clinton Strategy: 2008 • Deliver the Knock-out blow on super-tuesday • Reload • Watch the GOP fight it out all spring

  39. How Mc Cain Wins Early: 2008 • Winner-take-all states • Romney and Huckabee go after each other • The Early win is A blessing and a curse for McCain

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