220 likes | 411 Views
CREATE A National Center of Excellence. Stephen Hora, Director The National Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events University of Southern California. The First Homeland Security Center of Excellence.
E N D
CREATE A National Center of Excellence Stephen Hora, Director The National Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events University of Southern California
The First Homeland Security Center of Excellence • “…establish a coordinated, university-based system to enhance the Nation's homeland security.” • Funded by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security • Based at the university of Southern California • CREATE is now in its 8th year of operation • 200+ projects • 1250 research papers • 230 students trained
Faculty &Students Dept. of Homeland Security Agencies and Businesses Outreach Risk & Decision Operations Research Education Economics Research
USSR SA-7 --- 1968 MANPADS – Surface to Air Missiles US REDEYE --- 1967
Alternatives • Status Quo • Countermeasures • Infrared jammers • Flares • Hardening airplanes • Perimeter control
Life-Cycle Cost = 30 billion
Tactical Usage: Port Security Officer Optimize Available Here Calculated Risk for the Highlighted Region List of Available/Used Countermeasures/Resources Resources Assigned to the Highlighted Region Resource Allocation Options Critical Regions Color Coded to Reflect Calculated Risk 15
Seattle Anthrax Study • What decisions do people make? • What factors do they pay attention to? • How can we better communicate? • How is fear transmitted and amplified? • What are the long run impacts? • How can we build resilience?
Lower Manhattan • Wall Street • World Trade Center Site • Downtown Los Angeles • Staples Center
Potential Portfolios of Security Measures Tradeoff (indifference curve) Risk Intolerant Economic Activity Risk
Potential Portfolios of Security Measures Economic Activity Risk