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Steger Chap 3

Steger Chap 3. Chap 3 -- Economic Dimension of Globalization. Transformation of the late 20 th century: Four major points/eras of this chapter. Prologue – collapse of old Imperial Capitalist System and WWII as a scramble for resources

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Steger Chap 3

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  1. Steger Chap 3 Chap 3 -- Economic Dimension of Globalization

  2. Transformation of the late 20th century: Four major points/eras of this chapter • Prologue – collapse of old Imperial Capitalist System and WWII as a scramble for resources • Part 1: 1944 -- Keynesian Economic Revolution bringing in Brenton Woods system including UN, IMF, World Bank, GATT, fixed exchange rates … Golden age of controlled Capitalism and Pax American • Part 2: 1970s – Economic Drift -- end of fixed exchange rates, stagflation, energy “crisis” • Part 3: 1980s --Neoliberal era, Free markets, globalization and free(er) trade – WTO, NAFTA, Washington Consensus • Today: Post 2008 Crisis??? And Beijing Consensus

  3. Metaphor • Prologue – Dr. Jekyll & Mr. Hyde • Part 1 – Dr. Jeckyll • Part 2 -- ??? • Part 3 – Mr. Hyde • Today -- Dr. Jekyll vs. Mr. Hyde??? F. Hayek: Liberty of Free Market J.M. Keynes: Govt. Intervention

  4. Prologue: World Wide Depression –causes – still debated • Stock market crash • Beggaring thy neighbor through tariffs and eventually exchange rate manipulation • GOLD STANDARD - maybe up to 90% of the cause for the Great Depression lasting (forced interest rates up and production down) • Purchasing power declines: Demand for goods declines, work declines, loans decline, and prices decline • Massive unemployment

  5. Prologue • Period of “beggaring thy neighbor” http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iVHJ3_FJZKg (Smoot Hawley in 8 minutes) https://www.cato.org/multimedia/cato-video/smoot-hawley-tariff-act-legacy (Smoot Hawley in 3 minutes from CATO Institute – libertarian think tank founded by Charles Koch and others) • How the Gold Standard “Caused” the Great Depression (21 minutes) http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2011/02/18/133874462/the-friday-podcast-gold-standard-r-i-p

  6. Prologue – Smoot-Hawley https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uhiCFdWeQfA

  7. INTERNATIONAL: DECLINING TRADE End Gold Standard Smoot-Hawley

  8. National Market: Unemployment

  9. Part 1: Keynesian Revolution Government Intervention

  10. Overview: John Maynard Keynes and controlled capitalism https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qtAeINU3FKM&list=PLwxNMb28XmpeuwUhM0OT338_T5XTtJJok

  11. Keynesian Multiplier • The STATE has an active role in making an economy work • Create Demand if the private sector doesn’t • Govt. borrows money • Buys goods • As economy improves tax returns increase (multiply) • Govt. then pays off loan with increased tax returns

  12. Part 1: 1944-1971 Brenton Woods as the key event • 1944 Brenton Woods International Monetary Conference video -- event only 1 minute http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GVytOtfPZe8 • GATT/WTO http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=27J3CByXKowTrade and Smoot Hawley, and what eventually emerges 5 minutes event – 1 minute

  13. Overcome the problems of the first half of the 20th century Three Goals • Stable International Currencies – based on US Dollar and only tangentially on Gold – but individual American citizens can’t own gold (finally fully changes in 1975) • Expand International Trade & create wealth • Promote peace & stability

  14. Under the guise of Pax Americana & UN three organizations established to promote goals • IMF (International Monetary Fund) – create rules on currencies & guarantee its stability • World Bank – provide loans for reconstruction and development – promote growth around the world • WTO (initially GATT) – promote international trade by lowering tariffs and standardizing rules • Pax American is linchpin along with UN especially Security Council

  15. Examples of expected results • Working for a World Free of Poverty –World Bankhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wq4Es_yB1d4&feature=relmfu  (8 minutes) • World Development Report 2020 – World Bankhttps://www.worldbank.org/en/news/video/2019/05/08/world-development-report-2020-trading-for-development

  16. Part 1 Summary Under this system currency exchange values were fixed to a modified gold peg via the US $ – agreement called “Brenton Woods System” • “Golden age of controlled Capitalism” • Western Europe fostered Welfare states • Rich People and Corporations funded much of welfare system • Trade grew • Middle Class grew

  17. Part 2: Economic Drift

  18. Phase 2: 1971-1980 Stagflation Era • Fixed exchange rates caused a massive gold outflow from the US to other countries • Slowed economy • Inflation – money worth less • No easy way to adjust downward US Dollar • Oil shocks from Middle East drove up the price of energy

  19. UndCOMMENTS (5) John Paul Koning's recent work on the Gold Standard from 1934-1971 is phenomenal. In this two part essay, he details the U.S. Government's attempts to keep the price of gold pegged to $35/ounce. Throughout the work he details how the government'sefforts always failed and the drastic measures employed to keep the price pegged, including resorting to military force. He even includes a couple of pretty charts =D[Koning is a financial writer and graphic designer] http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/understanding-why-the-gold/173502 Nixon Ends Bretton Woods International Monetary System http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iRzr1QU6K1o&feature=relmfu

  20. Oil Shocks

  21. Defining Stagflation • Stagflation, a portmanteau of stagnation and inflation, is a term used in economics to describe a situation where the inflation rate is high, the economic growth rate slows down, and unemployment remains steadily high. • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YRFX1y9-e_4-- simple definition

  22. Summary • Energy prices soared, • Growth stagnated, • Unemployment grew, • Relationship of currencies out of balance, • Entitlements were a drag on economies Bottom line: common person got less and less • Brenton Woods System abandoned – exchange of currencies allowed to freely float • Period of economic drift • Keynes falls out of favor

  23. Part 3: Neoliberal Era Free markets and privatization rule Globalization

  24. Supply side Thinking & Neo Liberalism Friedrich Hayek https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SHsCkinrCPE&list=PLwxNMb28XmpeuwUhM0OT338_T5XTtJJok&index=4

  25. Quick Summary of Hayak’s ideas • The Constitution of Liberty • https://www.studocu.com/en/document/university-of-massachusetts-boston/political-economy/lecture-notes/the-constitution-of-liberty-summary/1528792/view

  26. Phase 3: 1980-present Neoliberal Era Neoliberalism -- Main points of theory • Markets are self-regulating and efficient • Supply and demand balances based on price • Regulation leads to inefficiencies and eventual social stagnation, political corruption, & unresponsive state bureaucracies • Markets create sort of economic Darwinism – fittest survive

  27. Concrete example of Neo Liberals • mon·e·ta·rism •  (mŏn′ĭ-tə-rĭz′əm, mŭn′-)n.1. A theory holding that economic variations within a given system, such as changing rates of inflation, are most often caused by increases or decreases in the money supply. • 2. A policy that seeks to regulate an economy by altering the domestic money supply, especially by increasing it in a moderate but steady manner. • http://www.thefreedictionary.com/monetarist

  28. Reagonomics followed by Clinton Deregulation DEFINITION of 'Reaganomics' A popular term used to refer to the economic policies of Ronald Reagan, the 40th U.S. President (1981–1989), which called for widespread tax cuts, decreased social spending, increased military spending, and the deregulation of domestic markets. • Reaganomics Definition | Investopedia • Trickle down, supply-side…

  29. Significant developments of era • Collapse of Soviet Empire gave further fuel to this movement • Significant developments of era • Internationalization of trade & finance (NAFTA, EU…) • Increasing power of TNCs (trans national companies) • Enhanced role of IMF, World Bank, WTO…

  30. 1. Internationalization of Trade – Free(er) Trade • Proponents View • More choice • Greater global wealth • Secure International Peace • Spread of Technology • Global Financial Flows Opponents View

  31. 1. Internationalization of Trade – Free(er) Trade • Alternate issues • Crises become more common and bigger • 1994 Mexican Financial Crisis (one country) • 1997 SE and E Asia (group of countries) • 1998 Russian Debt Crisis (one country) • 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) (whole world) • Global investment flees and one crisis causes another Easy availability of credit in the US, fueled by large inflows of foreign funds after the Russian debt crisis and Asian financial crisis of the 1997–1998 period, led to a housing construction boom and facilitated debt-financed consumer spending.

  32. Internationalization of Trade – Free(er) Trade • Opponents View • Gap between rich and poor countries growing • Distribution inside countries also can worsen • New international financial trading not supplying capital for productive investment, gambling on future profits -- Hedge funds & “Casino Capitalism”???

  33. 2. Power of TNCs • Facts • 200 largest TNCs are ½ of World’s industrial output • All located in N. America (1 in Mexico), Japan, Europe, & S. Korea (China is entering) • Rival size of Nation States in Economic Might • Top 100 economic units 58 are countries 42 are TNCs

  34. 3. Enhanced Role of International Economic Institutions • “Washington Consensus” – is it actually good or bad for the world?

  35. Washington Consensus What the Developing World Should DO

  36. 5. World Turned Upside Down?

  37. 5. Beyond Neoliberal Approach???

  38. Davos: World Economic Forum 2014 Global Risk Report

  39. Thomas Piketty The book's central thesis is that when the rate of return on capital (r) is greater than the rate of economic growth (g) over the long term, the result is concentration of wealth, and this unequal distribution of wealth causes social and economic instability. Piketty proposes a global system of progressivewealth taxes to help reduce inequality and avoid the vast majority of wealth coming under the control of a tiny minority.

  40. Casino Capitalism Synthetic CDO  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EEXTqtH-Oo4

  41. Marxist Geographer David Harvey on the G20, the Financial Crisis and Neoliberalism. 4/2/09 1 of 3 • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HkTMO93Jyp0

  42. David Harvey on post-Neoliberalism, Trump, infrastructure, sharing economy, smart city https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wb6rhHyJJ_4

  43. View from UK There are two big reasons for neoliberal thinking still holding sway. First, things have not been bad enough for a paradigm shift. By the end of the second world war, the Keynesian revolution was sufficiently developed for the Labour party to offer a comprehensive new approach to economic policymaking. Similarly, in 1979, the Conservative party was able to present the main elements of neoliberal thinking as the solution to the economic problems that blighted the economy in the 1970s. There is nothing comparable for the opponents of neoliberalism to latch on to today. Opponents of neoliberalism need to formulate a new approach to economic policymaking, not one that tinkers at the edges of the existing model.

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