240 likes | 367 Views
The Future Delivery of Housing Steve Normington Director of Economy Confident Places Scrutiny Committee. National policy context. Nationally, housing delivery has dropped from the peak in 2007/08, continuing low levels. Affordability and access to the market continues to be problematic.
E N D
The Future Delivery of Housing Steve Normington Director of Economy Confident Places Scrutiny Committee
National policy context • Nationally, housing delivery has dropped from the peak in 2007/08, continuing low levels. • Affordability and access to the market continues to be problematic. • New housing and planning policy – NPPF, New Homes Bonus aims to encourage greater delivery. • Financial support – HelptoBuy, Affordable Homes Programme, Self financing of Housing Revenue Account • Welfare reform – impact on social sector
Local policy context • Wigan Core Strategy now adopted • Housing requirement of 15,000 to 2026 • 25% affordable housing requirement • SHLAA 2013 update • Housing Strategy priorities • Increasing housing delivery • Welfare reform • Private rented sector • Connecting housing with care
Wigan’s Market Context • Average property price in Wigan is £132,700 • Continued low levels of sales transactions • Prices below GM, NW and national average • Above average owner occupation rates (68%) • Significant growth in private rented sector, 148% increase in period 2001-11 • Above average proportion of semi-detached (46%), very few flats/apartments (9%) • Low numbers of empty homes
Demographic trends • Wigan’s population was 317,800 (Census 2011) - an increase of 16,300 (5.6%) from 2001 • 1 in 6 people are aged 65 or above • Average household size is reducing and average age increasing • More people living alone • More people living longer with long term health conditions • Forecasts for 2021: • Population to grow by 6% • Population aged 65+ to grow by 24% • Household growth of 8%, 11,000 additional households
Affordable Housing Needs • 3,300 on council waiting list, 1,600 requesting a transfer • 62% require one bedroom, 24% two and 10% three
Affordable housing needs • Overall increase in need – estimated shortfall in delivery of 358 units per year • Hidden need in the Private Rented Sector – 33% of applicants • Smaller households – singles and couples 62% of applicants • Ageing population – 24% aged 60 or over • Specialist accommodation • Need for a more diverse housing offer to address these needs.
Affordable housing trajectory • Planning to deliver 689 new affordable homes over 5 yrs • 90% committed as rental, need to increase delivery of affordable home ownership • Focus on working with private developers to provide access to the market – shared equity
Future affordability • Forecast increase in house prices / rents • Forecast increase in wages • Economic performance • Living costs / inflation • Interest rates • Supply and type • Housing policy and investment • A number of scenarios could apply!
New housing delivery • New build delivery has decreased from a peak in 2007/08 • Housebuilders generally building large detached houses • Very few smaller homes, apartments and bungalows • Lack of diversity in housing offer • Large proportion of affordable homes (24% of new homes in 2012/13)
Housing trajectory • Delivery anticipated to increase as large schemes come forward, including Northleigh and the Broad Locations Source: Wigan Core Strategy
Housing land supply • 5.19 year supply (2013-18) • 16.62 year supply (2013-28) • Over 80% of land supply in the east-west core • Source: SHLAA 2013 update
North Leigh • Key Strategic Site • Outline permission for mixed use development • 1,800 homes • New road infrastructure
South of Hindley • Broad location for new development • 2,000 homes • New road infrastructure • Links to Greenheart • Outline planning application in 2014
Landgate, Bryn • Broad location for new development • Approx 300 homes • New road infrastructure • Links to Greenheart • Outline planning application in 2014
East of Atherton • Broad location for new development • Approx 600 homes • Proximity to Atherton Station, Cutacre and M61
Garrett Hall, Astley • Broad location for new development • Approx. 600 homes • Outline permission (subject to s106) • Proximity to Leigh Guided Busway and A580
Westwood Park, Wigan • Pending Outline application • 430 homes • Associated retail and employment development • Council ownership • Strategic location
Standish • 1,000 homes • Early delivery • Greenfield sites
Golborne and Lowton • 1,000 homes • Early delivery • Greenfield sites
Wigan SHMA 2014 • SHMA 2014 in preparation • Different policy and market context • Analysis of demographic, economic and housing market signals • Identify breakdown of house type, tenure and size needed • Our ability to meet these needs through future supply