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Finding the Appropriate Mix: Balancing Capabilities with Priorities Major General Darren McDew, USAF Vice Director, Stra

Finding the Appropriate Mix: Balancing Capabilities with Priorities Major General Darren McDew, USAF Vice Director, Strategic Plans & Policy 20 January 2010. Strategic Environment. Westphalian. 2. Strategic Environment. Arctic Sovereignty. Climate Change. Russian Assertiveness.

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Finding the Appropriate Mix: Balancing Capabilities with Priorities Major General Darren McDew, USAF Vice Director, Stra

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  1. Finding the Appropriate Mix: Balancing Capabilities with Priorities Major General Darren McDew, USAF Vice Director, Strategic Plans & Policy 20 January 2010

  2. Strategic Environment Westphalian 2

  3. Strategic Environment Arctic Sovereignty Climate Change Russian Assertiveness Global Financial Crisis & Economic Downturn Rising Chinese Influence Energy Dependence Taliban Insurgency Catastrophic Terrorism Cyber & Space Vulnerability Energy SecurityPandemics & Natural Disaster North Korea Instability & WMD Proliferation PakistanInstability Iraq Stability Global Commons Mid-East Peace Process Iranian WMD Program Al Qaeda Safehaven Illicit-Trafficking Ethnic Conflict Failing States Flow Security Transnational Terrorism Bolivarian Influence A complex, dynamic, and uncertain environment … . . . With a host of diverse actors . . . Many strategic challenges . . . And several key meta-trends

  4. Afghanistan Pakistan Iraq Counter-terror North Korea and Six Party Talks Iran and P5+1 Discussions General Non-Proliferation Middle East Peace Initiatives Possible CYBERCOM Regional Ballistic Missile Defense Cooperation with Central & South American Friends What Keeps Me Up at Night? • Homeland Defense • Humanitarian Assistance • National Security Strategy • Quadrennial Defense Review • Arms Control Negotiations • Risk Assessment • Trans-regional Flow Security . . . piracy • Building Partnership Capacity • Unified Command Plan • Peacekeeping Operations • Are we missing a trend? Help eliminate terror safe havens to the U.S., to our partners, and to these nations Partner Prepare Prevent Preserve Prevail Directly defeat terrorists Non-proliferation

  5. Potential Breeding Grounds for Instability

  6. Instability… Flow Security… Partnerships Prosecutions CTF 151 NATO EU Other France Kenya Netherlands Somalia Spain US Yemen Australia Bahrain Denmark Korea Pakistan Singapore Turkey UK US Canada Greece Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain Turkey UK US Belgium France Germany Greece Italy Luxemburg Netherlands Norway Spain Sweden UK China India Iran Japan Malaysia Russia Saudi Arabia Seychelles Yemen Shore Support Bahrain Djibouti Kenya Seychelles 33 Nations assisting/assisted Counter Piracy operations 2009: 193 Pirate Attacks/46 Successful 6

  7. Inter-Agency Collaboration Diplomacy Defense Whole of Government Whole of Government Whole of Society Whole of Society? Development NGOs • Building Partnership Capacity • Authorities • Security Force Assistance • Stability Operations

  8. Building Partnership Capacity (BPC) Focused on further evolution of authorities as essential to ability to attain BPC objectives as defined in the GEF Preserve and enhance global Train and Equip COCOMs Dual-Key approach (State/DoD) Encourages better unity of effort

  9. Strategic Issues and Potential Solutions Arctic Sovereignty Climate Change Russian Assertiveness Global Financial Crisis & Economic Downturn Rising Chinese Influence Energy Dependence Taliban Insurgency Catastrophic Terrorism Cyber & Space Vulnerability Energy SecurityPandemics & Natural Disaster North Korea Instability & WMD Proliferation PakistanInstability Iraq Stability Global Commons Mid-East Peace Process Iranian WMD Program Al Qaeda Safehaven Illicit-Trafficking Ethnic Conflict Failing States Flow Security Transnational Terrorism Bolivarian Influence Counter Piracy Haiti Earthquake Response Africa Station Build Partner Caps FMF/IMET Global Train and Equip 9

  10. “The belief that peace is desirable is rarely enough to achieve it. Peace requires responsibility. Peace entails Sacrifice.” -- President Obama Nobel Peace Prize speech Dec 10, 2009

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