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Breakout Report : The Permafrost Carbon Feedback and Global Policy . Kevin Schaefer Ted Schuur Dave McGuire. Impact on Climate Change Treaty. 2°C warming target AR5 Projections don’t include permafrost emissions Temperatures higher with feedback Emissions targets may be too high
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Breakout Report: The Permafrost Carbon Feedback and Global Policy Kevin Schaefer Ted Schuur Dave McGuire
Impact on Climate Change Treaty • 2°C warming target • AR5 Projections don’t include permafrost emissions • Temperatures higher with feedback • Emissions targets may be too high • Risk overshooting 2°C warming target Temperature Projections 4th Assessment Report
Report: The Permafrost Carbon Feedback and Global Policy • UNEP report: Policy Implications ofWarming Permafrost • http://www.unep.org/pdf/permafrost.pdf • Recommendations: 1) IPCC assessment 2) Nationalize CALM and TSP 3) Adaptation Plans • Objective: How to implement recommendations?
IPCC Special Assessment • Understand the IPCC process • Look at past assessments • IPCC special assessments • SWIPA, ACIA, etc. • Create outline • Identify science gaps • Write synthesis papers
IPCC Special Assessment • Hone a simple message • Contact people and groups • International Arctic Science Commission, etc. • Government representatives to IPCC
Permafrost Monitoring Networks • List of US/Canadian agencies • Environment Canada, USGS, etc. • Need standards and Protocols • Need International cooperation • International Permafrost Association will discuss • Coordinate with networks that monitor carbon • NEON, Ameriflux, flask network, etc.
Open Question to NACP • Can existing/planned networks detect large emissions from thawing permafrost?