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GCC and the Inevitable Transition to the Single Global Currency ( SGC ). Dr. Celali YILMAZ Advisory Board Member Single Global Currency Association GCC Currency Forum 15th June 2008, Dubai. Disclaimer.
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GCC and the Inevitable Transition to the Single Global Currency (SGC) Dr. Celali YILMAZ Advisory Board Member Single Global Currency Association GCC Currency Forum 15th June 2008, Dubai
Disclaimer • This presentation is prepared by Mr. Morrison Bonpasse, President of the Single Global Currency Association and author of the book “the Single Global Currency: Common Cents for the World”. • Comments are reflects the presenter’s personal views and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Capital Markets Board of Turkey.
Do You Know? • How many currencies (or central banks) on the world: • 100 years ago? • Today? • 20 years later? • How many different paper money printed and circulated: • In Germany, in 1920s (170,000!) • In the US before 1913 (FED) (3,000) • What is the optimum number of currencies for the World economy?
GCC Monetary Union & Transition to the Single Global Currency • What the people of the world want is stable money and price stability. • Monetary Unions aim for such stability. • MU Central Banks work for that goal and not national interests. • The remaining largest impediment to that goal is the existence of multiple currencies
GCC Monetary Union: To Be the World’s Second Largest (GDP) • European Monetary Union is largest • 15 Countries • GDP $11 Trillion • GCC Monetary Union • 5 Countries • GDP .75 Trillion
Other Monetary Unions THE WORLD MONETARY UNIONS (MU) • 1967 BRUNEI-SINGAPORE. (drop 1 currency) • 1983 EASTERN CARIBBEAN MU. (7) • 1994 WEST & CENTRAL AFRICAN MU. (12) • 2002 EUROPEAN MONETARY UNION. (11) • 2007 SLOVENIA JOIN EMU (1) • 2008 CYPRUS, MALTA JOIN EMU (2) • 2009 WEST AFRICAN MONETARY ZONE (4) • 2010 GULF COOPERATION COUNCIL (4) • 2008-201? EMU/EU ACCESSION COUNTRIES (12) • 2012 EAST AFRICAN COMMUNITY (4) • 2016 SOUTH AFRICA DEVLPMT COUNCIL (13) • FUTURE? E. ASIA, S. ASIA, N. & S. AMERICA
REDUCED # INT’L CURRENCIESfor United Nations Members • 1946 51 COUNTRIES 51 CURRENCIES • 2000 189 157 • 2006 192 146 • 2008 192 143 • 2010 192 135 • 2016 192 115 (?) • 2024 192 1 (?)
SINGLE GLOBAL CURRENCY DEFINITION • A COMMON CURRENCY, • MANAGED BY A GLOBAL CENTRAL BANK WITHIN A GLOBAL MONETARY UNION, • THAT PEOPLE CAN USE WITHIN MEMBER COUNTRIES AS LEGAL TENDER AND FOR INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS. • "DO YOU MEAN LIKE THE EURO?" YES! • AND OTHER COMMON CURRENCIES, TOO.
SINGLE GLOBAL CURRENCY BENEFITS • Eliminate $400 Bln annual FX transaction costs • Eliminate global (currency) imbalances • Eliminate need for FX reserves • Eliminate currency fluctuations • Increase international trade • Increase asset values, & worldwide GDP by $trillions • Reduce worldwide interest rates
SINGLE GLOBAL CURRENCY WHO WILL BENEFIT FROM HAVING A SGC? EVERYONE IN THE WORLD, • CORPORATIONS • TRAVELERS • INDIVIDUALS PURCHASING/SELLING ANYTHING IN GLOBAL ECONOMY (ALMOST EVERYONE) • PEOPLE LIVING IN COUNTRIES WHERE CURRENCY VALUES FLUCTUATE (EVERYONE, IN BRIEF) • PEOPLE IN COUNTRIES SUBJECT TO CURRENCY CRASHES EXCEPT FOR THOSE WHO MAKE THEIR LIVING OR • FORTUNE FROM THE EXISTING SYSTEM • CURRENCY TRADERS • CURRENCY SPECULATORS • HEDGERS AGAINST CURRENCY RISK
SINGLE GLOBAL CURRENCY COSTS • Loss of local monetary policy, but this is not always a loss. • Loss of ability to manipulate exchange rates, but this is not always a loss. • Loss of national symbols, but people care more for stable money than historic or artistic money.
SINGLE GLOBAL CURRENCY IS A STABLE CURRENCY A FUNDAMENTAL HUMAN RIGHT? • Article 17, of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights: • (1) Everyone has the right to own property • (2) No one arbitrarily deprived of property. NEEDED: • Worldwide acceptance of a FUNDAMENTAL HUMAN RIGHT to a stable currency.
SINGLE GLOBAL CURRENCY EXISTING GLOBAL STANDARDS • NUMBER SYSTEMS (Decimal, Binary) • TIME(Calendar, 24 Hours, 7 Day Week...) • COMPUTER (INTERNET, PROGRAMS...) • MEASUREMENTS (Metric System: WEIGHT, VOL, LENGTH, TEMP) • RADIO FREQUENCIES (MEGAHERTZ) • BAR CODES • DO ANY OF THESE CHANGE WHEN OBJECT BEING MEASURED CHANGES? • WHY SHOULD MONEY?
SINGLE GLOBAL CURRENCY How to get there from here • Creation of New Monetary Unions, e.g. GCC. • Expansion of Monetary Unions, e.g. EMU • “Ization” as in Dollarization, Euroization • International Monetary Conferences
Conclusion: GCC CAN LEAD WORLD TO SGC • CREATE GCC MONETARY UNION • EXPAND GCC MONETARY UNION • MERGE GCC MU WITH OTHER(S) • CALL FOR MONETARY CONFERENCE • NOT ANTI-DOLLAR, BUT PRO GLOBAL
Last Words • “Most good ideas takes years, sometimes centuries to be recognized.” • “You can never solve a problem on the level on which it was created.” • The future of the SGC may be larger than its modest beginnings.
SINGLE GLOBAL CURRENCY • IT’S COMMON CENTS • SINGLE GLOBAL CURRENCY ASSOCIATION • www.singleglobalcurrency.org • GOAL: SGC by 2024, 80th Anniversary of BRETTON WOODS CONFERENCE – 1944.