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Does American Foreign Policy Resemble the Game of Risk? Bertjan Verbeek

American Foreign Policy 25 May 2011. Does American Foreign Policy Resemble the Game of Risk? Bertjan Verbeek. Program Play Risk Does Risk resemble the foreign policy of states, esp the United States

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Does American Foreign Policy Resemble the Game of Risk? Bertjan Verbeek

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  1. American Foreign Policy 25 May 2011 Does American Foreign Policy Resemble the Game of Risk?Bertjan Verbeek

  2. Program Play Risk Does Risk resemble the foreign policy of states, esp the United States How does Risk resemble the ‘world views’ presented to you by professor Bonham last Monday Today’s program

  3. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? 1. What are the motivations in the game? What are the objectives? • Power? • World domination? • Preventing the otherfromsecuringobjectives? • Survival? • Debate on motives of American foreign policy: Hamiltonian? Jeffersonian? Jacksonian? Wilsonian? Risk is definitelynotWilsonian or Jeffersonian; clearlyit is Hamiltonian, and a bit Jacksonian

  4. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? Views are held by different (groups of) policymakers in American foreign policy – whatmatters is which (coalition) dominates Example: Involvement in Lybia • Wilsonian elements? • Hamiltonianelements? • Jeffersonian elements? • Jacksonian elements?

  5. Another contemporary Risk/Hamiltonian view

  6. Risk problem: from Russia’s perspective

  7. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? 2. Power seems the dominating element combinedwith chance • Armies • Geographicallocations • Dice 2. Does itresemblepower and chance in the real world?

  8. Machtsevenwicht Sources of power ‘

  9. Hard versus Soft Power Hard Power: the role of technology

  10. Hard power

  11. Hard power

  12. Is this hard power?

  13. Soft Power

  14. Soft power

  15. The Vatican – the world’s weakest state? Or...

  16. Contemporary soft power: Celebrities?

  17. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? 3. Didyou form alliancesduring the game? • Didthey last? • Didyou trust oneanother? • Did you invent new rules during the game?

  18. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? 3. How about alliances in the real world? • Do they last? • Does one trust one’s ally? • Does international politics need certain rules? • Diplomacy • International Law • Intergovernmental Organizations? • Supranationalism? USA: 1798: formal alliance with France 1917: WW I 1941: WW II 1949: NATO

  19. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? 4. Who is playing in Risk? • 1 state • Which assumptions about its behavior? ‘Unitary’ actor Rational behavior Only responding to what other states do The state thinks the other states are the same

  20. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? 4 What does the state look like in reality? President Congress Departments Interest groups Public opinion http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/05/04/us/20110504-the-presidents-approval-rating-after-bin-laden.html What motivates them? What are the consequences for foreign policy?

  21. How does Risk relate to the world views Realism? Liberalism? Constructivism?

  22. Assignment 1a From a Risk perspective, how should the USA prepare for the coming 10 years? 1bFrom a Risk perspective, how should America’s allies (e.g. Europe, Japan, Saudi Arabia Israel) prepare for the coming 10 years? 2a From a non-Risk perspective, how should the USA prepare for the coming 10 years? 2b From a non-Risk perspective, how should America’s allies (e.g. Europe, Japan, Saudi Arabia Israel) prepare for the coming 10 years?

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