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Modeling Strategy

Modeling Strategy. For the Alaska Ocean Observing System. IOOS Modeling Subsystem: Vision and Implementation Strategy. “IOOS has been thought of as primarily an observational system, with ad hoc support for modeling as a downstream data consumer. .

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Modeling Strategy

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  1. Modeling Strategy For the Alaska Ocean Observing System

  2. IOOS Modeling Subsystem: Vision and Implementation Strategy “IOOS has been thought of as primarily an observational system, with ad hoc support for modeling as a downstream data consumer. Yet only models provide information with sufficient spatial and temporal resolution and extent to support many of the products needed by users.”

  3. Past AOOS-supported modeling efforts • 2005-06: UAF Modeling & analysis center: $520k, modeling comparisons for sea ice, RAMS & ROMS • 2005-06: Moorings & sensors in Southeast, Aleutian Island passes & Bering Strait to support developing circulation models • 2005-2010: PWS Demonstration Project; ROMS, WRF, NPZ & SWAN ; about $250-300k a year

  4. Current AOOS-supported modeling efforts (2011-15) • PWS 24/7 ROMS ($100k/year) – Yi Chao • GOA PWS & CI WRF ($100k/year) – Peter Olssen • PWS hydrological model validation (@$75k over 3 years) – Scott Pegau • GOA ocean acidification model ($100k/1 year) – Jeremy Mathis • Downscale ocean climate models ($125k/2 years) – John Walsh • ABSI vulnerability assessment ($xk/1 year) – Axiom • AOOS Model Explorer on Ocean Portal • CI Modeling Group & support for NCOS ROMS • Beaufort Sea: obs to validate NCEP wave model

  5. Existing physical oceanographic models in Alaska

  6. Future AOOS-supported modeling efforts • Moving research to operational models • Enhancing existing models • Validating existing models w/observations • Creating products from existing models Should we continue to devote $200k/year to modeling? If so, what should we support?

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