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Regional Targets Advisory Committee – Bay Area Perspective May 25, 2010

Regional Targets Advisory Committee – Bay Area Perspective May 25, 2010 Steve Heminger, MTC Executive Director. Project Alternative: Transportation 2035 Plan. Expenditures by Function (25-Year Total revenues: $218 Billion). Specific T2035 Regional Funding Commitments that Support the SCS.

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Regional Targets Advisory Committee – Bay Area Perspective May 25, 2010

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  1. Regional Targets Advisory Committee – Bay Area Perspective May 25, 2010 Steve Heminger, MTC Executive Director

  2. Project Alternative: Transportation 2035 Plan Expenditures by Function (25-Year Total revenues: $218 Billion)

  3. Specific T2035 Regional Funding Commitments that Support the SCS • Transportation for Livable Communities - $2.2B • Climate Initiative Program - $0.4B • Regional Bike Plan Program - $1B • Lifeline - $0.4B

  4. How Does the Project Alternative Perform Compared to 2005 Base Year? • Reduction of 5 percent in CO2 emissions in 2020 • Reduction of 3 percent in CO2 emissions in 2035 * Excludes Pavley and LCF standards; preliminary data subject to change.

  5. What is Assumed in the Aggressive Alternative Scenario?

  6. What is Assumed in the Aggressive Alternative Scenario?

  7. How Does the “Aggressive” Alternative Scenario Perform Compared to 2005 Base Year? • Reduction of 12 percent in CO2 emissions in 2035 * Excludes Pavley and LCF standards; preliminary data subject to change.

  8. How Has the Recession Affected Bay Area Forecasted CO2 Emissions? (% per capita - 2005 vs 2035) +2% -12% -3% -1% 0% T-2035 w/Proj 09 + aggressive pricing & LU No Build w/Proj 09 T-2035 w/Proj 07 T-2035 w/Proj 09 More aggressive target

  9. Bay Area Lessons Learned • Adopted Plan is achievable, but may notbe ambitious enough • MostAggressivescenariois ambitious but not achievable • The challenge remains:What target is both ambitious and achievable?

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