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MARCH final review. Fornebu, Norway, 22 September 2011. Significantly lower the cost of converged broadband service delivery by establishing scalable multilink network architectures. Agenda.
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MARCH final review Fornebu, Norway, 22 September 2011 Significantly lower the cost of converged broadband service delivery by establishing scalable multilink network architectures Final review
Agenda 09:00-10:00 Presentation of summarised results, Focus on second half of the project, i.e., Deliverables D3.3, D3.4, D3.5, D4.2/D5.1, D5.2, and D7.6 10:00-10:45 DemonstrationsDeliverable D6.1 10:45-11:00 Coffee break 11:00-12:00 Questions and answers 12:00-13:00 Reviewer internal discussion 13:00-14:00 Lunch Final review
Response to emails 20 September Beyond SoA at start of MARCH • Scenarios business analyses, future broadband access market development, and forecasted consumer spending • Methods for scheduling of application IP packets on multiple links for real time video applications using dynamic error correction, adaptive bit rate, and adaptive scalable video coding • Radio resource management applicable for multilink • Investigating and proposing multilink network architecture solutions for multipath gateway, multilink middleware, multilink connection manager, enhanced Wi-Fi offload with multilink, and roaming and multi-actor assured services • Developed and demonstrated multilink network technical solutions, multilink-aware content provider application, and using IPTV applications handling multilink streams Partner contributions Largely as describe din the PD, with more details at the meeting European dimension Different skills needed. Mixed industry collaboration. Standardisation effort New and enhanced products will be specified in more detail during the review Final review
The economical scenarios analyses have evolved through collaboration between all partners and all WPs WP 2 WP 4 WP 5 WP 6 WP 7 Scenarios and actors Technology components Feasible architectures Cost elements Proved deployability Feedback from workshops and presentations Input from industry partners CAPEX and OPEX Willingness to pay Input from industry in different markets Market and service specific CAPEX and OPEX and willingness to pay
Quantitative analyses of four scenarios derived from developed business models Promoting multilink for continuous access to Campus 3D educational learning environment in Spain Promoting multilink for security fleets communication management Promoting the combination of WiMAX and satellite broadcast networks for bandwidth and N-play to rural areas of Spain Broadband services combining mobile 3G and Wi-Fi Final review Deliverable D3.3
Example of a mediator providing broadband 3G and WiFI access Business case assumptions Provides gateway and terminal software only Targets advanced private customers Population of 5 000 000 and a mobile terminal penetration of 90%. 20% of the terminals can support more than one network interface in Year 0, with an increase of 5-20% the first years. We attract 0.5% of the multilink terminals as customers. ARPU is 3€ with an annual decrease The net present value (NPV) is estimated to be 1 026 084. This business case shows a positive cash flow already after 1 year. Final review Deliverable D3.3
Example of an operator providing broadband 3G and WiFI access Business case assumptions Customers with multilink terminals use multilink transparently controlled by the operator Increased revenue due to more customers (2-5%) Invests in gateway and terminal software Population of 5 000 000 and a mobile terminal penetration of 90%. 20% of the terminals can support more than one network interface in Year 0, with an increase of 5-20% the first years. This business case shows a positive cash flow already in year 1. Final review Deliverable D3.3
Fixed broadband Western European residential market Busy hour traffic forecasts Penetration forecasts Several high quality sources for traffic data Own developed forecast methods Final review Deliverable D3.4
Mobile broadband consumer and business market Western Europe Penetration, large screen Final review Deliverable D3.4
Mobile data busy hour traffic Western Europe Gbps Final review Deliverable D3.4
Market development summary • Busy hour total traffic forecasts during the busy hour; key information for planning and dimensioning of the networks • Short-term and long-term traffic forecasts are crucial for long term network planning • Long-term traffic forecasts for both fixed and mobile broadband data in the busy hour show an explosive growth. • Mobile data traffic in 2015 increases 36 times the 2008 level and 16 times the 2009 level • Fixed broadband traffic is estimated to be 19 times larger than the mobile broadband in 2009, while the proportion is reduced to 6 times larger in 2015 • However, it is important to underline that there are uncertainties in these forecasts Final review Deliverable D3.4
Growth in provisioning and consumption of digital content on Internet High digital share: • Music: large CD decrease, revenue catastrophe, hope: subscription models • Games: smooth transformation to online, healthy online business Low digital share – so far: • Film: DVD decrease, some online streaming successes • TV: linear still going strong, online is catch-up Challenge: Sustainable business model for digital content In the long run: transformation to sustainable digital models Final review Deliverable 3.5
Challenge for content industry – challenge for broadband networks Broadband network: How to position in mediator role between end-user and content provider? Suggestion 1 – MEDIATOR ROLE: Two-sided market – sender party paysthe broadband network: Final review Deliverable 3.5
Challenge for content industry – challenge for broadband networks Suggestion 2 – MEDIATOR ROLE: The hypothesis is: Part of the spending categories, which the household now pay for, will in the future be partially substituted by use of services in the mobile and fixed broadband networks Final review Deliverable 3.5
Household spending for content and telecommunication increase We see the spending over time change between categories, but for some of the countries there is also a significant growth in total spending. Example: Cultural services and entertainment , Norway The table shows that all three categories for the Norwegian market have a very significant growth both from 2000 – 2005 and from 2005 to 2009. Probably there will be a similar in the period 2005 – 2009 in the Western European market. Final review Deliverable 3.5
Substitution can happen, also in rural areas Lower content spending in rural areas Communication spending almost on urban level Communication Entertainment Final review Deliverable 3.5
Summary and further work Final review Deliverable D3.5
Investigated multilink techniques • Content adaption • Bandwidth aggregation • Service constraints optimisation • Forward error correction over multiple connections • Reliability and robustness/Reliability and security • Inter-system network load balancing with QoS awareness • Radio Resource Management (RRM) • Multiple antenna techniques Final review Deliverable D4.2/D5.1
Network layer main multilink techniques • Adaptive video coding • Layered video on different links • Frame types on different links • Adaptive scheduling • Consider latency, loss rate, link bandwidth • Streaming and control traffic, priority handling • Forward / Backward error checking and correction • Considers different link loss rate • Monitoring • Passive and active end-to-end for each link Final review Deliverable D4.2/D5.1
Network layer techniques key benefits • Increased throughput by sending independent information on several concurrent streams • Increased reliability, e.g., by sending duplicate information on several concurrent streams • Increased service continuity by dynamic and flexible access to different radio access networks • Increased network utilisation by sharing the network load • Supported by simulations and analytical modelling Final review Deliverable D4.2/D5.1
Radio access network layer main techniques and benefits • Service capacity • Selection an optimal link for each user • Use multiple input multiple output (MIMO) technology • Service reliability by using redundant links • MIMO technology • Increased quality of service (QoS) • Load balancing including user QoS parameters Final review Deliverable D4.2/D5.1
Multilink network architecture • Identified deployment possibilities of MARCH ML techniques into holistic architectural settings • Considering ongoing standardisation • Considering various multilink connectivity modes • Proposing specific value propositions • Investigating evolution paths • More specifically, investigating and proposing solutions • Multipath gateway • Multilink middleware • Multilink connection manager • Enhanced Wi-Fi offload with multilink • Roaming and multi-actor assured services Final review Deliverable D5.2
Multilink connectivity modesConcurrent use of multiple links MPG(Multipath Gateway)Service FlowSplitting / Merging Service flow split/merge ML User Equipment App App MPG MLA Multi TCP connections App MLA App App App App HLø Deliverable D5.2
Multilink connectivity modes Concurrent use of multiple links IP flow mobility (3GPP Rel. 10) App MLA App 3GPP access PDN-GW(MLG) App App App Non-3GPP access App 3GPP MNO Core App • Seamless WLAN offload • IP flow mobility between 3GPP and WLAN (DSMIPv6) • Interactions with the Policy Control and ANDSF frameworks HLø Deliverable D5.2
Multipath Gateway Architecture IP – in – IP tunnels ML User Equipment Multipath GW Virtual Socket API Content Server Application ML Adaptor (MLA) MPG FunctionMapping the e2e IP stream onto the IP tunnels Application OS Socket API with link specific nw address MARCH Middleware OS IP stack OS IP stack Link/Phy Link/Phy NIC NIC NIC Deliverable D5.2
Architecture – Enhanced Wi-Fi offload with multilink HSS/SPR User Equipment AppSrv Policy Client eANDSF Application Application Application IMS Client IMS Core MLPDP(ePCRF) Conn Mgr Multilink Middleware OS IPStack MPG MPCF PDN-GW(MLGF) PEF NIAL Link/Phy MPG 3GPP Wi-Fi Holistic evolution of the user terminal is key! MLPDP – ML Policy Decision Point PEF – Policy Enforcement Function HSS – Home Subscriber Server SPR – Subscriber Profile Repository NIAL – Network Interface Abstraction Layer NI – Network Interface (Card) Deliverable D5.2
MNO partnering with HotSpot Network Operator Competing MNO domain Inter-actor operation, potentially based onGSMA OneAPI PCRF eANDSF MLPDP(ePCRF) CG PEF AP AP AG PEF AP(M) MPGF CS MLUE Partner HotSpot domain MLA AppSrv AP AP PEF CG (F) AP(F) Internet Deliverable D5.2
Roaming with multilink and Wi-Fi based local breakout OnlineContentProvider(Home area) (1) Service/Session Handler CS (2) VisitedMNO(Core) Visited MNO(Access) Service/Session Handler (4) VisitedeANDSF (7) (5) (3) HomeMNO(Core) Transit (Hub) Internet NSP HSS Service/Session Handler MLPDP(ePCRF) (6) AP AP AP(M) CG(M) PEF LRM MLCF Roaming multilink user MPGF MLUE MLA HotspotPartner domain / Premises LRM AP(F) Point of Interconnect supporting Assured service quality traffic terminationCf. EU project ETICS Final review Deliverable D5.2
MARCH - Technical Exploitation beyond SoA • Development of the scalable and modular multilink architecture • Telvent - First multilink-aware content provider • IPTV application to display multilink streams by Gravity • Transparent multilink solution and mediator service are under development by Simula • Multi access network solutions to be developed into future product lines by Lividi • Video conference solution that exploits multiple networks simultaneously by Lividi • New product: RMM server by RuggedCom • Multilink techniques such as dynamic FEC, bandwidth aggregation, adaptive bit rate control and AVC codec by LiveU Final review Deliverable D7.6
MARCH Economical Exploitation • New N-play business models • Business evaluations for different cases • New market strategies and partner strategies • IPTV live event application • Developed products hopefully will generate significant impact on live broadcast market • Standardisation of the developed results • Contributions to 3GPP, IPSphere and TMForum on multilink combination of mobile and wireless local area network Final review Deliverable D7.6
MARCH Dissemination • MARCH publications • Papers in journals: 8 • Papers in conference proceedings: 17 • Presentations at workshops and conferences: 10 • MARCH events and demonstrations • MARCH workshop in Norway - Fornebu, Norway, 27th of October, 2009 • First MARCH international workshop - Ramat-Gan, Tel Aviv, Israel, 3rd of MARCH, 2010. • MARCH live demonstration at Svalbard, Norway - MARCH multilink technology used to provide live video coverage from an excavation site of Predator X at Svalbard, 3 - 17 August 2010 Final review Deliverable D7.6
MARCH Dissemination • MARCH events and demonstrations • Celtic-Plus Event 2011 - The MARCH consortium demonstrated the project's results on the Celtic-Plus Event 2011. Live coverage of this CELTIC Event was powered by LiveU - member of the MARCH Consortium - using the multilink technology • Workshop on Broadband mobile access over heterogeneous networks for improved capacity, coverage, and quality of experiences • Universities disseminated the results through their education activity • PhD theses, MsC/BsC theses, etc. • Website of the project was launched where all the public material is accessible Final review Deliverable D7.6