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NCEP Update NAEDEX-22

NCEP Update NAEDEX-22. Michelle Mainelli NCEP Central Operations 9 December 2009. Topics. FY09 NCEP Activities Power6 CCS Upgrade New Observations and Products Model Upgrades Planned FY10 NCEP Activities Observations/Products Model Upgrades GRIB2 Transition NCWCP Building Update

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NCEP Update NAEDEX-22

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  1. NCEP UpdateNAEDEX-22 Michelle Mainelli NCEP Central Operations 9 December 2009

  2. Topics FY09 NCEP Activities Power6 CCS Upgrade New Observations and Products Model Upgrades Planned FY10 NCEP Activities Observations/Products Model Upgrades GRIB2 Transition NCWCP Building Update NCEP NAEDEX Action Items NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  3. FY09 Activities • Power6 CCS Upgrade • New Observations and Products • Model Upgrades NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  4. Power6 CCS Upgrade • 69.7 Teraflops Linpack • #36 Top 500 Nov 2008 • 156 Power6 32-way Nodes • 4,992 processors @ 4.7GHz • 19,712 gigabytes memory • 320 terabytes of disk space • 100 terabyte tape archive Two Identical IBM Power6 Systems – Operational 25 Aug 2009 Gaithersburg, Maryland Fairmont, West Virginia Due to budget issues we may not see our next upgrade until 2012-2013 time frame. NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  5. Infrastructure NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22 NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  6. NCEP’s Data Usage • NCEP receives 1.76 Billion observations per day • Assimilated Satellite Data Counts ~ 1.5 Million / cycle NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  7. NCEP’s Data Usage • Assimilated Conventional Data Counts ~ 110,000 / cycle NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  8. New Observations • Polar Satellites • ENVISAT - wind/wave & SSHA • Chemical data assimilation (MIPAS & SCHIAMACHY) • Jason-2 - wind/wave & SSHA (testing) • METOP-2/A • AMSU • Microwave Humidity Sounder • IASI • AVHRR/3 • GRAS (evaluation) • GOME—2 • ASCAT • GPS Radio Occultation (NAM/NDAS) • COSMIC data • ATOVS – EARS/RARS • Previous problems to assimilate data corrected NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  9. New Observations • Geostationary Satellites • METEOSAT • MET-7 & MET-9 operational • MET-9 cloud-track winds (IR/VIS/WV) - testing • MET-8 backup NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  10. New Observations • Non-Satellite Observations • Receiving some river flow data • PIREPS, AIREPS, SIGMETS and AIRMETS • Including east of 10 deg. • Korean & European AMDAR • Lightning data from UKMO • Wind profiler data NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22 10

  11. Oceans HYCOM WaveWatch III Climate CFS Coupled Hurricane GFDL HWRF MOM3 1.7B Obs/Day Satellites 99.9% Dispersion ARL/HYSPLIT Regional NAM WRF NMM Global Forecast System Global Data Assimilation Severe Weather WRF NMM/ARW Workstation WRF Short-Range Ensemble Forecast North American Ensemble Forecast System WRF: ARW, NMM ETA, RSM Air Quality GFS, Canadian Global Model NAM/CMAQ Rapid Update for Aviation Forecast NOAH Land Surface Model NOAA’s NWS ModelProduction Suite NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  12. Model Upgrade Process • NCEP model improvement process includes peer review of changes: • Notification of availability of test data for major model upgrades https://lstsrv.ncep.noaa.gov/mailman/listinfo/ncep.list.modelevalinfo • NCO WEB Site lists upcoming changes http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/changes/ • Weekly RFC Memo • List of every change to NCO’s IT infrastructure, as well as CCS and dataflow changes http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/jifmemo/ NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  13. Model Updates • Moratorium on CCS December 2008 - late August 2009 • November 2008 – RUChttp://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/notification/tin08-77ruc_upgrades.txt • December 2008 – NAMhttp://www.weather.gov/om/notification/tin08-79aaa_nam_upgrade.txt • February 2009 – Updates to the Global Analysis System to include changes in the observations used in the analysishttp://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/notification/tin08-99aaagfs_upgrade.txt • October 2009 - SREF - New models – hourly output to 39 hours http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notification/tin09-29aaasref_upgrade.txt NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  14. Model Updates • November 2009 - NAM – Several physics upgrades and Bug Fixes http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notification/tin09-33nam_dgex.txt • November 2009 – HWRF Included 3-way coupling framework with POM, HYCOM, WW3 for coupling (POM default) • November 2009 – Air Quality Implementation • Update to the CMAQ, providing a daily maximum ozone product • November 2009 - Ocean Forecast System (RTOFS) Several Physics upgrades http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notification/tin09-30aaa_rtofs.txt NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  15. Planned FY10 Activities • Model Upgrades • Observations • Products NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  16. Planned Model Upgrades • December 2009 – GFS - GSI • Analysis upgrade w/ new data types – minor changes to forecast – several new parameters to be available http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notification/tin09-32gfs_changes.txt • February 2010 - GEFS - Resolution upgrade T126 to T190 (~ 70 km) • All cycles out to 16 days • Introduce Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF) Products to be realigned in files on FTP servers • Changes will impact the products generated for NAEFS http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notification/tin09-34gefs.txt NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  17. Planned Model Upgrades • Other Model Upgrades for 2010 • RUC - Extending forecasts to 18hrs & include Canada AMDAR • Global Multi-Grid Wave Model upgrade • RTOFS upgrade – Science update: add Jason-2 altimeter data • Combine NCEP & U.S. Navy Wave Ensemble & extend to 10 days • GFS Resolution Increase – from T382 to T574 (~35 km to ~27 km) • Upgrade HWRF System with HYCOM • Upgrade RTSST with AMSR SST & Sea Ice retrievals • Future plans • Climate Forecast System upgrade – early FY11 • Hybrid (ensemble-4D-VAR) global data assimilation system in operations by late FY13 NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  18. Planned Observations • Ingest Canadian Radar data • AXBT and TDR Data from NOAA P-3 • European METNET GPS IPW • AMDAR data from France • European Radio-Acoustic Sounding System data • Wind profilers via (PIBAL) reports • METEOSAT • Clear sky radiances • Cloud analysis • Tropospheric humidity • Total Ozone NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  19. Planned Products • Air Quality products for Alaska and Hawaii • WAFS GRIB2 Products • sample files between NWS & UKMO are being exchanged • G2 parms going through WMO – for full operational beginning March 2010 • Goal migrate from G1 to G2 by 2012 • GRIB1 => GRIB2 Transition Project NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  20. GRIB2 Transition • Goal:To create a comprehensive parallel GRIB2 encode/decode capability for users both internal and external to NCEP • Collaborative project between NCO – EMC • Scope: • Create GRIB2 product templates • Create a thread-safe version of the NCEP GRIB2 library/application • Port of EMC post codes to allow for conversion directly from binary to GRIB2 • Versions for each GRIB library will be tracked and documented • Deliverables: • GRIB2 product templates • Parallel GRIB2 Library • Diagnostic GRIB2 tools and applications • By June 2010: • Prototype NEMS post processing code to GRIB2 instead of GRIB1 • Implement libraries on CCS (June 2010) NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  21. NCEP Compute Farm • 30 Blade System created for: • Place to run batch jobs that are too small for OCCS • Allows NCEP Centers to run jobs and not use workstation resources • Possibly used for NSSL WDSS-II Level-II radar data • Specs: • Running VMWare • 8 cores (processors) per blade • 32 GB Ram per blade (960 GB total) • 36 TB total Disk Space • Currently at NCEP WWB => NCWCP • A offsite back-up is being developedin Fairmont, WV at this time NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  22. NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction • Defined requirements for 268,762 RSF • Includes housing 800+ Federal employees, contractors, and visiting scientists • 5 NCEP Centers • NESDIS research and satellite services • OAR Air Resources Laboratory Revised Construction Schedule http://www.ncep.noaa.gov/news/ncwcp/latest.shtml NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  23. NCEP Action Items From NAEDEX-19 • E.2.1.2 - NCEP 1/12 Sea Ice, 1/12 & ½ SST • Both 1/12 and 0.5 degree global SST data are available on GTS and on NCEP public data servers. • NCEP has no plans to discontinue the 0.5 degree product and will continue to do so until all users are utilizing the higher resolution products. • Both products are available on the NCEP public data server at: ftp://ftpprd.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/omb/prod/sice{YYYYMMDD} where YYYYMMDD is the current date. • 0.5 degree product available on GTS with header OTLA88 KWBI • 1/12 degree product available on GTS with header ETWA88 KWBI. NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  24. NCEP Action Items From NAEDEX-19 • E.4.10 – Ground based GPS from JPL • Funding in the near future does not look possible • The only GPS data NCEP receives operationally and resends out through the TOC is the Integrated Precipitable Water. From NAEDEX-20 • N.x – Sea Surface temperature, wind direction/speed, wave height, sea ice analyses and forecast products from UKMO. • NCEP maintains requirement to automate the retrieval of the data files.  The web availability will not suffice. NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  25. Questions ? “From the Sun to the Sea… Where America’s Climate, Weather, Ocean and Space Weather Services Begin” NCEP Update – NAEDEX-22

  26. NCEP Overview 26

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