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Economics of CBPP control in Kenya

Economics of CBPP control in Kenya. Dr Joshua Onono A presentation made at Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, Nigeria: 3 rd / April/2014. Outline. Introduction Economic analysis framework Partial budget Decision tree Impact assessment Policy analysis framework Conclusion. Introduction.

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Economics of CBPP control in Kenya

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  1. Economics of CBPP control in Kenya Dr Joshua Onono A presentation made at Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, Nigeria: 3rd/ April/2014

  2. Outline • Introduction • Economic analysis framework • Partial budget • Decision tree • Impact assessment • Policy analysis framework • Conclusion

  3. Introduction • CBPP is an infectious disease of cattle which has a huge impact on the society. • CBPP is caused by Mycoplasma mycoides subspecies mycoides Small Colony variant(MmmSC). • The organism produces natural infection in cattle and water buffaloes (Bubalu babulus), but not in wild buffaloes (Syncerus caffer). • CBPP is widespread in Africa and it is recognized to be present in some countries of Asia and Europe.

  4. Introduction • In Africa, it is found in an area south of the Sahara, from the Tropic of Cancer to Tropic of Capricorn and from Atlantic to the Indian Ocean. • Endemic infection extends throughout the pastoral herds of much of western, central and eastern Africa, with Angola and northern Namibia in southern Africa.

  5. Introduction

  6. Economic analysis framework

  7. Economic analysis framework

  8. Economic analysis framework

  9. Results of partial budget analysis

  10. Fig.6: Regression coefficients between net benefits ($) per herd/year and the parameters under treatment strategy

  11. Fig.7: Regression coefficients between net benefits ($) per herd/year and the parameters under vaccination strategy

  12. Economic analysis framework

  13. Results of decision tree analysis (Onono, 2013)

  14. Fig 10: Sensitivity analysis for EMV (US$) of net benefits with increasing probability of CBPP outbreak (Onono, 2013)

  15. Economic analysis framework

  16. Fig. 12: Results on estimated impact of CBPP on pastoralists (Onono et al. 2014)

  17. Fig. 13: Problem tree analysis for delivery of CBPP control technologies (Onono, 2013) 88% 12% 0%

  18. Conclusions • Slaughter of clinical cases of CBPP is not beneficial to pastoralists • Treatment of clinical cases, annual vaccination and a combination of these two strategies have benefits to pastoralists • Vaccination services against CBPP can be delivered through signed contractual agreements between private and public veterinary departments

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