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Evidence is often “indirect” and reasoning to an object or event is often “inferential”

Evidence is often “indirect” and reasoning to an object or event is often “inferential”. “Conventional” and common sense view: Evidence is directly observable Quarks? Evolution? The Big Bang? Lederman: evidence for “unobservable” objects Atoms (for a long time)

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Evidence is often “indirect” and reasoning to an object or event is often “inferential”

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  1. Evidence is often “indirect” and reasoning to an object or event is often “inferential” • “Conventional” and common sense view: • Evidence is directly observable • Quarks? Evolution? The Big Bang? • Lederman: evidence for “unobservable” objects • Atoms (for a long time) • Subatomic particles and the “Higgs boson” (today) • Methods • Thought experiments/conceptual analysis (Democritus) • Combination of thought/conceptual analyses and empirical study/evidence

  2. Evidence is often “indirect” and reasoning to an object or event is often “inferential” • Justification? • As with Lederman’s invisible soccer ball, such objects or events, or theories that include them, are able to explain what is observable • And often bring together what might otherwise seem like disparate phenomena • Molecules (prior to their being “observed”): • Indirect evidence (expansion, heat conduction, surface tension) • Can be marshaled under the familiar laws of motion

  3. Evidence is often “indirect” and reasoning to an object or event is often “inferential” • Gould: evidence for “unobservable” processes • Natural selection (the mechanism) • Evolution (the end result) • Signs of history • Jury rigging and “contrivances” • “Imperfections” • Rudimentary or vestigial organs • Traits as “artifacts” of natural processes (e.g., natural selection)

  4. Evidence is often “indirect” and reasoning to an object or event is often “inferential” • Democritus’ thought experiment • Imagine a knife of polished bronze and very sharp. • Begin to cut up a piece of cheese, first in half, then in half again, and so forth, until there are only tiny pieces. • If I were tiny enough to see the pieces and could continue cutting, I would eventually reach something that is not able to be cut, that is indivisible.

  5. Evidence is often “indirect” and reasoning to an object or event is often “inferential” • The Big Bang and the Hubble Telescope

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