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China’s food security challenge and the implications for business. China’s Urbanization. China's urban population will expand from 572 million in 2005 to 926 million in 2025 and hit the one billion mark by 2030;
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China’s food security challenge and the implications for business
China’s Urbanization • China's urban population will expand from 572 million in 2005 to 926 million in 2025 and hit the one billion mark by 2030; • More than 350 million people will add to its urban population by 2025, more than 240 million will be migrants in China; • Over the next two decades, migration will play a much larger role, accounting for about 70 percent of the new urban residents;
Rapid Urbanization • More New Megacities Guangzhou Baiyun new town China High Speed Rail Map • City Renewal • Enhanced Intercity Connection
Growing Middle Class Total 200M Total 109M
Availability of Arable Land • The current arable land per capita in China is about 0.08 hectares, which is only about 40 percent of the global average, one-seventh the United States, and a quarter of the Brazil level. • The level of arable land per capita in 2008 is about half of that in 1961 Arable Land Comparison (hectares per person) Source: The World Bank
China Urbanization • Wealth • creation • Dietary • upgrade Increase demand on staple and non-staple food China’s Food Supply & Demand Supply & Demand Gap • Less rural workforce • Arable land shrinkage • Environment pollution China Urbanization Price volatility & Inflation Import/FEX • Self-sufficient of food is not sustainable Combined with • Water shortage • Soil erosion • Climate change