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Scenarios for the Transport system and Energy supply and their Potential effectS

Scenarios for the Transport system and Energy supply and their Potential effectS. Kick off meeting Brussels, January 29 th 2004. Agenda. Opening and welcome 11.00-11.15 Introduction and comments by the EC 11.15-11.45 Short introduction STEPs partners 11.45-12.15

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Scenarios for the Transport system and Energy supply and their Potential effectS

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  1. Scenarios for the Transport system and Energy supply and their Potential effectS Kick off meeting Brussels, January 29th 2004

  2. Agenda • Opening and welcome 11.00-11.15 • Introduction and comments by the EC 11.15-11.45 • Short introduction STEPs partners 11.45-12.15 • Project summary 12.15-13.00 • Lunch 13.00-14.00 • Work Package 1: State of the art ongoing research 14.00-15.30 • Work Package 2: Overview of relevant trends and translation into parameters 15.30-16.30 • Any other Business/Closure 16.30-16.45

  3. Project Summary: contents • Relevance of the Project • Objectives of the Project • Potential Impact • Project Management and Bodies • Work Plan • Work Packages 1 - 9

  4. Project SummaryRelevance of the Project (1) • Objective 1 of the Thematic Priority 1.6.2: ‘Sustainable Surface Transport’ addresses new technologies and concepts for all modes (road, rail, water) • Area 3.1.2: ‘research, technological development and integration’: • development and promotion of clean, quiet and efficient vehicles • 30% fuel substitution by 2020 • conceive and test alternative and renewal fuel propulsion systems (Kyoto agreement, Euro V)

  5. Project SummaryRelevance of the Project (2) • Objectives of Area 3.1.2: • to reduce the use of polluting transport means in populated areas while maintaining accessibility • transition towards an environmentally harmless transport system (renewable fuels, lower emissions) • Research Domain 1.10: develop, compare and assess possible transport and energy scenarios the STEPs project

  6. Project SummaryObjectives of the Project (1) Overall objective of STEPs: ‘Develop, compare and assess scenarios for the transport system and energy supply of the future’ Taking into account: • state of the art research within and outside FP6 • autonomy and security of energy supply • effects on environment • and economic, technical and industrial viability including impact of potential cost internalisation and interaction between transport and land use

  7. Project SummaryObjectives of the Project (2) STEPs has the following goals: • develop scenarios and translate them into recommendations and identify needs for future research • communicate and discuss the results and findings by holding Sounding Board Forums and Clustering Meetings Crucial: interaction between these two activities!

  8. Project SummaryObjectives of the Project (3) STEPs contributes to these objectives by: 1 Research tasks: • assessing recent and ongoing developments and research (WP1) • identifying relevant trends in transport and energy and translate these in quantified parameters (WP2) • defining 3 scenarios (2020 and 2030, quantitative and qualitative) (WP3) • running models to produce forecasts of impacts of these scenarios (WP4)

  9. Project SummaryObjectives of the Project (4) 1 Research tasks (continued): • assessing and comparing these impacts to determine the best scenario (from an economic and environmental perspective) (WP5) • drawing conclusions and giving policy recommendations (WP6)

  10. Project SummaryObjectives of the Project (5) 2 Co-ordination tasks: • organising Clustering Meetings (interaction, dissemination) (WP8) • organising Soundboard Forums (research process, contents) (WP7) • collection and analysis of existing information (state of the art) (WP1) • dissemination of results (conferences, brochures, website etc.) (WP9)

  11. Project SummaryPotential Impact (1) The project will try to answer crucial questions such as: • What are maximum achievements toward substitution of fossil fuels, in terms of: • energy consumption by energy type • greenhouse gas emissions (CO2) • share of fossil and renewable energy • Which measures have to be taken to achieve the targets? • What are the transport impacts of the scenarios on mobility patterns at European, national and local level and their secondary effects? • What will be the non-transport impacts?

  12. Project SummaryPotential Impact (2) Efforts to co-ordinate and exchange results: • Clustering activities, bringing in experts and relevant actors to discuss and agree on scenario development and results (Clustering Meetings, Soundboard Forums) STEPs will contribute to: • Standards: EIA, SEA, IIA, TIA, ESPON • Policy development: strategic decision making. Time to decide (White Paper 2010)

  13. Project SummaryProject Management & Bodies (1)

  14. Project SummaryProject Management & Bodies (2) Project Bodies: • Project Partners • Plenary Board: representatives of all partners meeting on a regular basis, related to milestones • Soundboard Forum: experts meeting to discuss contents of the project (2x) • Clustering Meetings: experts, delegates, EC, relevant actors and organisations, meeting to discuss outcomes and disseminate results (3x) • EC (contact through co-ordinator)

  15. Project SummaryProject Management & Bodies (3)

  16. Project SummaryProject Management & Bodies (4) WP WP leader WP0 BCI WP1 TIS WP2 AUEB WP3 NOVEM WP4 TRT WP5 UPM WP6 BCI WP7 BCI WP8 ITS WP9 TTR Responsibilities of WP leaders: • detailed planning per Work Package • convening workgroup meetings • documentation to task leader • drafting final Work Package report • administrative documents

  17. Project Summary - Work Plan (1)

  18. Project SummaryWork Plan (2) Time Schedule

  19. Project Summary Work Plan (3) Work Package List

  20. Work Package 1State of the Art Ongoing Research • WP-leader : TIS • Partners : AUEB, LT, S&W, TRL, TRT, UPM • Workload : 8.5 person months • Planning : start : month 1 end : month 9 Contents: • State of the art on technological developments and related energy supply issues • Analysis of policies on transport and energy • Case studies on implementation of new technologies • Overview of current situation US and Asia

  21. Work Package 1State of the Art Ongoing Research State of the Art: vehicles and fuel technology: • Internal combustion • Electric vehicles • Hybrid vehicles • Fuel cells • Renewable energy • Energy supply • Policies on transport and energy

  22. Work Package 2Overview of Relevant Trends and Translation into Parameters • WP-leader : AUEB • Partners : ITS, KUL-SADL, S&W, Stratec, UPM • Workload : 12 person months • Planning : start : month 1 end : month 9 Contents: • Analysis of the socio-economic political and technological environment of the transportation and energy supply system • Identification of the logistics, mobility, land use and energy supply trends • Identification of the Freight-Passenger transport and energy use/management parameters

  23. Work Package 3Definition of three scenarios • WP-leader : Novem • Partners : BCI, LT, S&W, Stratec, TRT • Workload : 11 person months • Planning : start : month 8 end : month 14 Contents: • Synthesis of trends into dimensions • Definition of the scenarios • Questionnaire on the definition of the scenarios • Building and formulating the scenarios

  24. Work Package 4Modelling and forecasting: outcomes of the scenarios • WP-leader : TRT • Partners : ITS, JRC, LT, Novem, S&W, Stratec, UPM • Workload : 20,5 person months • Planning : start : month 13 end : month 20 Contents: • Definition of a common modelling framework • Forecast at European level • Forecast at local level • Integration and reporting

  25. Work Package 5Evaluation and assessment of scenarios • WP-leader : UPM • Partners : BCI, ITS, S&W, TRL, TRT • Workload : 8 person months • Planning : start : month 12/19 end : month 14/26 Contents: • Evaluation framework • Analysis of model outputs from WP4 • Multicriteria analysis • Assessment and comparison of scenarios

  26. Work Package 6Conclusions and definition of future needs • WP-leader : BCI • Partners : KUL-SADL • Workload : 4,5 person months • Planning : start : month 25 end : month 29 Contents: • Drawing conclusions (per WP and overall) • Giving policy recommendations • Definition of future research needs

  27. Work Package 7Technical Assistance • WP-leader : BCI • Partners : TTR • Workload : 4 person months • Planning : start : month 1 end : month 30 Contents: • Setting up and maintaining a technical secretariat • Provide support for Soundboard Forum Meetings, Clustering Meetings, Final Conference and working groups

  28. Work Package 8Clustering Meetings • WP-leader : ITS • Partners : BCI • Workload : 4 person months • Planning : start : month 1 end : month 30 Contents: • Dissemination of findings of the project • Obtain critical feedback from experts and relevant actors • Enhance quality and relevance of the project

  29. Work Package 9Exploitation and Dissemination • WP-leader : TTR • Partners : - • Workload : 4 person months • Planning : start : month 1 end : month 30 Contents: • Raise awareness of the project • Encourage participation of stakeholders • Dissemination of outcomes of the project and encouragement of exploitation

  30. Any other businessClosure Next in STEPs • WP1 meeting: month 6, Lisbon • WP2 meeting: month 6, Athens

  31. Any other businessClosure Contact: Buck Consultants International Sander Kooijman Senior Consultant Ernst Voerman Consultant Details: Buck Consultants International P.O. Box 1456 6501 BL NIJMEGEN The Netherlands Phone : +31-24-3790222 Fax : +31-24-3790120 E-mail : sander.kooijman@bciglobal.com ernst.voerman@bciglobal.com

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