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The Next Era of Global Technological Development

The Next Era of Global Technological Development. Seminar at the John Curtin Institute of Public Policy Curtin University WA. Tuesday June 17 th 2014. Presented by Mal Bryce, Kelvin Willoughby and Ron Johnston. Australian Centre for Innovation

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The Next Era of Global Technological Development

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  1. The Next Era of Global Technological Development Seminar at the John Curtin Institute of Public Policy Curtin University WA. Tuesday June 17th 2014. Presented by Mal Bryce, Kelvin Willoughby and Ron Johnston Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  2. About Continuity, Breakthroughs and Convergence The Mature Phase of the Digital Era. The Biological Nexus of Technological Innovation. The Resource Efficiency Era. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  3. Breakthroughs in Life Sciences More Digital Disruption The Next 30 years Resource Efficiency Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  4. Presentation 1 The Mature Phase of the Digital Era. Mal Bryce Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  5. The Digital RevolutionBased on Information Technology and Telecommunications had its beginnings in the early 1970’s and is expected to extend through to the 2040’s. The nature and scope of innovation which it has produced has been unprecedented. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  6. A “Game Changing” environment….a wholesale shift for society and the economy. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  7. The Digital World & High Speed Networks. OnlineBusiness OnlineCommunityGroups COMMUNICATION LOCAL InternetworkedCommunity- virtual- physical INFORMATION ENTERTAINMENT TRANSACTIONS EDUCATION OnlineGovernment OnlineHouseholders GLOBAL COLLABORATION

  8. 6th wave Waves of Innovation 1770’s – 2030’s 5th wave Nano Technology Bio Technology Bio Mimicry Resource Efficiency Re Newable Energy Industrial ecology 4th wave Innovation 3rd wave Digital Networks Software Information Technology Telecommunications 2nd wave Oil Automobiles Petrochemicals Aviation Space Steel Electricity Chemicals Heavy Engineering 1st wave Steam Power And Railroads Iron Water power Mechanisation Textiles 1771 1830 1870’s 1920’s 1971 2030’s

  9. Classic Phases of the ICT Revolution1970’s – 2040’s Turning point DEPLOYMENT PERIOD INSTALLATION PERIOD Irruption Frenzy Synergy Maturity Degree of diffusion of the technological revolution Next big-bang big-bang 1971 Time 1987 2008-12 20?? 20?? 50 – 60 YEARS SOURCE: Perez, “Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital”

  10. Digital Disruption is widespread. Almost everything we do is impacted. The nature of consumption, competition, and work has changed. The balance of power between organizations and individuals has changed. Major new competitive pressure has arrived. Disruption varies across sectors and geography. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  11. The Age of High Speed Networks mean: More people, more data, more locations “Online” and faster outcomes Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  12. Globally from 2 Billion, (in 2010) the number of people online will double and treble quickly. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  13. Drivers for Further Digital Disruption Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  14. Rollout of High Speed Networks • Infrastructure for Gigabits and 100’s of Megabits • National retrofit for the copper telephone network. • The best possible mix of fibre glass, wireless and satellite. • Infrastructure for global competitiveness. Eg: Telstra to increase its data traffic One Thousand fold between 2011 and 2020 Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  15. Exponential Growth of Social Media. • Customer service becomes customer intimacy • By 2012 > 1billion people per day were accessing Facebook. • Facebook is now second only to Google for Internet activity. • Growth Rate for Twitter is greater than Facebook. • Customer profiling is ubiquitous. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  16. Mobility of devices, apps and data services Smart phones and tablets are the basis of a mobility revolution. The Age of the App has arrived Cheap to access Meet specific needs Keep track of their owners Generate massive volumes of data. Globally (by 2013) 30% of all mobile phones were smart phones. One in seven online searches is now from a mobile device. Wearable computers for enhanced reality are next. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  17. Big Data and Analytics Unprecedented volumes of data are now generated daily on a global basis. Big Data allows large volumes of data to be analysed to identify trends and patterns. Current data is now cross referenced with previous data. Supercomputing handles the mountain of data. Data literate people are in increasing demand. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  18. Devolution of Cloud Computing Origins in the surplus capacity of the Big Five. Outsourcing takes over from traditional “in-house” IT Infrastructure. Expected to be a Trillion Dollar business activity by 2015’ Delivers new services, cost reductions and support for remote working patterns. Provides superior security services. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  19. The Internet of Things 26 Billion THINGS connected to the Net by 2020 ?? (Gartner Group) Objects, animals and humans automatically transferring data. Mountains of data will result. Billions of sensors and transponders interacting with; the internal state of things the external environment. Future concerns about data privacy. Sovereignty and security. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  20. The Maturity of eCommerce Basic commercial processes remain the same. Technology has changed. By 2013 eCommerce (globally) reached a turnover > $1.3 Trillion. Now infinite options to buy goods and services online. Key Message: Adapt or Disappear. Unsolicited and targeted advertising push is of growing concern. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  21. A Wave of New Content:entertainment, visualisation and video collaboration Telepresence, video collaboration and 3D come of age. Dramatic changes for traditional media. Smart Glasses leaders in wearable computers ? Spontaneous citizen Video footage enters the arena. Since the mid 90’s Online Gaming has become a $70 Billion industry activity. Consumers looking for interactive involvement in entertainment. Migration of artists and audiences to new media Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  22. Cyber Security A new playground for digitally savvy criminals. Vulnerability of Online services. Limitations of national “Statute Law” Identity theft and the need for certification. New generation of end user “security services”. Cyber warfare and new threats to national security. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  23. Conclusions Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  24. Numerous Technologies and Disciplines have converged with Informatics eg: Bioinformatics Geoinformatics Hydroinformatics Business informatics Engineering informatics Environmental informatics Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  25. High Speed Networks and the new digital services have become basic sinews of our economy. Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

  26. The Links are now undeniable

  27. Breakthroughs in Life Sciences More Digital Disruption The Next 30 years Resource Efficiency Era Australian Centre for Innovation Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation

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