1 / 19

Profit when Gold rises or falls with ETFs

Profit when Gold rises or falls with ETFs. Presented by: Louis Paquette Publisher, EGS www.emerginggrowthstocks.ca www.emerginggrowthstocks.blogspot.com. Profit when Gold rises or falls with ETFs *Chart Updates as of May 28, 2008* GOLD $923 May 26. 908.76 (50-day)    837.65 (200-day)

vidor
Download Presentation

Profit when Gold rises or falls with ETFs

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Profit when Gold rises or falls with ETFs Presented by: Louis Paquette Publisher, EGS www.emerginggrowthstocks.ca www.emerginggrowthstocks.blogspot.com

  2. Profit when Gold rises or falls with ETFs*Chart Updates as of May 28, 2008*GOLD $923 May 26 • 908.76 (50-day)   837.65 (200-day) • Gold retraces 50% of the move down from $1,000 to $850 $75 + $850 = $925

  3. Profit when Gold rises or falls with ETFsHUI Index • Target: 375 (roughly 25 to 50 points below 200 dma)

  4. Profit when Gold rises or falls with ETFsHGD • Picked in March Issue at $7.88 - $10.34 on May 28 • Target is: $14 - $16 - where it was when gold last traded at $800 to $850

  5. Profit when Gold rises or falls with ETFsOur next Victim: Crude OilHOD $8.52 (May 28, 2008) Breaking the trend line….

  6. Profit when Gold rises or falls with ETFsVisit out Blog www.emerginggrowthstocks.blogspot.com

  7. Gold Seasonal Trading Strategies • Question: In ONE WORD, what is the biggest challenge facing stock market investors and speculators?

  8. Gold Seasonal Trading Strategies UNCERTAINTY • Over: • Overall market conditions • Interest rates • Commodity prices • Specific company performance • Government intervention • Low odds of discovering a mineable economic deposit • Competition • Etc., etc., etc…

  9. Gold Seasonal Trading StrategiesSo what is certain? 1. Patterns exit that one can profit from • Stock rise an average 7% per annum over time, but not consistently • There is a rhythm to asset price movement (cycles) from overbought to oversold, from overly optimistic to overly pessimistic Optimism Pessimism Stocks

  10. Gold Seasonal Trading Strategies2. Has strong annual seasonal tendencies Gold

  11. Gold Seasonal Trading StrategiesOnce Gold is overbought – it always returns to the moving average

  12. Gold Seasonal Trading StrategiesHUI Index Another strong tendency: Gold strength seems to alternate from year to year. Strong Weak Strong Weak Strong

  13. Gold Seasonal Trading StrategiesAn aggressive way to play the cycleHorizon BetaPro ETFs HGD & HGU Buy HGD anytime now on dips (on rallies in gold price) sell this summer

  14. Gold Seasonal Trading StrategiesAdvantages of Horizon’s ETF’s • Go Long or Short (“U” UP or “D” Down) • I.E.: HGDown or HGUp • Shorting and leverage without the hazards of short selling or options & futures • 2 X Leverage (they say. But really more) • If Gold moves 2%: • HUI 4% • HGD 6%

  15. Gold Seasonal Trading StrategiesThis summer: Sell HGD, Buy HGU

  16. Gold Seasonal Trading StrategiesExample of the leverage: 1-Day return using the HGU.TSX ETF on Jan 2,2008

  17. Gold Seasonal Trading Strategies5 month returns *All in Rounded numbers The HGU.TSX ETF clearly delivers superior returns

  18. Gold Seasonal Trading StrategiesHGU vs. Other Gold ETFs 5 month returns

  19. Gold Seasonal Trading StrategiesSpecific Suggested trades • Buy HGU (Horizon Gold UP) • At Cycle Bottom (June to August) • Sell at Cycle Top (Feb to May) 2. Buy HGD (Horizon Gold DOWN) • At Cycle Top (Feb to May) • Sell Cycle Bottom (June to August) Web Site: www.hbpetfs.com/hgu.asp

More Related