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PRODUCTION FACTOR CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE ECONOMIC GROWTH OF OECD ECONOMIES AT THE INDUSTRY LEVEL

PRODUCTION FACTOR CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE ECONOMIC GROWTH OF OECD ECONOMIES AT THE INDUSTRY LEVEL. Saša Drezgić, PhD University of Rijeka Faculty of Economicy. 15 th Dubrovnik Economic Conference. CONTENTS. INTRODUCTION LITERATURE OVERVIEW METHODOLOGY DATA RESULTS. INTRODUCTION.

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PRODUCTION FACTOR CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE ECONOMIC GROWTH OF OECD ECONOMIES AT THE INDUSTRY LEVEL

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  1. PRODUCTION FACTOR CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE ECONOMIC GROWTH OF OECD ECONOMIES AT THE INDUSTRY LEVEL Saša Drezgić, PhD University of Rijeka Faculty of Economicy 15th Dubrovnik Economic Conference

  2. CONTENTS • INTRODUCTION • LITERATURE OVERVIEW • METHODOLOGY • DATA • RESULTS

  3. INTRODUCTION • industry level growth accounting applied on the case of OECD economies • Development of new databases (EU-KLEMS, STAN) • OECD countries – available data and homogenous group of countries

  4. ECONOMIC GROWTH AT THE INDUSTRY LEVEL • Voluminous aggregate industry level research - Sturm (1998), Kamps (2004) • Minasian, 1969, Lynde and Richmond, 1993, Jorgenson and Stiroh, 2000 • Value added vs. gross output

  5. = a + b + b + b + Y K H L u it it 1 it 2 it it METHODOLOGY • Are variables stationary? • Within, Random effects and Olley-Pakes procedure • FMOLS – fully modified OLS

  6. DATA • 15 OECD countries • Australia, Austria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italia, Japan, Korea, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovenia, Sweden, United Kingdom and United States • 1995 to 2005

  7. DATA – variables used • value added • net capital stock • gross fixed capital formation • total hours worked by persons engaged • total hours worked by high-skilled persons engaged

  8. DATA - industries

  9. RESULTS – unit root tests • Levin, Liu and Chu (LLC) test, Im, Peseran and Shin, (IPS) test, ADF, PP test • Small sample issue • Differenty dynamics? • Mix of stationary and non-sationary variables

  10. RESULTS – traditional estimation • Coefficients on capital input high and significant • Endogeneity issue – Olley-Pakes procedure • human capital variable shows robust positive and significant results only in the sector of manufacturing

  11. RESULTS – FMOLS • Variables are cointegrated • Endogeneity not resolved • Point estimates differ significantly • Human capital positive at the aggregate industry level

  12. CONCLUSION • positive effects of capital accumulation across all sectors and share of high-skilled persons engaged in the sector of manufacturing. • Issue of endogeneity remains • Further research

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