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Assessment impact of flood to socio-economics of along Namngum river of Nasaithong and Xaythany districts (1995-2004)by using ECLAC methodology. Presented by Mr. Phetsavang Sounnalath- Director NDMO/Lao PDR. Content of presentation;. project background purpose of assessment
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Assessment impact of flood to socio-economics of along Namngum river of Nasaithong and Xaythany districts (1995-2004)by using ECLAC methodology Presented by Mr. Phetsavang Sounnalath- Director NDMO/Lao PDR
Content of presentation; • project background • purpose of assessment • implementing technique • impact assessment • ECLAC methodology • lesson learned and recommendation
Project background; • under project cooperation with UNESCAP on using ECLAC methodology to assess the impact of flood to socio-economics of selected areas along Namngum River of Nasaithong and Xaythany districts • the study covered Vientiane Mun. and two districts in general, but focused on 10 target villages. • 5 villages of Nasaithong and 5 in Xaythany districts, all are flooded almost every year. • The study had done on 4 sectors; agriculture, health, transport and education
Purpose of assessment • first experiment on using ECLAC to Laos to compare with existing methods to find the gaps • to have more clear picture of flood impact in both sides direct and indirect in order to compare the total losses to development indicators • To build an example from NAMNGUM case and adapt to Laos in general • to build a factors that benefit for planning and persuading decision markers.
Implementation technique • Building assessment team • Scope; determine the target area to be studied; 10 villages of two districts along NAMNGUM • Four sectors; social, agriculture, transport and education • working on data • set up the outcome
The assessment of flood impact • social impact; • direct ;the loss of individual person and family income in flooded year from 30 – 45% • indirect; flood changed people habit and occupation • forced labor out of their places, many migrated to city or cross border • impacted to people food ration and health • exhausted effected people resources • put people in debt and make them poorer • effected to price of agricultural products • psychology impact; nerves and loss confidence……
Flood impact • Agriculture; • direct; the impact and loss of paddy field, vegetable fields, fishponds and livestock • indirect; estimated the cost of rehabilitation of paddy and vegetable fields and fishponds, the cost of purchasing of replacement of poultry and animals • for example; in two study Nasaithong and Xaythany districts 2002
Flood impact to agriculture Direct loss; (calculation ) • Damage cost of agriculture area 1 ha= 3.991.000 kips • Damage cost of vegetable area 1 ha = 3.300.000 kips • Damage cost of maize field 1 ha = 2.564.000 kips Indirect loss; (estimate) • Estimate loss of rice yield 1 ha(4 tons) = 6.000.000 kips • Estimate loss of vegetable product 1 ha(3.5 tons)= 5.250.000 kips • Estimate loss of maize yield 1 ha(3 tons) = 4.500.000 kips
Flood impact to health sector • The clinics and dispensary of two districts were not seriously effected due to the location facilities are not in risky places • flood created problems; - polluted and shortage of drinking water - damage to sanitation facilities; well, toilets - polluted environment, smelled dirt - born some diseases; diarrhea, foot disease - spending more money for treatment Direct loss; calculation of the cost for repairing wells and toilets Indirect loss; - estimate the cost for buying or transporting drinking water - cost of cleaning houses and other facilities
Flood impact to education sector • Some school were affected by strong wind and rain in flood period, but were not seriously damaged, only number of roofs, tables, chairs, benches and boards had been damaged • the direct cost of damage is estimate the cost of repairing facilities • indirect estimate is based on renting temporally place for school function will awaiting for repair in duration of 10 days (5 classes x 150.000 kips x days) • The total cost of damage for schools in 10 villages is 78.800.000 kips (see table 12 in the report)
Flood impact to transportation and road • Problems; flood affected to roads every year • roads to villages had been damaged or cut for some time • increased cost of public and private transport during and after flood • Boards had been used to travel to some areas • The direct loss is calculation of repairing or rebuilding roads • Indirect loss is counted upraising price of transport cost
Experience on using ECLAC • ECLAC provided comprehensive framework for analyzing flood impact to all sectors, it help drawing up full scenario of impact in both ways direct and indirect • provide more accurately factors for persuading decision on countermeasures such as; relief, rehabilitation and reconstruction • example can be used to assess the flood impact to countrywide especially important when it can compare percentage of losses to GDP • the existing method is showed that the current practice of estimation could bring to attention only about 50% of total damages and losses if compare to using an ECLAC method • This is the first time that indirect impact had been counted in assessment in Laos • poor recorded and stored of information in local community made gathered information has low accuracy • No experience and technique on estimating of indirect impact
Recommendation • further adapting ECLAC to Laos at countrywide • training on ECLAC • NDMO should take the lead • propose structural works; building drainage system, earthen embankment, repairing roads and schools • running capacity building activities; improve an early warning and information dissemination, environmental management, training on disaster reduction