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The Hawaii Ocean Time-series and Science at Station ALOHA. Roger Lukas GES 100 9/22/11. What is a time-series?. Exploration/discovery in time in a consistent way!. green and orange symbols show different methods. expeditions. trend analysis highly uncertain.
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The Hawaii Ocean Time-series and Science at Station ALOHA Roger Lukas GES 1009/22/11
What is a time-series? Exploration/discovery in time in a consistent way! green and orange symbols show different methods expeditions trend analysis highly uncertain Understanding Signals versus “Noise”(and Instrument/Methods Errors)
Why do we need time series? • Expeditionary measurements explore the ocean and map distributions of stuff • affected by time in unknown ways (aliasing) • difficult to study processes and trends (rates of change) Aliasing
visual aliasing due to inadequate resolution of brick wall structure
processes Observational platforms The Ocean Sampling Problem Tommy Dickey (UCSB)
Objectives of HOT • Observe and understand ocean physics and climate variations • Observe and understand biogeochemistry and ecosystem variations and their relation to climate
What is HOT? • ~ monthly cruises since 1988 • NSF, State of Hawaii, NOAA, etc funding
Why Station ALOHA? North Pacific subtropical gyre Representative of the subtropical gyre Deep ocean (~4800 m) Far enough from direct island influences Close enough to Honolulu(one day roundtrip)
What (and how) do we measure? Shipboard lowering, water collection, drifting arrays, moorings
What (and how) do we measure? • Moorings – show WHOTS deployment/recovery video • ACO deployment and seafloor video • Real-time data • audio! • video … • Gliders give us spatial perspective Shipboard Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler
What (and how) do we measure? • ACO deployment and seafloor video • Real-time data • audio! • video …
ALOHA Kauai Deep Oahu Seamounts Kaena Pt. Maui Deep Kahe Pt. HAW-4 cable Makaha cable station
ALOHA Kauai Deep Oahu Seamounts Kaena Pt. Maui Deep Kahe Pt. HAW-4 cable Makaha cable station
ALOHA Kauai Deep Oahu Seamounts cold overflow events Kaena Pt. Maui Deep Kahe Pt.
What have we learned? • Variations and change are the rule in the ocean • Ocean climate is changing • Ocean and atmospheric physics drive ecosystem • Ecosystem is much more complex than imagined 20 years ago • 1-dimensional (depth-time) models are not adequate; advection is important (hmmm, currents)
What is changing in the ocean? • Sea level • Temperature • Salinity • Circulation • Mixing • Biogeochemistry (CO2, pH, O2, nutrients, primary production, …) Density; stratification complex coupling
Physics and Climate • Distinct trends over 20+ years • ENSO –> decadal large-scale wind and rainfall variations result in complex ocean changes • Salinity effects on stability (resistance to mixing) • Eddies are frequent • Internal tides – ALOHA is hot spot • Abyssal circulation – cold events and turbulence
surface salinity 1 psu 1988 2007 1950 2007 Station ALOHALukas and Santiago-Mandujano (2008) 1988 2007
Thermohaline Trends @ ALOHA θ(z) S(z) • Warming over much of upper ocean (x 275-350 m!) • Peak warming 150-200 m (Smax), not at surface • Cooling below 700 m • Salinity increasing in upper 200 m • Freshening in the thermocline 0.16/decade 0.4 °C/decade
Density and Stratification σθ(z) N(z) • 0-100 m density ↑ • 100-1000 density ↓ • Stratification ↓ in upper ocean • 200-350 m ↑ 0 m Less stable dark blue – annual meanslight blue – cruise means more stable 200 m
Low N:P of entrained nutrients Mean Nitracline Depth Updated and adapted from Dore et al. 2008, Prog Oceanogr 76:2
Biogeochemistry • ENSO – decadal productivity and other ecosystem • regime shifts – N2 to P limitation • importance of events (e.g. eddies) to long-term upper-ocean nutrients and productivity
Acidification @ ALOHA Updated and adapted from Dore et al. (2009, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106:12235 ) DIC Maximum not in surface layer pH of surface ocean pH trendvsdepth Annual, interannual, decadal and longer term changes in surface forcing, mixing, and advection Local and remote physics are crucial, not just pCO2, temperature and biology pH This point was made in the paper
Anomalies of pH and mixed layer depth Updated and adapted from Dore et al. 2009, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106:12235
P-stimulation of N2-supported blooms Dave Karl NASA
Sources and sinks of DIC – balancing budgets Keeling et al. 2004, Global Biogeochem Cycles 18, GB4006, doi:10.1029/2004GB002227
Resources • http://aloha.manoa.hawaii.edu • http://www.soest.hawaii.edu/HOT_WOCE/ • http://hahana.soest.hawaii.edu/hot/hot_jgofs.html • http://www.soest.hawaii.edu/whots/ • http://aco-ssds.soest.hawaii.edu/ACO • http://www.whoi.edu/virtual/oceansites/index.html • Karl, D.M., J.E. Dore, R. Lukas, A.F. Michaels, N.R. Bates, and A. Knap, 2001: Building the Long-Term Picture: The U.S. JGOFS Time-Series Programs. Oceanography 14(4):6-17 • Karl, D.M. 2010. Oceanic ecosystem time-series programs: Ten lessons learned. Oceanography 23(3):104–125, doi:10.5670/oceanog.2010.27.
ALOHA Kauai Deep Oahu Seamounts Kaena Pt. Maui Deep Kahe Pt.
pH of surface ocean Updated and adapted from Dore et al. 2009, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106:12235
Acidification by carbonic acid Adapted from Dore et al. 2009, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106:12235
Dissolved Oxygen and Nutrients O29 μmol/kg/decade Phosphate0.06 μmol/kg/decade Remineralization of organic material along streamlines?