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Sustainable maritime transport – challenges and opportunities. Markis annual conference, 2011. Eight global megatrends. ELIMINATING RISK IS NOT AN OPTION. Source: DNV Technology Outlook 2020. Two dominant uncertainties. Four global scenarios. Maritime. Source: DNV Technology Outlook 2020.
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Sustainable maritime transport – challenges and opportunities Markis annual conference, 2011
Eight global megatrends ELIMINATING RISK IS NOT AN OPTION Source: DNV Technology Outlook 2020
Four global scenarios Maritime Source: DNV Technology Outlook 2020 4
Baltic Shipping We are here 16.11.2011, 11:50am UTC – about 1500 AIS targets source: www.marinetraffic.com
Baltic Shipping: Economy November 23, 2011
The Baltic Scenario? Maritime ENVIRONMENTAL Scenarios ENVIRONMENTAL 8
H C H The Baltic Scenario – three technical options efficient ship design fuel selection technology H H
Compliance potential, 2stroke Existing Ships • (*) requires energy
Economic benefits retrofit – Ro-Ro within ECA • Conversion of exiting ro/ro passenger vessel and 17 years remaining operation. • LNG at 12$/mmbtu = 570$/ton and 2,4% inflation vs. MGO at 700 $/ton
Challenges Opportunities Accident with LNG Technology leadership 1st mover advantage Societal wealth Sea – to – road Access to capital OPEX Security of supply brand More regulations OPEX alliances Short-term financial expectation Business model CAPEX Commercial niches
Safeguarding life, property and the environment www.dnv.com