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American Foreign Policy and East Asia

American Foreign Policy and East Asia. Spring, 2014. (North)East Asia ?. Relationship. Rising China?. Energy issues?. Trade Deficit?. Human Rights?. Relationship. After World War ‖. Bilateral Approach (hub-and-spoke) The U.S. & Japan (1951), South Korea(1953),

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American Foreign Policy and East Asia

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  1. American Foreign Policy and East Asia Spring, 2014

  2. (North)East Asia?

  3. Relationship Rising China? Energy issues? Trade Deficit? Human Rights?

  4. Relationship

  5. After World War ‖ Bilateral Approach (hub-and-spoke) The U.S. & Japan (1951), South Korea(1953), Nationalist China (1954) NATO

  6. Why the bilateral approach? • Relative Size of the Regional Actors • Geographic Characteristics • State-level Factors: Japan’s Characteristics • Diversity • Institutional Path-dependence

  7. Relationship China-Taiwan-US

  8. China-Taiwan-US • Current Relationship between China and Taiwan? Couldn’t be better! • - In February, the first official direct talk since 1949. • - A possible summit in November? • - Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement (June, 2013) • - Allowing Chinese tourists to visit Taiwan • - Direct flight between China and Taiwan Since Ma, Ying-Jeou became the president in 2008

  9. China-Taiwan-US • Trade: (in hundred million dollars)* *China’s Taiwan Affairs Office

  10. China-Taiwan-US • People visiting each other’s territory (in ten thousand)* *China’s Taiwan Affairs Office

  11. China-Taiwan-US • 1950: During Korean War, Deployment of The Seventh Fleet • 1954-55/1958: The First and Second Taiwan Strait Crisis • 1979: U.S. Recognition of The PRC & The Taiwan Relations Act • 1995-1996: The Third Taiwan Strait Crisis • 2005: China passed the Anti-Secession Law

  12. 1995/1996 the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis The Trigger --U.S. approval of a visa for Lee Teng-hui to visit the United States (May, 22, 1995) What happened: Series of Missile Tests by China and Taiwan China: July, 1995 / August, 1995 /March, 1996 Taiwan: September, 1995 The U.S. :Deployment of two carrier battle groups March, 1996

  13. 1995/1996 the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis • Taiwanese Domestic Politics

  14. Relationship China-Japan-US

  15. China-Japan-US • Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) • BBC Interview From CNN

  16. Relationship Japan-Korea-US

  17. Japan-Korea-US • Alliance Management 1) Territorial disputes Dokdo / Takeshima /West Sea

  18. Japan-Korea-US • Alliance Management 1) Territorial disputes 2) History : Yasukuni shrine, Comfort women, and history textbook.

  19. Relationship North Korea-US-Others

  20. North Korea -1st Nuclear Crisis (1993-1994) North Korea Threatened to withdraw from NPT Carter’s mediation Agreed Framework

  21. North Korea -2nd Nuclear Crisis (2002-) October, 2002: North Korea admitted that it had a secret nuclear weapons program August, 2003: Six-Party Talk October, 2006: North Korea tested its first nuclear weapons May, 2009: the second test Feb, 2013: the third test

  22. North Korea High priority • Divergent Interests? Issue U.S. PRC Japan ROK Nuclear Proliferation Refugees Ballistic Missiles Source: Inside Multilateralism: The Six-Party Talks by John S. Park

  23. North Korea • Change of Leadership in North Korea • Change in Chinese perception of North Korea? • Recent events: - Unofficial meeting between North Korea and Japan regarding the investigation on kidnapped Japanese -North Korea threatened to conduct another nuclear test -Efforts to resume six-party talks

  24. Conclusion • Pivot to Asia? • Complicated relationship between states in East Asia • Pay attention to news this week! 23-25: Japan 25-26: Korea (Malaysia / Philippines)

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