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Introduction to the Research Unit

Delve into the intriguing world of scientific attitude and critical thinking, exploring concepts like hindsight bias, overconfidence, and perceiving order from random events. Discover the power of curiosity, skepticism, and humility in evaluating evidence and assessing conclusions.

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Introduction to the Research Unit

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  1. Introduction to theResearch Unit

  2. Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known. - Carl Sagan

  3. “Buried deep within each and every one of us there is an instinctive, heart-felt awareness that provides – if we allow it to – the most reliable guide.” - Prince Charles, 2000 Are our instincts our “most reliable guide?”

  4. Which is further east: Reno, NV or Los Angeles, CA Atlanta, GA or Detroit, MI

  5. Which is further north: New York, NY or Paris, France?

  6. “The naked intellect is an extraordinarily inaccurate instrument.” - Madeleine L’Engle, 1973

  7. Hindsight Bias • Hindsight Bias • The tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that you could have foreseen the result. • “I knew it all along”

  8. Hindsight Bias Common sense more easily describes what has happened that what willhappen.

  9. Hindsight Bias

  10. Overconfidence • Overconfidence • The tendency to be more confident than correct – to overestimate the accuracy of our beliefs and judgments • Together with hindsight bias, can lead to overestimate our intuition

  11. How good are you at solving anagrams? WREAT = WATER ETRYN = ENTRY GRABE = OCHSA = BARGE CHAOS We humans tend to think we know more than what we do.

  12. Perceiving Order in Random Events We have a natural eagerness to make sense out of our world, so we perceive patterns. 1 in 2,598,960 1 in 2,598,960

  13. The Scientific Attitude • Three main components • Curious eagerness • Skeptical testing of ideas • Open-minded humility

  14. Critical Thinking • Critical Thinking • Thinking that does not blindly accept arguments and conclusions These factors are why we need to engage in research.

  15. Scientific American Frontiersexcerpts from episode 8(13 minutes)

  16. Concepts to Remember • Hindsight Bias • Overconfidence • Perceiving order from random events • Three aspects of a scientific attitude • Use of critical thinking

  17. Ticket Out The Door How does the scientific attitude contribute to critical thinking? The scientific attitude combines curiosity, skepticism, and humility to evaluate evidence, assess conclusions, and examine our own assumptions.

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