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Declaration of Conflict of Interest. Allan Davison. Making hunger history?. adavison@sfu.ca. please disturb!. www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition. 2. Making hunger history?. Where are we?. Much better since the MDGs, but far from making hunger history. What’s working, what’s not?.
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Allan Davison Making hunger history? adavison@sfu.ca please disturb! www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition 2
Making hunger history? Where are we? Much better since the MDGs, but far from making hunger history What’s working, what’s not? Only 5-10 nations of 23 will reach 0.7% of GDP. None will forgo unfair trade rules Where are we going? Hunger on a global scale will disappear, in 2 or 3 more 15y plans. New initiatives
Aid isn’t workingTrade for profit instead Profit motive hasn’t worked - aid is needed Trillions wasted! - 1 b still starving V little is wasted Population outstrips food supply Malthus is wrong Most aid corrupt dictators Corrupt multinationals MDGs won’t be achieved Broken promises Never promised 0.7% and anyway … You did so! … we give more than anyone! ½ what EU gives! “Trade notaid” Trade barriers. Fair trade & aid 2008 recession “They” didn’t cause it 4
Manifest destiny of world - wealth China + India 2040? World GDP $PPP per cap (est) 1500-2100 http://ers.usda.gov/Data/Macroeconomics/
Number of malnourished world-wide See also: WHO, UN, WB, USDA, CIA, OECD, IFPRI UNICEF 2009 kcal per household surveyed water-carrier http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Tracking_Progress_on_Child_and_Maternal_Nutrition_EN_110309.pdf
World% undernourished 22% same data 14%
Number fed & under-nourished worldwide Prediction millions Target 33% 14% 11% 6% 8 8
Percentage stunted http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Tracking_Progress_on_Child_and_Maternal_Nutrition_EN_110309.pdf 60% http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/content/32/4/518.full.pdf Africa Asia 40% Latin Am 20% 1980 & every 5 years Last 2 or 3 points are projections
200m Number stunted http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs290/en/index.html http://www.fao.org/mdg/en/ http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/reports.shtml#mdgs Asia 100m Africa Latin Am 1980 & every 5 years 0 10
Paying for total strangers to eat? } Not us, not if it goes to corruptdictators” 11
“Phantom aid”, the wasted 47% “Development aid”, not spent on poverty or development Lost to: Inefficiency Unfair trade Emergency aid Refugees Tied to benefit rich & Debt relief Refers to ODA, notMDGs Real aid53% http://www.globalissues.org/article/35/foreign-aid-development-assistance#GovernmentsCuttingBackonPromisedResponsibilities
Corrupt Dictators? Rich... Accept personal & campaign “contributions” peddling influence. Could stop bribery at home & abroad by abolishing secret a/c wikipedia Lockheed SwissAir ... &Poor 1000s presidents, PMs, bureaucrats in rich 200s MNCs 10s corrupt dictators 100s bureaucrats Accept “bribes” to give trade concessions that impoverish their people 13
We know what works • Transparent & accountable , open bids • Partnerships not paternalism • Goals, objectives, timed milestones • Strategies revised annually by both partners • Externally monitored. No political pressure • Sustainable emphasis on poverty, agriculture • Serves recipient needs, not donor / ideology • Firm long-term commitments: MV, Grameen Unrealistic? Let’s see ... 14
Beyond MDGs: amazing changes • The Millennium Village project • Grameen Family of social enterprises • Billionaire philanthropists & foundations • Instant spread of innovations: agric, educ, &c • Passionate & influential voices for change • Scientists & students bring energy to future www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition 15
The End adavison@sfu.ca www.sfu.ca/global-hunger adavison@sfu.ca www.sfu.ca/global-hunger 17