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Load Forecasting. Resource Characterization. Resource Optimization. Program Implementation. Program Evaluation. Illustrative EE/DSM/DR Planning Process. What is the need without intervention?. What are the alternative ways to create supply and/or reduce demand?
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Load Forecasting Resource Characterization Resource Optimization Program Implementation Program Evaluation Illustrative EE/DSM/DR Planning Process What is the need without intervention? • What are the alternative ways to create supply and/or reduce demand? • What do these alternatives: • cost • provide in capacity* • What other characteristics do they have? What are the decision criteria and constraints? How do various combinations of alternatives impact the decision criteria? What is the “optimal” combination of alternatives? Which program designs are most appropriate? Delivery of programs Validation of actual program impacts* Process evaluations and improvements *Possible focus of Phase 1 Standards
Resource Characterization Illustrative Issues in Resource Characterization • Scope (DSM, DR, Renewables, Rates, Standards, Policies) • Utility Sponsored or "other sponsored" • Market Transformation • Measure List • Fuel Switching • Source Efficiency • Cogeneration • Baseline Characteristics • Engineering Estimates • Simulation, etc. • Borrowed Data • Stipulations • Value of Information • Climate Zones • Building Types • Customer Usage Stats (hours of use, etc.) • Measure Life • Persistence • Measure O&M • Net-to-Gross • Snap Back • Free Drivers • Measure Costs • Territory Demographics • Participation rates • Program cost Profiles • Program vs. Measure vs. Market
Program Evaluation Illustrative Issues in Program Evaluation • Sample Size and Precision • Methodologies/Protocols • M&V Independence • Impact Scope (energy and demand) • Net-to-Gross • Spill-over • Persistence and Degredation • Lifetime • Measure Costs • Installation Quality • Assumption Validation