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Looking Ahead

Looking Ahead. Joint Special Populations Advisory Committee December 5, 2012. Presentation available at scottlay.com. Topics. Looking Back Looking Ahead Discussion. 1910. Fresno becomes first junior college after the Legislature authorizes high schools to offer postsecondary courses.

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Looking Ahead

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  1. Looking Ahead • Joint Special Populations Advisory Committee • December 5, 2012 Presentation available at scottlay.com

  2. Topics • Looking Back • Looking Ahead • Discussion

  3. 1910 • Fresno becomes first junior college after the Legislature authorizes high schools to offer postsecondary courses

  4. 1917 • Legislature enacts Junior College Act, extends courses of study to: • mechanical and industrial arts • household economy • agriculture • civic education and • commerce.

  5. 1921 • Legislature authorizes creation of local districts • Organized under K-12 laws • locally-elected governing boards • State Department of Education to monitor • Creation of Junior College Fund • Nation’s first state funding

  6. 1960 • formally recognized the three systems • CCC mission: transfer, vocational and general ed • 56 locally governed districts; 380,000 students

  7. 1967 • Dept of Ed oversight deemed weak • Board of Governors created • “Bilateral governance” • 76 colleges, 610,000 students

  8. The Era of Change 1970s - 1980s • 1976 - Education Employment Relations Act • 1978 - Proposition 13 • 1984 - first enrollment fee • 1988 - AB 1725 • 1988 - Proposition 98

  9. 1990s-2000s • 1991-94: Recession caused fee increases, cuts. • 1994-2000: Strong revenue growth increased Prop 98 guarantee, fast CCC growth. • 2001: Stock market collapse • 2008: Real estate, banking collapse • Time of significant change.

  10. CCC 1980 61% white

  11. CCC 2012 69%non-white

  12. Shift Happens. Are we shifting accordingly?

  13. Three Years of Change • Dramatic changes in adult and noncredit education. • Significant reduction in “recreational” courses or “lifelong learning.” • Limits on community college repeatability. • Priority registration (forthcoming).

  14. CCC Enrollment

  15. K-12 Graduates Change

  16. Proposition 30 • “Yes” votes by age: • 18-29: 69% • 25-29: 61% • 30-39: 53% • 40-49: 47% • 50-64: 48% • 65+: 48% Yes: 55.3%, No: 44.7%

  17. Budget Outlook

  18. Proposition 983.4%-5.3% increase per year

  19. Looking Ahead • State’s outlook is moderately strong. • K-12 graduates 4% lower in 2020-21 than in 2009-10. • Students will choose employment over education. • Fixed and accrued costs will escalate as % of district budgets. • PERS, STRS, Retiree Health, “deferred” maintenance • Low demand will give “catch up” time. • Opportunities, and challenges ahead with divergent district needs.

  20. Looking Ahead for CTE • Modest Prop. 98 funding increases will strain budgets and pressure “low cost” programs. • High demand in high cost programs --how to fund? • Increased federal accountability likely with Perkins reauthorization.

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