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Future Trends: Health Professions and Careers. Presented to Labour Market Conference July 2014 Pamela Cawley Dean of Health Sciences Douglas College . Health Care .
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Future Trends: Health Professions and Careers Presented to Labour Market Conference July 2014 Pamela Cawley Dean of Health Sciences Douglas College
Health Care • Total spending on health care in Canada was projected to reach $200 billion in 2011 and in 2013 health care spending reached 211 billion.
Overview of System Drivers • Population Age • Well elderly/knowledgeable • Chronic conditions • Population Knowledge • Quantified Self • Population Culture: Transformational
Overview of System Drivers • Models of Care • Curative, Preventative, Restorative, Integrative • Less time in institutions (hospital care) • Increase in community and interprofessional care
Overview of System Drivers • Health Conditions • Mental Health and substance challenges • Chronicity • Technology • Changing Health Care Provider Workforce • Regulation/credentialing
Future Health Care Providers Knowledge, Skills, Abilities • Education • Across the spectrum – certificates, diplomas, degrees, post graduate • Science base plus a broader knowledge • Emotional Intelligence • Communication, interpersonal, interprofessional • Life long learning • Intellectual/innovative curiosity • Adaptability • Technology
CIHI Health Professions Twenty Seven Health Care Professions studied on an ongoing basis http://www.cihi.ca/
CIHI Classified Health Care Providers • Audiologists • Chiropractors • Dental – dentists, dental hygienists, assistants • Dietitians • Environmental and Public Health • Health Information Management • Pharmacist • Physician • Psychologists • Nursing: RN, RPN, Nurse Practitioner, LPN, Health Care Support Worker • Medical Laboratory Technologists • Medical Physicists • Medical Imaging • Midwives • Occupational Therapists • Physiotherapists • Optometry: Optometrists, Opticians • Respiratory Therapists
Future Health Care Provider Trends….2025 • Physicians/Physicians Assistants • Anticipate a change in ration from 1.8/1000 to 1.4 per 1000 • Greatest shift in family practice • Geographical disparity
Future Health Care Provider Trends….2025 • Nursing • Range of the term “nurse” difficult for public and consumer – wide range of knowledge, skills and abilities • 2010 data 269,000 Registered Nurses (degree as entry to practice or 7.7 nurses per 1,000 population). Males in nursing has remained steady over the years – approximately 6%
Future Health Care Provider Trends….2025 • Shift to increased range – LPN’s HCSW (various titles)-regulation changing. • Salaries increased significantly over 10 year period for nurses in practice – 55 – 90K – producing an issue with nurses going into education and research • RPN • Nurse Practitioner
Future Health Care Provider Trends….2025 • Supply and Demand • Vast majority of health care professions are demonstrating an adequate rate of supply and demand • Professions increasing by 50% or more: physiotherapists (53%), pharmacists (54%), dietitians (56%), optometrists (58%), chiropractors (75%), respiratory therapists (81%), medical physicists (83%), occupational therapists (88%), dental hygienists (102%), social workers (163%)
Future Health Care Provider Trends….2025 • Supply and Demand • Average age in vast majority of health care provider roles is 35 – 45 yrs. of age. Physicians, RPNs, RNs and Med Lab Tech at the top end of age in workforce (55 yrs. Plus) • Percentage of workforce that is part time remains steady – may be choice or availability (22% of workforce) with an increase in GP’s, dentists, psychologists, and dental hygienists.
Future Health Care Provider Trends….2025 • Emerging Trends • Health Technology/analytics/big data – emerging market: electronic health records, privacy, data security • Biomedical Engineering and Innovation • Simulation • Health Business/Policy/Insurance
Future Health Care Provider Trends….2025 • Emerging Trends • Community Based Care – Pharmacy • Chronicity/Disability specialists • Health and Wellness Markets- Kinesiology/Physiotherapy • Fitness Specialist • Public Health and Safety • Rural and Cultural/Global Health