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Microfinance in South Asia. Richard Palmer-Jones, School of Development Studies, University of East Anglia, South Asian Development, Spring 2007. Financial Market Failures. Colonial (and earlier) analysis of usurious moneylenders
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Microfinance in South Asia Richard Palmer-Jones, School of Development Studies,University of East Anglia,South Asian Development, Spring 2007
Financial Market Failures • Colonial (and earlier) analysis of usurious moneylenders • Slow rate of growth of agriculture “forced commercialisation thesis … argu[es] that moneylenders as a class might be averse to land improving investments” Roy, 2006:162 • Usury, debt, land transfer and political instability • Malcolm Darling on “The Punjab Peasantry in Prosperity and Debt” • debt associated with prosperity and creditworthiness • “peasant cultivators who take over the burden of 'irrationality,' while moneylenders emerge as rational but immoral.“ • Rational entrepreneurs • “.. the moneylender as an independent, strictly small-scale entrepreneur whose business activities are confined to credit transactions with his client agriculturalists.” • Failures of rural and small farmers’ credit • Old and New farm/rural credit policies
Microfinance: a Policy that Succeeds? • “In the public eye, and according to many analysts, microfinance has been successful“ (Hulme & Moore, 2006) • Success in Bangladesh? • Mainly within the NGO sector • Donor support • Has Microfinance been a success? • What sort of success? (economic, social, political) • Under what conditions has it been successful? • Back to Darling?
Agricultural Marketing and Credit • Usurious money lenders • Credit cooperatives • Rural financial institutions • Interlinked contracts
Farmer and Rural Credit • Old Credit Policies • Replace inefficient rural financial markets/institutions • Fragmented and incomplete • Unequal access and terms (social, temporal, spatial) • seasonal cash constraints • Credit constraints for agricultural (and rural non-farm enterprise) inputs • Fixed capital (irrigation pumps, tractors, buildings/storage, etc.) • Variable inputs (fertilisers, pesticides, seeds, fuel, repairs, animal feeds, etc.) • Promote new agricultural technologies • Green revolution • Compensate for low agricultural output prices - subsidy • Political patronage (electoral cycles) • Accommodate aid donors
Institutions & instruments of the old credit policies • Institutions • Agricultural banks • Credit cooperatives (KSS in Bangladesh) • Multi-purpose development institutions • Crop and project authorities and state marketing boards • Commercial banks (rural/farm/project quotas) • Instruments • Subsidised interest rates • Credit targets and portfolio regulations • Credit linked inputs and or outputs, etc. • Problems • “fungibility” and wasteful borrowing • Financial non-viability • Lack of savings opportunities • High transactions costs • Corruption and poor loan recovery rates • Widespread exclusion and unmet need
Analysis of Credit Markets • Moral Hazard • Unobserved action • Adverse Selection • Unobserved type • Borrowers • Lenders • Intermediaries • Sponsors
New credit policies • Financial Sustainability • Commercial interest rates • Loan recovery • Savings • Institutional innovations • Contract farming • Group saving and lending • Microfinance institutions • Peer-group monitoring • Diversified financial services
Financial Services and Well-being • The numbers • Many households take credit but these records are not very clear about benefits • Loans for investment • Invest in physical (including working) and human capital • Take on more profitable (risky) activities • Reduce dependence on high cost and exploitative sources of finance • Consumption smoothing • Consumption credit
Can we evaluate microfinance using econometrics? • How good are the data on credit etc.? • Selection of sites by programs • Non-random placement of programs • Selection of clients • Better off • Now well accepted that the “poorest” generally not included • Different programs have different targets • Self selection • Unobserved characteristics
A More Commercial Approach? • Linking to formal financial institutions • Financial performance vs social performance – the “double bottom line” • Repayment rates • Subsidies • Poverty reduction • Empowerment • Women • The old • Youth • Marginal groups • But is growth and macro-economic stability key?