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Beesboerdery : Die Winsgewendheidspel & Prys Transmissie

Beesboerdery : Die Winsgewendheidspel & Prys Transmissie. Frikkie Maré RPO Vrystaat 14 Junie 2013. Die Spel. Doelwit  Maksimeer Wins Omgewing ( Bord )  Makro  Mikro (P & V)  Mark Reëls (Hoe jy skuif )  Insette  Uitsette. Makro Omgewing. Mikro Omgewing.

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Beesboerdery : Die Winsgewendheidspel & Prys Transmissie

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  1. Beesboerdery: Die Winsgewendheidspel&PrysTransmissie Frikkie Maré RPO Vrystaat 14 Junie 2013

  2. Die Spel • Doelwit MaksimeerWins • Omgewing (Bord)  Makro  Mikro(P & V)  Mark • Reëls (Hoe jyskuif)  Insette  Uitsette

  3. MakroOmgewing

  4. MikroOmgewing

  5. Mark Omgewing

  6. Insette: Hoeveel?Super Duper Aanvulling

  7. Insette: KostesvsInkomste?SDA R50/10g & Vleis R30/kg

  8. Uitsette: Wanneer?

  9. Die Prysketting

  10. Prys: Boer en Agent “Weegek en danskryfjy, of weegjy en danskryfek?”

  11. Boer en Kleinhandel • Persepsies: • Markpryse word deur die kleinhandelbepaal • Variasie in marge tussenprodusent en verbruikersprys • Stygende marge van kleinhandel (Asymmetric Price Transmission)

  12. Kleinhandel: Probleem?

  13. Oeps…!

  14. Bloktoets

  15. Berekendekarkasprys

  16. En nou?

  17. Prentjies is niegenoegnie…

  18. Data Ontleding • Drietoetseom data teontleed: • “Stationary Test” • “Johanson Co-integration Test” • “Granger Causality Test”

  19. “Stationary Test” • “To confirm the order of integration of the variables used. The unit root test was conducted by the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test statistics.” • Toets of veranderlikesoortydvarieer of konstantbly. • Indien twee verskillendeveranderlikesbeidevarieer/ konstantbly is daar `n moontlikheidvir `n verhoudingtussenhulle.

  20. “Johansen Co-integration Test” • The second step, once statistical properties of variables are confirmed, is to conduct the co-integration tests. The Johansen (1998) methodology is applied in this study. • Bepaal of die veranderlikes `n langtermynverhouding het. • Keerdusterugnaverhoudingnakorttermynvariasies.

  21. “Granger Causality Test” • “The final step is the determination of causal directions among variables to identify whether causality runs from producers to retailers or vice versa using the Granger causality test.” • Die toetsbepaal die rigting van die verhoudingtussen twee veranderlikes. • M.a.w, veroorsaak A  B, of B  A?

  22. Resultate – “Stationary”

  23. Resultate – “Co-integration”

  24. Resultate – “Causality Test”

  25. Finale Resultate • Al die veranderlikes, behalwe S2, varieeroortyd. • Al die veranderlikes, behalwe S2, het `n langtermynverhouding met die karkasprys. • Al die veranderlikes, behalwe S2, word beïnvloeddeur die karkasprys. • Asymmetric Price Transmission?

  26. Maar… • Studiein een area van Bloemfontein. • Supermark A vs. Supermark B • Supermark A: Area X vs. Area Z • VariasieSnit Pryse

  27. Die Produsent en Pryse • Produsent is `n prysnemer • Insette • Uitsette • Produsent ken waardekettingbeter as verbruiker. • Produsentmoetdusverbruikerinlig.

  28. Die Verbruiker en Pryse • Verbruikersopvoeding? • Verbruiker se koopgewoontes: • R/kg vs. R/Porsie • Supermark A vs. SupermarkB • Publikasie van pryse?

  29. Terug by die spel:Hoe wen ek? • Insette • Gebruikoordeelkundig (MP, MK, MI) • Uitsette • Wat?  Speenkalf- vs. A-graad vs. Osstelsel • Wanneer?  Natuur vs. Mark • Prys?  Help nieomteklanie

  30. GeheimeWapen? Produktiwiteit

  31. Dankie Thank the cattle for eating salad… So that you don’t have to!!!

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