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The Hume Workforce Development Committee Hume Regional Development Australia

The Hume Workforce Development Committee Hume Regional Development Australia. Education and Training Labour Market Snapshot. Workforce Planning Australia | December 2012. Education and Training Industry. The Education and Training Industry includes the following sectors.

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The Hume Workforce Development Committee Hume Regional Development Australia

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  1. The Hume Workforce Development CommitteeHume Regional Development Australia Education and Training Labour Market Snapshot Workforce Planning Australia | December 2012

  2. Education and Training Industry The Education and Training Industry includes the following sectors. Source: DEEWER, Skills Info, 2012

  3. Education and Training IndustryNational Overview Education and Training is the sixth largest of the 19 industries classified by ANZSIC*. In August 2012 there were approximately 894,000 persons, or 7.5% of the workforce employed in this industry. Nearly 70% of people working in Education and Training are women. The industry has the second highest proportion of women of all 19 industries. Only ‘Health and Social Assistance’ has a higher proportion of women. The median age of workers is 44 years and nearly 50 per cent of the Education and Training workforce is aged over 45. Approximately 39% of people in the industry work part time. There are nearly 5,000 Registered Training Organisations (RTOs) in Australia including TAFE-institutes, private businesses and enterprise-based RTOs. Source: DEEWR, Education and Training Employment Outlook, Skills Info 2012, * Australian New Zealand Standard Industrial Classification

  4. Education and TrainingIndustry Employment Education and Training is the sixth largest employing industry in Australia. At August 2012 there were an estimated 894,000 persons working in this industry Industry Employment Level February 2012 Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat. No. 6291.0.55.003. - Skills Info, 2012

  5. Education and TrainingProjected Employment Level The past decade has seen steady growth in ‘Education and Training’ employment, although employment levels have shown some fluctuations from year to year. Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat. No. 6291.0.55.003. - Skills Info, 2012

  6. Education and TrainingEmployment level by segment (2007-2012) • ‘School Education’ is the largest segment in the Education and Training industry employing nearly 450,000 people. This is more than double the number of people employed in ‘Tertiary Education’, which is the second largest segment. Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat. No. 6291.0.55.003. - Skills Info, 2012

  7. Education and TrainingPast Employment Growth (2007-2012) • Between 2007 and 2012 the ‘Adult, Community and Other Education’ Sector showed the strongest employment growth, contributing more than 87,000 jobs. • School education experienced negative employment growth for these five years. Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat no 6291.0.55.003, DEEWR, Skills Info 2012

  8. Education and TrainingProjected Employment Growth by Segment (2012 – 2016/7) • Over the next five years all industry segments are projected to experience some employment growth • In percentage terms the strongest employment growth will be in the ‘Pre-school Education’ and ‘Adult, Community and other Education’ segments. Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat no 6291.0.55.003, DEEWR, Skills Info 2012

  9. Education and Training Projected Employment growth (‘000) • In number terms, the ‘School Education’ and ‘Adult, Community and Other Education” are projected to experience the strongest employment growth. • Employment is projected to increase by 22,000 people in ‘School Education’ and nearly 19,000 in ‘Adult, Community and Other Education’ Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat no 6291.0.55.003, DEEWR, Australian Jobs, 2011

  10. Education and TrainingTop 20 employing occupations • Primary School Teachers, Secondary School Teachers and Education Aides are the three largest occupations working in Education and Training. Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat no 6291.0.55.003, DEEWR, Australian Jobs, 2011

  11. Education and Training:Drivers of Workforce Change and Development Source: IBSA, Training & Education Environmental Scan 2012, IBISWorld, 2012, DEEWR Employment Outlook, Education and Training, 2011

  12. Education and TrainingDrivers of Workforce Change and Development Population Growth Between 2006 and 2007 the birth rate in Victoria jumped from 67,433 to 72,639. The birth rate has stabilised at this higher rate of approximately 72,000 births a year. Population growth is having a direct impact on early childhood and primary school enrolments. National Early Years Learning Framework By 2013 the Australian Government’s National Early Years Learning Framework is expected to result in all children receiving 15 hours a week of education for 40 weeks a year that is delivered by a qualified early childhood teacher. This is increasing demand for early childhood educators. More than 50% of pre-school staff will be required to attain or be working towards a diploma level qualification or higher by 1 January 2014, thereby increasing demand for VET and university educators in childcare and early childhood education. Increased Year 12 retention rates (DEEWR) As part of the Australian Government’s productivity agenda, the government aims to increase Year 12 completion rates to 90% by 2015. Between 2008 and 2010 Year 12 retention rate in Victoria increased slightly to 81.1%. The increased retention rate is likely to increase demand for teachers. NB: In Hume the percentage of early school leavers increased from 14.1% in 2006 to 15.2% in 2010. Source: Victorian Registry of Births, Deaths and Marriages; IBISWorld, 2012; IBSA, Training and Education Environmental Scan 2012

  13. Education and TrainingDrivers of Workforce Change and Development Reform of the VET Sector The TAFE sector is undergoing change as the federal government embarks on reforming the vocational training system. Victoria has opened their training systems to market-based competition and students are now funded through a student entitlement or voucher system. Student demand now determines government funding. National Broadband Network (NBN) The National Broadband Network, technology advances and Australia’s growing digital literacy is fuelling demand for on-line learning options. This in turn is expected to increase demand for people with e-learning design skills. Decreasing International Students numbers After strong growth in international student enrolments since 2000, Australia suffered a decline of more than 9% in international student enrolments in 2011. This is one factor contributing to the slower growth rate projected for the VET, higher Education and Language sectors over the next five years. Source: IBSA, Training and Education Environmental Scan, 2012

  14. Education and TrainingGrowth Areas Source: IBSA, Training and Education Environmental Scan, 2012, IBISWorld, 2012

  15. Victorian Overview

  16. Teacher Supply and Demand Victorian Schools Profile • Women make up 70% of the workforce in Victoria. • More than 37% of teachers in Government schools are aged over 50. • More than 40% of teachers in Catholic schools are aged over 50. Demand • More than 72,520 teachers are employed in Victorian schools (43,290 in Govt schools, 15,847 in Catholic schools and 13,384 in Independent schools) • Teachers numbers are expected to grow, particularly in Independent schools. • Victorian Teacher attrition rates are expected to average around 5% until 2015. • Between 2001 and 2011 the proportion of Government school teachers working part time increased from 17.5% to 23%. • In 2011 more than 30% of Catholic teachers worked part time. Supply • Between 2012 and 2015 an oversupply of primary and secondary teachers is projected. • However, mathematics, chemistry, physics and language teachers are in demand and most ‘difficult-to-fill’ vacancies are in rural and regional locations. • An undersupply of early childhood teachers is expected. Source: DEECD, 2010-2011 Teacher Supply and Demand Report, Oct 2012

  17. The VET SECTOR - VictoriaOverview VET Staff work in: • TAFE Institutes • Dual sector universities • Private Registered Training Organisations (RTOs) • Secondary Schools • Other educational settings • The VET sector has a higher proportion of part-time, casual and older workers compared with the general labour force The profile of the TAFE Sector is: • Total employees 17,360 • 6% of TAFE employees work in the Hume region • 57% are women and 52% work part time • 25% are aged over 55 Source: DEECD, 2010-2011 Teacher Supply and Demand Report, Oct 2012, SSA, State of the Sector Report, 2010-2011,(2012)

  18. Hume Overview

  19. Education & Training Providers inHume Source: DEEWR, Regional Education, Skills and Jobs Plan, Victoria– Hume 2012 – 2014, July 2012

  20. Victorian Teacher Supply and Demand In the Hume Region Graduate Teacher Employment Graduate teachers in government schools are often employed near where they trained. La Trobe University is the largest provider of graduate teachers employed in Hume and Charles Sturt University the second. In 2011 the Hume Region employed 130 graduate teachers in government schools. Difficult-to-Fill vacancies In 2009-2011, 15 LGAs reported ‘difficult-to-fill’ vacancies in Government schools. Five of these LGAs were in the Hume region. They were: Mitchell, Strathbogie, Moira, Wodonga, and Alpine LGAs all reported difficult to fill vacancies. In 2009-2011 15 LGAs reported difficult-to-fill vacancies for mathematics. Five of these LGAs were in Hume. They were: Benalla, Wodonga, Moira, Towong and Mitchell. Source: DEECD, 2010-2011 Teacher Supply and Demand Report, Oct 2012

  21. Education & Training Hume Regional Education, Skills andJobs (RESJ) Plan 2012 - 2014 The Australian Government’s Hume RESJ Plan has identified 11 Issues. They are as follows: Closing the Gap for indigenous people. Availability of a suitably qualified workforce in early childhood education and childcare services within the region. The need for a comprehensive workforce development strategy for the Hume region. The level of engagement by young people with school and skills development, including vocational education and training. The need to build skills for industries with immediate and future skills requirements. Low levels of literacy impacting on people’s ability to participate in employment, vocational education and training and higher education. Knowledge of local career, education, employment and training opportunities. Relatively low levels of tertiary attainment and participation across the region. Level of Year 12 (or equivalent) attainment and retention. Level of labour market participation in particular localities. Implementation of the Murray-Darling Basin Plan. Source: DEEWR, Regional Education, Skills and Jobs Plan, Victoria– Hume 2012 – 2014, July 2012

  22. The Hume StrategyEducation priorities and progress August 2012 The Hume Strategy for Sustainable Communities 2010-2012 has the following priorities: Key Direction 5 - Embracing learning for life Priority Strategies • Create 21st Century spaces for communities through growth and sharing of resources. • Provide opportunities for young people to engage with learning through multiple pathways and seamless transitions. • Foster a culture of excellence and aspirations. Focus for 2010-2012 Lifelong Learning: Collaborative approach to develop a regional education sector strategy Significant developments between 2010-2012 include: • Funding of $2million for integrated children’s centres at Bright, Mansfield and Wodonga. • Establishments of Trade training centres and Science and language centres • Implementation of the Wannik Learning Together Journey to our Future for Koori students. • Allocation of $3.3million Regional Partnerships Facilitation Funding for U2Uni.

  23. Education and TrainingEmployment by LGA Total Industry 8,070 (2006) 8,840 (2011) 2006 vs. 2011 Census Data 9.5% Wodonga Moira 1,122 (2006) 610 (2006) Indigo 576 (2006) 1,221 (2011) 662(2011) Towong 625 (2011) 206 (2006) 212 (2011) G Shepparton 1,876 (2006) Benalla 2,077 (2011) 426 (2006) 455 (2011) Wangaratta Strathbogie 856 (2006) 269 (2006) 878 (2011) 284 (2011) Alpine 367 (2006) Mitchell 410 (2011) 924 (2006) Mansfield 1,068 (2011) 301 (2006) Murrindindi Hume Region Boundary Sub-region Boundary Local Government Area (LGA) Boundary 537 (2006) 417 (2011) 531 (2011) Source: ABS 2006 Census Data and ABS 2011 Census Data

  24. OUTDOOR EDUCATION –OUTDOOR EDUCATION WORKERS • Between 2006 and 2011 the number of people across Australia whose main occupation • was ‘Outdoor Adventure Guide’ increased from 1,204 to 1,909, an increase of 58%. • Between 2006 and 2011 the number of people across Victoria whose main occupation • was ‘Outdoor Adventure Guide’ increased from 279 to 548 an increase of 96%. • In the Hume Region the number of people working as outdoor Adventure Workers as their • main occupation increased from 39 to 118 between 2006 and 2011. • The Hume Region has several Outdoor Education Facilities including: • The Alpine School in Dinner Plain (DEECD) • Rubicon Outdoor Education near Alexandra (DDECD) • Bogong Outdoor Education Centre (Bogong Village and 15 Mile Creek) • Mittigundi, Glen Valley • Adventure Guides Australia have activities based at Mt Buffalo. • Skills Hub The Industry Advisory Board in Victoria for the Cultural and Recreation Services • lists ‘Outdoor Adventure Instructors as both a skill in demand and an occupation facing • ‘critical skill shortages’. Source: ABS 2006 Census and 2011 Census

  25. Outdoor Adventure GuidesEmployment by LGA Total Industry 39 (2006) 118 (2011) 2006 vs. 2011 Census Data 202% Wodonga Moira 0(2006) 0 (2006) Indigo 0 (2006) 5 (2011) 0 (2011) Towong 0 (2011) 0 (2006) 0 (2011) G Shepparton 0 (2006) Benalla 3 (2011) 0 (2006) 4 (2011) Wangaratta Strathbogie 4 (2006) 0 (2006) 11 (2011) 0 (2011) Alpine 4 (2006) Mitchell 26 (2011) 0 (2006) Mansfield 0 (2011) 9 (2006) Murrindindi Hume Region Boundary Sub-region Boundary Local Government Area (LGA) Boundary 22 (2006) 11 (2011) 55 (2011) Source: ABS 2006 Census Data and ABS 2011 Census Data

  26. Education and TrainingEmployment growth Projection in Hume According to Monash projections employment is expected to drop by approximately 200 jobs between 2012-2013 and 2014-15, then increase again before levelling in 2016-17. NB: This includes employment in all jobs employed in this sector, not just teachers. Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria. Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011 (Hume Employment: by ANZSCO occupation, '000 persons, 2010-1 to 2017-8)

  27. Employment growth Projection in Hume According to Monash projections the number of School Teachers and Education Aides will increase between 2012-3 and 2016-17. Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria. Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011 (Hume Employment: by ANZSCO occupation, '000 persons, 2010-1 to 2017-8)

  28. Education and Training

  29. Education and Training VET Education Data Vocational Education Teacher Outdoor Adventure Instructor Teacher Aide

  30. Education & TrainingVET Enrolments Age Profile Between 2008 and 2011 enrolments in Education and Training courses experienced as slight drop. Enrolments in Education and Training qualifications are spread across all age groups, though the highest proportion of enrolments are by people aged from 40-55. Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.

  31. Education and TrainingVET Course Level and Diversity The vast majority of people enrolled in Education and Training qualifications are studying qualifications at the Certificate IV level. This is likely to reflect the requirement for trainers and assessors to attain a Certificate IV in Training and Education qualification. Enrolments experienced a slight decrease between 2008 and 2011. In 2011 approximately 780 people were enrolled in Certificate IV qualifications in the field of Education and Training in the Hume region. While enrolments by people with disabilities dropped slightly between 2008 and 2011, the number of people from CALD backgrounds enrolled in courses jumped. Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.

  32. Vocational Education Teacher

  33. Vocational Education TeacherVET Enrolments Age Profile Enrolments in qualifications related to working as a VET teacher are concentrated in the 35 – 54 age group. Between 2008 and 2011 there was a drop in enrolments for all age groups with the exception of the 20 – 24 and 60-64, which show small gains. Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.

  34. Education and TrainingVET Course and Diversity In 2008 more than 800 people were enrolled in the Cert IV in Training and Assessment. In 2011 approximately 650 people were enrolled in the same qualification. Between 2008 and 2011 enrolments by people with CALD backgrounds more than doubled. In 2011 more than 9% of enrolments were by people from CALD backgrounds. Enrolments by indigenous people were low in both years. Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.

  35. Outdoor Adventure Instructor

  36. Outdoor Adventure InstructorsVET Enrolments Age Profile Enrolments in qualifications related to outdoor adventure instructing increased dramatically between 2008 and 2011. Enrolments are concentrated in the younger age groups, particularly the 20-24 age group. Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.

  37. Education and trainingVET Course and Diversity In 2011 approximately 110 people were enrolled in either the Cert IV or Diploma qualification. This is three times the 2008 enrolments. Enrolments by people with disabilities increased from zero to more than 4% between 2008 and 2011. Enrolments by indigenous people was more than 3% in 2008 and just over 2% in 2011. Enrolments from people from CALD background was low at 1%. Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.

  38. Teacher Aide

  39. Teacher AidesVET Enrolments Age Profile In 2011 enrolments in Teacher Aide qualifications were spread across the age groups. Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.

  40. Teacher AideVET Course and Diversity In 2011 more than 70 people in the Hume region were enrolled in qualifications relating to being employed as a teacher’s aide. This represented a small drop from 2008 enrolments when nearly 90 people were enrolled in this qualification. This qualification attracts high numbers of people with disabilities, approximately 13% of enrolments in 2011. Enrolments by people from CALD backgrounds dropped between 2008 and 2011. Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.

  41. What this means? Over the next five years all industry Education and Training segments are projected to experience employment growth. In percentage terms the strongest employment growth will be in the ‘Pre-school Education’ and ‘Adult, Community and other Education’ segments. Demand for VET trained and university qualified Early Childhood Educators is expected to grow in the Hume region. A priority in The Hume Strategy 2010-2012 is the establishment of integrated children’s centres in Bright, Mansfield and Wodonga, which will increase demand for workers. Employment levels for primary/secondary teachers and Teacher Aides are projected to increase in the Hume region. Employment levels for tertiary educators are expected to be static in Hume, although there will be demand associated with areas of skill shortages. In the Hume region the number of Outdoor Adventure Guides increased from 39 to 118 between 2006 and 2011 reflecting the number of outdoor education centres in the region. Workers are concentrated in the Alpine, Murrindindi, Mansfield and Wangaratta LGAs. Enrolments in Outdoor Adventure Guide courses in Hume increased dramatically between 2008 and 2011, while Teacher Aide course enrolments were similar between the years.

  42. Data Quality and Limitations The data challenges included: Different definitions of industries / occupations between ABS, Industry Skills Councils and Monash. Different Time periods used by different sources Old Data - ABS Census is now 6 years old. 2011 ABS Census data has been used where available. Lack of HUME region industry data particularly for industries where employers are predominantly private sector (e.g. Retail, manufacturing and Transport and Logistics) Lack of regional Skills Shortage Data – DEEWR lists are at the State level Changes in name and level of VET qualifications (training packages) Poor sourcing of data – The data source and date were unclear for some data sources. Limitation of Liability This Labour Market Snapshot has been compiled using data which, to the best of Workforce Planning Australia’s knowledge, was current and correct at the time of printing. WPA gives no warranty as to the accuracy of the information contained herein nor its applicability to any specific circumstances. It is intended as a guide only and Workforce Planning Australia will not be liable to any person as a result of any actual or perceived inaccuracy contained in this report.

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