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Scenario Planning. Marlie Sanderson Director of Transportation Planning. Location Map. University of Florida. Gainesville. Gainesville MPO- Voting Members. City of Gainesville Commission. Alachua County Commission. Before Scenario Planning. Year 2025 Failing Roads.
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Scenario Planning Marlie Sanderson Director of Transportation Planning
Location Map University of Florida Gainesville
Gainesville MPO- Voting Members City of Gainesville Commission Alachua County Commission
Before Scenario Planning Year 2025 Failing Roads Get the “red” out of the plans
Before Scenario Planning Too much reliance on computer data
Scenario Planning Year 2025 Plan Year 2035 Plan Year 2040 Plan
Scenario Planning Year 2025 Plan Year 2035 Plan Year 2040 Plan
Year 2025 Plan Transportation / Land Use Interaction 4 Land Use Scenarios
North Central Florida Regional Planning Council
Land Use Evaluation • Amount of new land consumed
Land Use Evaluation • Daily Transit Ridership
Land Use Evaluation • Congested Lane Miles
Land Use Evaluation • Change in Vehicle Emissions
Scenario Planning Year 2025 Plan Year 2035 Plan Year 2040 Plan
Year 2035 Plan One Land Use/ Peak Oil Scenario
Peak Oil Scenario- Adjustment Factors Increase gasoline cost from $2.50 to $10.00 per gallon
Peak Oil Scenario- Adjustment Factors Adjust automobile ownership
Peak Oil Scenario- Adjustment Factors Adjust automobile ownership in traffic analysis zones (TAZ)
Scenario Planning Year 2025 Plan Year 2035 Plan Year 2040 Plan
Year 2040 Plan Highway Emphasis- Scenario 1 Transit Emphasis- Scenario 2
Year 2040 Scenario #3 - Combination of best transit and highway projects
Lessons Learned • Not enough growth in 20 years to make a difference.
Lessons Learned • Land use planning is the responsibility of local governments, not transportation planners.
Lessons Learned • Great tool to consider how transportation investments affect land use decisions.
Lessons Learned • Final plan is more comprehensive and is not just a list of projects.
Lessons Learned • Considerable interest and curiosity by elected officials and other citizens.
Contact Information: Marlie Sanderson Gainesville, Florida MPO (352) 955-2200 sanderson@ncfrpc.org