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Ways and Means for Achieving Climate Change Mitigation . Jayant Sathaye CLA, WGIII Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA 18 July 2001. Key Messages. Many barriers prevent the realization of the potentials noted earlier.
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Ways and Means for Achieving Climate Change Mitigation Jayant Sathaye CLA, WGIII Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA 18 July 2001
Key Messages • Many barriers prevent the realization of the potentials noted earlier. • Identification of barriers can help in the development of sharper and targeted policies, measures, and instruments. • Cost of barrier removal increases estimated bottom-up costs. • Explicit consideration of barriers and the no regret opportunities linked to them can reduce top-down cost estimates.
2010 Mitigation Potential (under $100 per t C) • Energy and other technological options • 1.9 -- 2.6 Gt C/yr • Land use, land-use change and forestry • about 1 Gt C/yr
Realizing these Potentials Requires Overcoming Many Barriers to their Implementation • Barriers add to the cost of implementation, and reduce the realizable potential • Removal of barriers during capital stock turnover and periods of rapid social change can minimize disruption and mitigation costs
Opportunities and Barriers -- A Classification Physical potential Knowledge gap Mititgation Potential High costs Technological potential Values, attitudes, social barriers Socio-economic potential Market failures Economic potential Market (Achievable) potential Time
Market and Institutional Barriers (Market Failures) to Achieving Economic Potential: Examples • Lack of information • Lack of access to capital, especially for smaller firms • Absence of full-cost pricing • Risk aversion in financial institutions, including Multilateral Development Banks • Trade barriers, such as tariffs or export restrictions
Social and Cultural Barriers to Achieving Socioeconomic Potential: Examples • Individual behavior • Social values and preferences • Cultural traits and norms • Gender issues
Mitigation Opportunities for a Given Country May be Found in the Removal of Any Combination of Barriers • Most countries could benefit from innovative financing, institutional reform and removing barriers to trade. • Developed countries: Removing social and behavioral barriers. • Economies in transition: Price rationalization • Developing countries: Price rationalization, increased access to data and information, availability of advanced technologies, financial resources, and training and capacity building.
Policies, Measures and Instruments: Sectoral Level • Market based instruments (taxes, tradable permits, subsidies, deposit/refund systems) • Standards, product bans, energy mix requirements • Voluntary agreements • Information, and labeling programs • Government investment/ R&D spending Sectoral PMIs Only As Effective As Allowed by Macro Conditions
Policies, Measures and Instruments International and Macro Levels • Macro policies -- Examples • Reform of the legal system • Create open and competitive markets • Develop physical and communications infrastructure • Improve land tenure • Improve macro-economic stability • International co-ordination can address competitiveness, international trade rules, and “leakage”
Conclusions • Importance of barriers differs by region and sector • Setting appropriate macro-conditions can contribute more to mitigation than improving sectoral policies, measures, and instruments • Cost of barrier removal increases bottom-up mitigation cost estimates, and can reduce top-down cost estimates • IPCC review shows a major gap in research • Few studies explicitly identify barriers and ways to overcome them, and estimate the cost of their removal