60 likes | 211 Views
Are Social Benefits the Missing of Rural Road Appraisal ?. John Hine Ethiopian Roads Authority. Social Benefits: Why the Concern ?. There is unease with conventional appraisal based primarily on transport cost savings to traffic
E N D
Are Social Benefits the Missingof Rural Road Appraisal ? John Hine Ethiopian Roads Authority
Social Benefits: Why the Concern ? • There is unease with conventional appraisal based primarily on transport cost savings to traffic • There is a strong desire at both community level and national level for better access and mobility which is frequently not matched by standard measured benefits • All over the ‘rich’ world governments subsidise rural transport. Should the same happen for developing countries ? • Isolation is a recognised characteristic of poverty • There is a feeling that a minimum degree of access and mobility is a ‘basic human right’ • International development has moved away from a narrow definition of economic development towards concern with ‘livelihoods’ and meeting ‘Millennium Goals’ that are very health orientated
The Alternative: Producers’ Surplus Approach • Problems with road appraisal for low traffic rural areas are not new: in the past much attention was given to the agricultural producers’ surplus approach • The approach generated much disappointment: very little use of agricultural supply elasticities and grossly optimistic forecasts were not substantiated • Case study evidence proved to be difficult to interpret Will a Social Benefits/ Livelihoods Approach provide the same disappointments ??
Road Impact in Ethiopia A recent econometric study by Stefan Dercon of Oxford University , carried out in 1989 and 1994 a study of six villages (354 households) in south and central Ethiopia found that the presence or absence of a road was a major factor in reducing poverty . On average food consumption rose by 8% per year in this time, poverty declined in all but one village but just over 50% of the change was attributed to road infrastructure and location. BUT we don’t know in precise terms WHY the roads has this effect.
Accessibility and Social Services • Without a minimum degree of road access (and transport services) there will be problems with : • Establishing schools, clinics, health centres, water supply, extension services • Encouraging commercial investment • Motivating and keeping professional staff at their posts • Supervising services • Supplying remote locations with drugs, educational materials etc. But how low is a “minimum” or what is “basic access” ? Is there a threshold effect ?