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Learning without thinking is useless Thinking without learning is dangerous

Learning without thinking is useless Thinking without learning is dangerous Confucius (551-479 BC). Econ 101: Microeconomics. Chapter 7: How Firms Make Decisions: Profit Maximization. The Goal Of Profit Maximization.

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Learning without thinking is useless Thinking without learning is dangerous

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  1. Learning without thinking is useless Thinking without learning is dangerous Confucius (551-479 BC)

  2. Econ 101: Microeconomics Chapter 7: How Firms Make Decisions: Profit Maximization

  3. The Goal Of Profit Maximization • To analyze decision making at the firm, let’s start with a very basic question • What is the firm trying to maximize? • A firm’s owners will usually want the firm to earn as much profit as possible • We will view the firm as a single economic decision maker whose goal is to maximize its owners’ profit • Why? • Managers who deviate from profit-maximizing for too long are typically replaced either by • Current owners or • Other firms who acquire the underperforming firm and then replace management team with their own • Many managers are well trained in tools of profit-maximization

  4. Understanding Profit: Two Definitions of Profit • Profit is defined as the firm’s sales revenue minus its costs of production • If we deduct only costs recognized by accountants, we get one definition of profit • Accounting profit = Total revenue – Accounting costs • A broader conception of costs (opportunity costs) leads to a second definition of profit • Economic profit = Total revenue – All costs of production • Or Total revenue – (Explicit costs + Implicit costs)

  5. Understanding Profit: Two Definitions of Profit • Difference between economic profit and accounting profit is an important one • When they are confused, some serious (and costly) mistakes can result • Proper measure of profit for understanding and predicting firm behavior is economic profit • Unlike accounting profit, economic profit recognizes all the opportunity costs of production—both explicit and implicit costs

  6. Why Are There Profits? • Economists view profit as a payment for two necessary contributions • Risk-taking • Someone—the owner—had to be willing to take the initiative to set up the business • This individual assumed the risk that business might fail and the initial investment be lost • Innovation • In almost any business you will find that some sort of innovation was needed to get things started

  7. The Firm’s Constraints: The Demand Constraint • Demand curve facing firm is a profit constraint • Curve that indicates for different prices, quantity of output customers will purchase from a particular firm • Can flip demand relationship around • Once firm has selected an output level, it has also determined the maximum price it can charge • Leads to an alternative definition • Shows maximum price firm can charge to sell any given amount of output

  8. The Demand Curve Facing The Firm

  9. Total Revenue • The total inflow of receipts from selling a given amount of output • Each time the firm chooses a level of output, it also determines its total revenue • Why? • Because once we know the level of output, we also know the highest price the firm can charge • Total revenue—which is the number of units of output times the price per unit—follows automatically

  10. The Cost Constraint • Every firm struggles to reduce costs, but there is a limit to how low costs can go • These limits impose a second constraint on the firm • The firm uses its production function, and the prices it must pay for its inputs, to determine the least cost method of producing any given output level • For any level of output the firm might want to produce • It must pay the cost of the “least cost method” of production

  11. Two Approaches to Profit Maximization • TR and TC approach • MR and MC approach

  12. Total Revenue (TR) and Total Cost (TC) Approach • At any given output level, we know • How much revenue the firm will earn • Its cost of production • Loss • A negative profit—when total cost exceeds total revenue • In the total revenue and total cost approach, the firm calculates Profit = TR – TC at each output level • Selects output level where profit is greatest

  13. The TR and TC Approach Using Graphs • To maximize profit, firm should • Produce quantity of output where vertical distance between TR and TC curves is greatest and • TR curve lies above TC curve • Figure 2a

  14. Dollars $3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Output Figure 2a: Profit Maximization TC Profit at 7 Units Profit at 5 Units Profit at 3 Units TR DTR from producing 2nd unit DTR from producing 1st unit Total Fixed Cost

  15. Marginal Revenue (MR) and Marginal Cost (MC) Approach • Marginal revenue • Change in total revenue from producing one more unit of output • MR = ΔTR / ΔQ • Tells us how much revenue rises per unit increase in output

  16. Marginal Revenue (MR) and Marginal Cost (MC) Approach • Important things to notice about marginal revenue • When MR is positive, an increase in output causes total revenue to rise • Each time output increases, MR is smaller than the price the firm charges at the new output level • When a firm faces a downward sloping demand curve, each increase in output causes • Revenue gain • From selling additional output at the new price • Revenue loss • From having to lower the price on all previous units of output • Marginal revenue is therefore less than the price of the last unit of output

  17. Using MR and MC to Maximize Profits • Marginal revenue and marginal cost can be used to find the profit-maximizing output level • Logic behind MC and MR approach • An increase in output will always raise profit as long as marginal revenue is greater than marginal cost (MR > MC) • Converse of this statement is also true • An increase in output will lower profit whenever marginal revenue is less than marginal cost (MR < MC) • Guideline firm should use to find its profit-maximizing level of output • Firm should increase output whenever MR > MC, and decrease output when MR < MC

  18. The MR and MC Approach Using Graphs • Figure 2b also illustrates the MR and MC approach to maximizing profits • Can summarize MC and MR approach • To maximize profits the firm should produce level of output closest to point where MC = MR • Level of output at which the MC and MR curves intersect • This rule is very useful—allows us to look at a diagram of MC and MR curves and immediately identify profit-maximizing output level

  19. Dollars 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Output 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 –100 –200 Figure 2b: Profit Maximization MC profit rises profit falls MR

  20. Exception • Important exception to this rule • Sometimes MC and MR curves cross at two different points • In this case, profit-maximizing output level is the one at which MC curve crosses MR curve from below

  21. Dollars Output Figure 3: Two Points of Intersection MC A B MR Q1 Q*

  22. What About Average Costs? • Different types of average cost (ATC, AVC, and AFC) are irrelevant to earning the greatest possible level of profit • Common error—sometimes made even by business managers—is to use average cost in place of marginal cost in making decisions • Problems with this approach • ATC includes many costs that are fixed in short-run—including cost of all fixed inputs such as factory and equipment and design staff • ATC changes as output increases • Correct approach is to use the marginal cost and to consider increases in output one unit at a time

  23. Dealing With Losses: The Short Run and the Shutdown Rule • You might think that a loss-making firm should always shut down its operation in the short run • However, it makes sense for some unprofitable firms to continue operating • The question is • Should this firm produce at Q* and suffer a loss? • The answer is yes—if the firm would lose even more if it stopped producing and shut down its operation • If, by staying open, a firm can earn more than enough revenue to cover its operating costs, then it is making an operating profit (TR > TVC) • Should not shut down because operating profit can be used to help pay fixed costs • But if the firm cannot even cover its operating costs when it stays open, it should shut down

  24. Dealing With Losses: The Short-Run and the Shutdown Rule • Guideline for shutdown rule—for a loss-making firm: • Let Q* be output level at which MR = MC • Then in the short-run • firm should keep producing: • If TR >TVC or p > AVC at Q* • firm should shut down: • If TR < TVC or p < AVC at Q* • firm should be indifferent between shutting down and producing: • If TR = TVC or p = AVC at Q* • The shutdown rule is a powerful predictor of firms’ decisions to stay open or cease production in short-run

  25. Dollars TFC Output Q* Figure 4: Loss Minimization

  26. Dollars Output Figure 5: Shut Down TC TVC Loss at Q* TFC TR TFC Q*

  27. The Long Run: The Exit Decision • We only use term shut down when referring to short-run • If a firm stops production in the long-run it is termed an exit • A firm should exit the industry in long- run • When—at its best possible output level—it has any loss at all

  28. Using The Theory: Economics in Action • Between November 2000 and May 2001 the state of California went through an electricity crisis. • Supply of power were limited, and wholesale price of electricity ran constantly at more than 10 times its normal level. • Economists used data on electricity generating costs to estimate marginal cost curves for producers. • Economist accused the power generators of deliberately withholding electricity from the market in order to drive up prices. • Power companies were caught red-handed: tape recordings revealed they purposely shut down plants in order to drive up prices.

  29. Learning without thinking is useless Thinking without learning is dangerous Confucius (551-479 BC)

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