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2010 Election Preview

2010 Election Preview. NAM TRIVIA. True or False: No one has ever served in the House and Senate, as Vice-President, and President. FALSE: John Tyler, Andrew Johnson, Lyndon Johnson, and Richard Nixon all held each position. Senate. Current: 59D – 41R In Cycle: 36: 18D – 18R

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2010 Election Preview

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  1. 2010 Election Preview

  2. NAM TRIVIA True or False: No one has ever served in the House and Senate, as Vice-President, and President. FALSE: John Tyler, Andrew Johnson, Lyndon Johnson, and Richard Nixon all held each position

  3. Senate Current: 59D – 41R In Cycle: 36: 18D – 18R Open: 11: 6R – 5D Status: 18 to Rs; 10 to Ds; 8 Toss-ups (5D; 3R)

  4. Change Today - Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) Rep. John Boozman (R) Latest poll: Boozman 48% Lincoln 39% Rasmussen Reports 3/1/10

  5. Change Today - Delaware Sen. Ted Kaufman Open (D) Rep. Mike Castle (R) Chris Coons (D) Latest poll: Castle 53% Coons 35% Research 2000; 2/22-24

  6. Change Today – North Dakota Sen. Byron Dorgan Open (D) Gov. John Hoeven (R) Tracy Potter (D) Latest poll: Hoeven (R) 65% Heitkamp (D) 29% Rasmussen Reports – 2/9-10

  7. NAM TRIVIA True or False: Congress once officially declared a former President as “a sworn enemy of the United States.” True: After leaving the Presidency, John Tyler was elected to the Congress of the Confederate States of America, representing Virginia. Upon his election, the US Congress took their action.

  8. House – 1994 vs 2010 Today:253D – 178R; 4DV 1994:259D – 176R R Gain 1994:+54

  9. The “Aggregate Vote”

  10. House Current:253D – 178R – 4V (4D; 0R) Open:39:20R – 19D Status:237 to Ds; 179 to Rs 19 Toss-ups

  11. House Stats Toss-ups:17D – 2R D to R: 5: AR-2, LA-3, NY-29, OH-1, TN-6 R to D: 2: DE-AL, LA-2 Lean D:31 Lean R:18 Total “In-Play”:68

  12. House Republican Outlook Relevancy – 200-209; net gain of 22-31 Parity – 210-217; net gain of 32-39 Majority – 218; net gain of 40 Working Majority – 225; net gain of 47+ R Likely Losses – 2; DE-AL; LA-2

  13. NAM TRIVIA Four US Presidents have been assassinated, but one person, and only one person, was present or in close proximity for three of the four (not Kennedy). Who is that person? Hint: It is NOT John Tyler! Answer: Robert Todd Lincoln, oldest son of President Abraham Lincoln

  14. The “Hidden” Election

  15. Partisan Control by Congressional Seats Drawn

  16. Governors Current:26D – 24R In Cycle: 37: 19D – 18R Open:23:12D – 11R Likely to Change:11 so far

  17. NAM TRIVIA Which of the following Presidents has a living grandson? • William McKinley – 1897-1901 • James Garfield – 1881 • Abraham Lincoln – 1861-1865 • John Tyler – 1841-1845 Answer: Harrison Ruffin Tyler (1928- )

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