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Arizona Election Preview October 24, 2018

Arizona Election Preview October 24, 2018. What’s at stake?. Federal Races U.S. Senate. Mid-October NYT poll has McSally +2 McSally steadily gained lead after being down most of the summer Race is considered a dead heat

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Arizona Election Preview October 24, 2018

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  1. Arizona Election PreviewOctober 24, 2018

  2. What’s at stake?

  3. Federal RacesU.S. Senate • Mid-October NYT poll has McSally +2 • McSally steadily gained lead after being down most of the summer • Race is considered a dead heat • AZ Republic endorsed Sinema. First statewide Democrat endorsed since 2000. Rep. Martha McSally (R) Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D) MWCUA PREDICTION: TOSS-UP MWCUA ENDORSEMENT: NONE

  4. Federal RacesU.S. House of Representatives Lea Marquez Peterson (R) Tucson Hispanic Chamber CEO Ann Kirkpatrick(D) Former Rep for 1st District MWCUA PREDICTION: LIKELY DEMOCRATIC MWCUA ENDORSEMENT: NONE

  5. Federal Races, cont’d MWCUA ENDORSEMENTS Rep. Tom O’Halleran(D) CD-1 Incumbent Rep. Raul Grijalva (D) CD-3 Incumbent Rep. Andy Biggs (R) CD-5 Incumbent Rep. Paul Gosar (R) CD-4 Incumbent

  6. Federal Races, cont’d MWCUA ENDORSEMENTS Rep. David Schweikert (R) CD-6 Incumbent Rep. Ruben Gallego (D) CD-7 Incumbent Rep. Debbie Lesko (R) CD-8 Incumbent

  7. Federal Races 2019 scenarios

  8. Federal Races 2019 scenarios

  9. AZ Governor Race • Recent early October Poll had Ducey +7 • Cook Political Report: Likely R • Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely R Gov. Doug Ducey (R) Incumbent David Garcia (D) MWCUA PREDICTION: LIKELY REPUBLICAN MWCUA ENDORSEMENT: DUCEY

  10. AZ Constitutional Offices Attorney General: January Contreras (D) vs. Mark Brnovich (R-Incumbent) State Treasurer: Mark Manoil (D) vs. Kimberly Yee (R) Secretary of State: Katie Hobbs (D) vs. Steve Gaynor (R) MWCUA ENDORSEMENTS: YEE

  11. Key AZ Legislative Senate Races Senate District 28: Sen. Kate Brophy-McGee (R-Incumbent) vs Christine Marsh (D) Senate District 6: Sen. Sylvia Allen (R-Incumbent) vs Wade Carlisle (D) Senate District 17: Rep. J.D. Mesnard (R-Incumbent) vs Steve Weichert (D) Senate District 21: Sen. Rick Gray (R-Incumbent) vs Kathy Knecht (I) MWCUA ENDORSEMENTS: Brophy-McGee, Gray, Mesnard

  12. Key AZ State Senate Races Senate District 18: Sen. Sean Bowie (D-Incumbent) vs Frank Schmuck (R) Senate District 8: Sen. Frank Pratt (R-Incumbent) v. Sharon Girard (D) Senate District 20: Rep. Paul Boyer (R) v. Douglas Ervin (D) v. Doug 'Q' Quelland (I) MWCUA ENDORSEMENTS: Bowie, Pratt, Boyer

  13. Credit Union Candidates Jennifer Samuels Board Member at Arizona FCU Democratic Candidate for AZ House District 15 Lorenzo Sierra Board Member at Canyon State CU Democratic Candidate for AZ House District 19 Visit http://mwcua.com/advocacy/cu-gotv/ for list of all endorsed candidates

  14. AZ Legislative Endorsements Visit http://mwcua.com/advocacy/cu-gotv/ for list of all endorsed candidates

  15. AZ Ballot Measures Proposition 125: Allows for adjustments to the Elected Officials’ Retirement Plan and Corrections Officer Retirement Plan Proposition 126: Prohibits the government from increasing taxes on services in the future. Proposition 127: Requires 50 percent of energy to come from renewable resources by 2030. Proposition 305: Upholds SB 1431, expanding Empowerment Scholarship Accounts program Proposition 306: Designates unlawful contributions from clean election accounts and removes commission exemption from rulemaking requirements

  16. Things to Know: • Election Day is November 6th, 2018 and early voting is already underway in Arizona. • Voters still have until Friday to request an early ballot. To do so visit your county recorder’s website. • The deadline to mail in your early ballot and have it counted on Election Day is November 2nd. • If you miss the November 2nd deadline or want to wait longer to fill out your early ballot, you can drop off your early ballot at any polling location on Election Day. • If you plan to vote in person or drop off your early ballot, you lcan find your polling location at voter.Azsos.Gov • Visit http://mwcua.Com/advocacy/cu-gotv/ for list of all endorsed candidates

  17. Questions?

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