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Science and Technology Infusion Plan for Forecast Applications. Suzanne Lenihan. NWS S&T Committee September 17, 2002. Outline. Team Composition Vision Key Gaps Key Solutions Outstanding R & D Needs Summary. Forecast Applications Team Composition. Suzanne Lenihan (NWS/OST)
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Science and Technology Infusion Plan for Forecast Applications Suzanne Lenihan NWS S&T Committee September 17, 2002
Outline • Team Composition • Vision • Key Gaps • Key Solutions • Outstanding R & D Needs • Summary
Forecast Applications Team Composition • Suzanne Lenihan (NWS/OST) • Stephan Smith (NWS/OST) • Wendy Levine (NWS/SPP) • Carl Bullock (OAR/FSL) • Jason Tuell (NWS/OST)
Forecast ApplicationsVision Forecasters Supported by an Array of High Performance Tools and Cutting Edge Applications To Provide High Impact Forecasts and Warnings
Forecast Applications Key Gaps Limited Ability to: • Collaborate With Other Field Offices and Centers • Detect, Analyze, Monitor, and Forecast • Generate Digital Products • Visualize the Atmosphere • Verify Digital Products
Deployment OTE DTE R&D Forecast Applications Key Solutions * FxConnect Collaborative Merge WWA / Warngen DamCat Ensemble Based Apps Detect, Analyze, Monitor, and Forecast Metro-Area Snow Nowcaster SAFEAIR SAFESEAS SNOW SAFEFIRE Regional Fire Risk Assessment System Merge RiverPro w/ WWA & Warngen * IFPS Product Generation FxNet Proposal Visualization Daily Forecast Critique Verification 09 11 12 10 08 05 06 04 03 02 07
Forecast ApplicationsOutstanding R & D Needs • Enhance Collaborative Forecasting Techniques (Video Box) • Develop Advanced Decision Support Systems (Smart Systems, Fuzzy Fusion) • Enhance Product Generation (Human Factors) • Improve Visualization Techniques (3D, GIS, Virtual) • Improve Verification Methods (Spatial/Temporal)
Forecast ApplicationsSummary Vision Forecasters Equipped with Cutting Edge Tools To Provide Best Forecasts and Warnings in Digital Era • R&D Needs • Video Box • Smart Systems, Fuzzy Fusion • Human Factors • 3D, GIS, Virtual • Spatial/Temporal Increasing Performance • Improve Collaborative Tools • Enhance Decision Assistance • Expand Interactive Forecast Preparation System Capabilities • Incorporate Visualization Techniques • Improve Verification Methods 2002 2007 2012 2020