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Strengthening Public Investment Management

Strengthening Public Investment Management. James Brumby Kai Kaiser PREM Public Sector & Governance . Brasilia June 16-17, 2011. Aiming for Infrastructure Results. Creating and preserving economically and social productive public assets

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Strengthening Public Investment Management

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  1. Strengthening Public Investment Management James Brumby Kai Kaiser PREM Public Sector & Governance Brasilia June 16-17, 2011

  2. Aiming for Infrastructure Results Creating and preserving economically and social productive public assets Efficiency is “value for money”: budget to final cost, completion time to actual time How long will they last? “Right” starting quality/standard Depreciation versus “service value”, O&M Risk: build, neglect, rebuild….

  3. Value for Money? WEF Infrastructure Quality

  4. Quality of Effort? Investment “Stimulus 2008-09 Additional % GDP

  5. Ex Post Benchmarking Source:CoST (2011b:3)

  6. Addressing Infrastructure Gaps: Multiple Sectors & Modalities Engaged Public Investment Management Mainly fiscal General Government Sector (Central State, Local) Fiscal financing Financial Sector role • Examples • Power • Roads • Telecommunications/Internet • Schools • Clinics/Hospitals • Stadiums • “Green” Infrastructure; Adaptation Public Corporations (Nonfinancial) Some fiscal & some corporate financing PPPs Financial Sector role Private Sector Business Environment Other sources of financing Private Investment Mainly regulatory

  7. Public Investment Policy Choices • How much to spend • Levels (% GDP) • Volatility • Availability of financing • Quality of spending • PIM Process • Public Investment Modalities • “Standard” Public Investment • Across levels of governnment • Donor-financed public investment • Public-Private Partnerships • SOEs/Quasi-Fiscal • Resource for Infrastructure Deals

  8. A Framework for Assessing PIM • Two pillars of the approach • Desirable features of well-functioning system in 8 cycle • Diagnostic Indicators to assess actual system • Focus on how to inform reform design to enhance efficiency by Gap-Analysis Desirable Institutional Features Actual Functioning Gap Analysis Diagnostic Indicators

  9. The Eight “Must-Have” Core PIM Features 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 6 Guidance Formal Appraisal Project Implement Project Service Project & Project Review Selection ation Delivery Evaluation Changes Screening & Appraisal Budgeting Pre-feasibility Feasibility CE CBA Regulatory requirements Project development Detailed project design - Basic completion review Evaluation

  10. Different Countries Facing Various Challenges

  11. PIMI – LICs and MICs

  12. State Diversity in the US Source: Pew Center on the States (http://www.pewcenteronthestates.org) Grading the States Report, 2008

  13. Public Asset Creation and Preservation • Options for addressing infrastructure gaps in periods of fiscal consolidation • Managing fiscal space; balance sheet and operating spending • Leveraging modalities; full choice of interventions • Information/monitoring to improve quality • PIM cycle; supported by management information • Operations & Maintenance (O&M) • Special challenge of managing across levels of government, PIM modalities

  14. Strengthening “Good Enough” PIM prioritization in project portfolio Source:Rajaram et al (2010)

  15. Monitoring Implementation • Test: do current systems generate CoST type statistics and is it reported? • Variety of systems • Single system • Interlinked systems • Feedback mechanisms/demand critical

  16. Case: These planning and budgeting problems show up in project execution • 65% of the current roads projects have time overruns • In a sample of 10 road projects, 7 had time overruns with completion time of 3.1 years compared to original plan of 1.8 years. • Delays were worse in the directly contracted projects

  17. O&M Monitoring • Returns are high; commitments are low • Suggests incentive problem • Budget/costing benchmarks • De Facto responsibility across levels of government/types of assets? • Special institutions • Road Funds • Feedback mechanisms • Demand side, parents & schools • Accounting measures & capability • Accruals, balance sheets & capital charges

  18. Case: Low allocative efficiency: under-prioritization of maintenance and repair • 60 percent of the national paved road network is in poor condition • However, capital repair expenditures did not benefit from the expenditure boom… • …and have declined as a proportion of capital stock and of new investments

  19. Case: Balance sheet approach • rebuilding the state balance sheet buffer against future adverse events • systematically working to reduce the state’s risk exposures, including through strengthening the economy • sharpening incentives on State agencies to use existing state capital well • continuing to look at introducing private sector capital and disciplines where appropriate to help drive up the performance of State assets, and • more actively reprioritizing State capital to its highest value use.

  20. PIM Reforms • Three common challenges: • You need to work with politics • High corruption risk • PIM as extremely demanding area of public management • It is important therefore to ensure that PIM reforms are incentive compatible • Based on a sound understanding of and tailored to fit individual country paths, circumstances and practices • Technically feasible, relying on good enough practice • Carefully designed and sequenced • Targeted

  21. Lessons Learned • Ownership of assessment is important • Often, but not always MoF at the center of process • Develops the framework for investment decision and has oversight control of public investment • Clarity of roles and responsibilities is crucial for effective PIM • Coordination across sectors and levels of government • The role of central guidelines are a particularly critical aspect of a well functioning PIM

  22. Lessons Learned • Monitoring is important for early remedial action • Building capacity : gradual approach • PIM system do not operate in isolation • Well functioning PEM and budgeting system, SOE governance and debt management system is also important • Tailoring PIM to country context

  23. Catering “good fit” to country context: Programmatic Approach Country cases; analytic & advisory work • A synthesis of the findings of 15 case studies, presents a country typologies, and an assessment of patterns of binding constraints to PIM system performance and approaches to reform (w/ AusAID, Korea): incl. Brazil, Peru, East Timor, Vietnam, Korea, Australia Toolkits/Benchmarking • Rajaram et. al. (2009) eight “must-have” or minimum features of a sound public investment management and offers a systemic approach (studies inc: Korea, Chile, Vietnam, Peru). • Public Investment Management (PIMI) Benchmarking Indicator • PEFA “Drill Down” for Capital Spending Peer to peer • Facilitate exchange of experiences between developing countries that have successfully implemented reforms and those who are seeking to fill operational knowledge gaps • Seoul, Hanoi • Brasilia (5/2011), APEC Conference DC (6/2011) Bank operations • Fee-for-service • DPL, as in case of Vietnam or IL/TA

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