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The Great Recession, The Weak Recovery, What’s Next?. What happened and why? What policies have been implemented to restore prosperity? What should have been done? What should be done now? Why do economists disagree about the correct policy? What is Happening in Europe
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The Great Recession, The Weak Recovery, What’s Next? • What happened and why? • What policies have been implemented to restore prosperity? • What should have been done? • What should be done now? • Why do economists disagree about the correct policy? • What is Happening in Europe • How do events in Europe affect the US?
Rules for Productive Debate • Avoid ad hominem attacks • Discuss consequences, not motives • C not M • Understand both sides • Patience
What Are The Problems? • Slow growth • High Unemployment • Debt • Deficit • Growing inequality • Low saving
What Policies Have Been Used? • Fiscal policy • Spending • Taxes • Monetary policy • Interest rates • Money supply • Quantitative easing • Regulation
Financial vs. Real Economy • Real economy • Goods and services • Financial economy • Financial assets
The US Financial Sector: What Went Wrong? • Housing bubble • Causes of the bubble • Causes of the collapse of the housing bubble • Causes of the collapse of the financial sector • Reckless Endangerment by Gretchen Morgenson and Joshua Rosner • Too Big to Fail by Andrew Ross Sorkin
What Happened to the Real Economy? • GDP down • Income down • Consumption and investment down • Wealth down • Real estate • Financial assets • Unemployment up • International recession • International trade down