440 likes | 611 Views
NASA Ambassadors Climate Day. Is Global Warming The Real Deal? What do the Oceans Say? The future ain’t what it used to be! Bill Patzert wpatzert@jpl.nasa.gov 14 June 2012. Aloha Earth Ambassadors! We really a ppreciate y’all!. Not so fast! This is weather, not climate!.
E N D
NASA Ambassadors Climate Day Is Global Warming The Real Deal? What do the Oceans Say? The future ain’t what it used to be! Bill Patzert wpatzert@jpl.nasa.gov 14 June 2012
Aloha Earth Ambassadors! We really appreciate y’all!
Not so fast! This is weather, not climate!
ClimateThe long-term, prevalentweather conditions of an area, a country or a planet.
Global Warming • Is it the real deal?, or • Is it the musings of idiot leftist scientists & Democrats, like me? • Is it happening now? Why? • Will it change my world? When? • What is the role of the oceans?
Global Warming, it’s the Real Deal! But remember, natural climate gives us a wild ride!
Heartland billboard planned series features Charles Manson, a mass murderer; and Fidel Castro. Other global warming alarmists who may appear include Osama bin Laden.
Global Warming 101: The greatest sources of greenhouse gases are fossil fuels burned for power & transportation!
Annual global emissions of CO2 (as C) rose during the 20th century to roughly 6.5 GtC/yr from fossil fuel combustion and about 1 GtC/yr from deforestation--and are now higher • The level in 2005 estimated to be: • 7.9 GtC/yr from fossil fuel use • 1.5 GtC/yr from land-use change Emissions GtC or billions (109) of metric tons of carbon Year
Earth Warms Energy Balance Has Inertia (Global Warming Is Slow) Balance Restored But Warmer World Atmosphere Atmosphere
0.012°F/yr. Short-term (year to year) like EL Niño/La Niña can “temporarily trump” climate change!
Where does the heat go? “How inappropriate to call this planet Earth when it is quite clearly Ocean.” – Arthur C. Clarke –
What Global Warming? I can’t see it!
Tide Gauge Observations 3.2 mm/year Recent Sea Level Rise = 33% Warming/67% Melting 2.0 mm/year ~ 8 inches (20 cm) 0.8 mm/year Average Rate ~ 1.8 mm/year [Church and White, 2006]
Dude, what happened to the beach and park?
Sea Level at San Francisco, CA Trend ~ 12 inches/150 years Relative Sea Level, mm Years Years
Human intervention makes beach erosion worse! Malibu’s “sandbagged & seawalled” Broad Beach. The once-wide sand strip, swept away by waves and rising seas.
Arctic Ice Shrinking and Thinning! Thickness = 3.5m (1980) > 2.0m (2010)
Massive retreat of high- & low-latitude glaciers today 2002 Gangapurna Glacier, Nepal 1957 ~ 2-3m thinning/year Courtesy Doug Burbank, UCSB
186 Gt/year = 0.5 mm/year sea level rise Greenland losing mass 362 Gt = 1 mm GMSL [Wouters et al., 2008]
Rising Oceans Tell the Tale! Warming & Melting World …
Students need to learn critical thinking. Stick with the facts!
Relax … it’s only the end of the world? Mitigation? … Cutback our Fossil Fuel Addiction! Green our Economy! Sustainability! Clean Water & Air! Healthy Kids! Absolutely Not! We’ll Adapt to a Different Earth …
Reuse Recycle Reduce
Think More, Use Less!
READ!Hot, Flat, and Crowded: Why We Need a Green Revolution -- and How It Can Renew America- Thomas Friedman - “If we lose this opportunity, it’s going to be a different world for your kids and mine.”
HOW YOU VOTEIS AS IMPORTANTAS DRIVING A PRIUS OR PLANTING A TREE
TO BE CONTINUED! The End?