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This study examines the determinants of quantity and quality of life in Baltic countries, including population trends, fertility policies, health, mortality, and employment. It compares the similarities, differences, strengths, weaknesses, and choices among these countries during the transition period from 1990 to 2010. The future implications of these trends are also discussed.
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Human resources and quality of life 14. Oct 2010
Baltic people • Determinants of quantity • Determinants of life quality • Common trends, different choices • Future
Baltic countries tend to be demographically similar1999 emade vanus esimese lapse sünnil, alla 15-aastaste laste % (Ainsaar 2001)
Natural and migration change Underestimation of migration loss Stankuniene 2009
Lifeexpectancyat birth2002-2004 Cayotte, Buchow 2009
Totalfertilityrate 2005 Summaarne sündimuskordaja 2005, Kröhnet et al 2008
Rände saldo Euroopaga 2000-2007 Roheline – Eestist väljaränne Pruun – Eestisse ränne Ränne 2009
Sisserände riigid Eestisse 2000-2007 Ränne 2009
Human resouces and quality of life • Population trends as a results and a deteminant of social movements • Fertility and fertility policy • Health • Mortality • Work, employment, employment policies
General lines • Comparison of countries with Baltic ( is there a specific Baltic way?) • Trends during 1990-2010, similarities, differences, strengths, weaknesses, choices • Why? • Future?
1. Population trends as a results and a determinant of social movements • Groups of countries 1990, 2008 • What and why happened during “transition period” • Similarities and differences • Population as a resource and restriction • Future
Fertility and fertility policy • Aidukaite, Trumm, Ainsaar
Share of family benefits from GDP Ainsaar 2009
Health - Mall Leinsalu • 1.To summarize/describe both the long term and more recent health developments in the Baltic countries in comparison with other European countries, including the countries in the former Soviet Union. The differences between the Baltic countries themselves will be highlighted in case. Though the chapter on Health will mostly focus on developments during the past 20 years, the older data will be used to provide the “historical” context. • 2. To summarize/describe the health differences between population groups within the Baltic countries (and in comparison to other European countries when appropriate). • 3. To analyze/discuss the factors beyond these developments/patterns. • The long term health developments will be described by using mortality based indicators, i.e. average life expectancy at birth or age-standardized mortality rates. These data cover the period from 1960 to 2008(or the latest available) and data will be drawn from the Human Mortality Database and/or national statistics for the latest year(s). These data will provide the wide coverage of all European countries, including those in the former Soviet Union. The data will enable to conduct the age-specific analyses.
Work, employment, employment policies Raul Eamets • Flexicurity • Flecibility of a markets • Socaila protection • Employment policies
Employment policy per one unemployed person 2008taken into account GDP Eamets et al 2010
Life satisfacion - Anu Realo • Subjective life satisfaction 1990 - 2010. • Regional comparisons • Age and life satisfaction • Unemployment and life satisfaction • Data: World Values Survey, European Values Survey, European Social Survey, Ruut Veenhoven’s Database of Happiness, Anu Realo database
Ainsaar 2009 Average life satisfaction
Income and health are the most important LS determinants(cumulative stand. coefficients in the models, ESS 2004) Ainsaar 2010 With children
Life satisfaction and policies – Ainsaar, Realo, Trumm, Kasearu • Changes of LF - Families with children, retired, employed, unemployed • Determinates of LF • Strengths of individual and social forces • Links with policies
Agreement with a statement that ideally women should stay at home to take of children (Eurobarometer 2006) Ainsaar 2009