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Ohio Statewide Model. Passenger Transit Calibration. Pat Costinett Greg Erhardt Rebekah Anderson. Ohio Statewide Model. Needs Study Conducted in 1998/99 Primary Goals reducing / minimizing / avoiding roadway congestion and delay; sustaining and improving the state economy;
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Ohio Statewide Model Passenger Transit Calibration Pat Costinett Greg Erhardt Rebekah Anderson
Ohio Statewide Model • Needs Study Conducted in 1998/99 • Primary Goals • reducing / minimizing / avoiding roadway congestion and delay; • sustaining and improving the state economy; • freight planning, particularly with regard to the management of truck traffic and the potential for shifting it to other routes and modes
Ohio Statewide Model • Secondary Goals Include: • supporting multi-modal/inter-modal options for travel, passenger and freight • improving conditions for non-auto (and non-single-occupant auto) mode services • Passenger Models Are Applied Disaggregately and Are Tour-Based
Interregional Economic Model Aggregate Demographic Model Activity Allocation Model Land Development Model Disaggregate Household Synthesis and Employment Spatial Disaggregation Models Aggregate Commercial Vehicle Model Disaggregate Commercial Vehicle Model Short Distance Travel Model Long Distance Travel Model Visitor Model Assignment Model Ohio Integrated Land Use/Economic/ Transport Model
Passenger Mode Choice Models • Short Distance Tours – Under 50 miles • Walk or Drive to MPO Transit • Long Distance Tours – Inside “Model Area” • Allow all Transit Alternatives • Long Distance Tours – E-E or I-E • Apply “Static” Mode Shares by Distance
Mode Choice High Speed Rail only in future-years 0.65 0.5 0.5 Transit-Drive Transit-Walk HSR-Drive HSR-Walk Auto Air
Highway Including Ohio Turnpike Transit MPO Transit Greyhound Amtrak High Speed Rail Air Freight Highway Rail Networks
Ohio Transit Networks - Local 1098 Local Transit Lines
Greyhound and Amtrak - 2000 55 Greyhound Routes 4 Amtrak Trains Added Links to Connect Greyhound and Amtrak Stations
Air Network • Used 1999 10% Airline Ticket Sample to Select City-Pairs that Have More than 10 Trips/Day • Ft. Wayne – Cvd • Dayton – Cvd • Cincinnati - Cvd
Ohio Hub Study • MWRRI – Completed Update in 2004 • Ohio Hub Study Undertaken to Complement the MWRRI – 2005 with 2007 Update • 2 Scenarios • Modern Scenario – 79 mph speeds • High Speed Scenario – 110 mph speeds
Ohio Hub • Pittsburgh – Cleveland – Toledo – Ft. Wayne • Cleveland – Columbus – Cincinnati • Pittsburgh – Columbus – Ft. Wayne • Columbus – Toledo
Internal Mode Choice • Asserted based on review of literature • Cannot determine access mode from survey
External Mode Choice Increases Air share as a function of distance
2000 Validation Efforts • System Ridership by MPO – Good Data • Greyhound Ridership by City Pair - Annual • Amtrak Ridership by City Pair – Annual
2030 Calibration Efforts • Mode / Line Totals • Passenger Miles / Average Trip Lengths • Annual Passengers by City Pair
Rebekah Anderson – 614-752-5735 Ohio DOT Greg Erhardt – 415-243-4638 Pat Costinett – 206-382-5218 PB