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California Statewide Travel Demand Model

California Statewide Travel Demand Model. California Statewide Travel Demand Model Update . June 17, 2014. Cambridge Systematics. CSTDM Status . All Models have been fully completed Base year validation and sensitivity testing are complete Future Year Forecasts are nearly complete

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California Statewide Travel Demand Model

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  1. California Statewide Travel Demand Model California Statewide Travel Demand Model Update June 17, 2014 Cambridge Systematics

  2. CSTDM Status • All Models have been fully completed • Base year validation and sensitivity testing are complete • Future Year Forecasts are nearly complete • Results and Growth Statistics will be available within two weeks • Horizon Years: • 2015, 2020 (complete) • 2035, 2040, 2050 (in progress) • Documentation is in progress • Expected to be fully completed within one month

  3. Year 2010 Model Validation by Screenline Traffic Counts Difference between Counts and Model CSTDM Forecast (Colors are for each model component)

  4. Highway Assignment Validation Summary NCHRP 255 Standard Modeled Volume

  5. Changes in Population and Employment

  6. Next Steps • For CTP Forecasting, we will start with sensitivity tests • Expand Transit (already tested) • Road User Charges • Congestion Pricing • Increasing occupancies on HOV across the state • Test draft package of policies/strategies • Presentation of initial results to PAC at August Meeting

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