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Transatlantic Era

Online Globalization Model (GLOMOD]. “ Osties ”. “ FSUers ”. Transatlantic Era. East Asians. Muslims. Africans. S&E Asians. Transpacific Era. Chinese. Southeast Asians. Latinos. Africans. Almost all movement is from Developing to Developed. Only region going everywhere = Asians.

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Transatlantic Era

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  1. Online Globalization Model (GLOMOD] “Osties” “FSUers” Transatlantic Era East Asians Muslims Africans S&E Asians Transpacific Era Chinese Southeast Asians Latinos Africans • Almost all movement is from Developing to Developed • Only region going everywhere = Asians People Flows

  2. Online Globalization Model (GLOMOD] Emerging HOT! HOT! Eurozone periphery debt BOTTOM FEEDING West West Emerging US debt Green Tech Interior Rising Asia RACE! • “Equity” resources • Energy • Minerals • Arable land HOT! West Money Flows • Chinese not sitting on reserves • But RMB as reserve currency?

  3. Altering basic flows? GLOMOD And this is true before the revolution in shale gas & “tight oil” (i.e., fracking) begins O&G&C O&G 11.0 O&G Oil & Gas 2/3rds Global Shale Reserves #2 #5 #1 #4 #3 Oil 36.1tcm 24.4 TransPac (Gas) Partnership? O&G PG Oil O&G Oil • In 2005, 60% of US oil • Imported • Latest USG estimate is 35% by 2035 Venezuela Oil & Gas O&G 19.3 Oil Oil & Coal Coal & Gas Brazil Oil • Asia is new global demand center 11.2 Energy Flows • Two biggest consumers (China, US) with most shale gas reserves 21.9

  4. GLOMOD • Only about 10-15% of food crosses borders today • But global food demand increases 50% by 2030 (70% by 2050) North Asia Western Hemisphere Eastern Hemisphere South Brazil Asia ANZ + ABC South Food Flows ANZ

  5. GLOMOD • America’s new National Military Strategy says Asia is future • Arab Spring & state-splitting in Africa say otherwise Security Flows

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