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Facilitating Guidance Development (e.g., host workshops)

Climate Change and Water Working Group Short-Term Water Management Decisions User Needs for Improved Climate, Weather, and Hydrologic Information. WSWC Workshop on Extreme Weather Events: Science, Planning and Preparedness– July 30, 2012, San Diego, CA David Raff, PhD, PE (USACE)

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Facilitating Guidance Development (e.g., host workshops)

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  1. Climate Change and Water Working GroupShort-Term Water Management DecisionsUser Needs for Improved Climate, Weather, and Hydrologic Information WSWC Workshop on Extreme Weather Events: Science, Planning and Preparedness– July 30, 2012, San Diego, CA David Raff, PhD, PE (USACE) Levi Brekke, PhD, PE (Reclamation) Kevin Werner (NOAA-NWS) Andy Wood (NOAA-NWS) Kathleen White (USACE)

  2. Circular 1331 Facilitating Guidance Development (e.g., host workshops) Identifying User Needs and Strategizing Science Response

  3. LTdoc vs. STdoc

  4. A central part of climate change adaptation is doing a better job dealing with Extremes. Salt Lake City Tribune June 2011 New York Times October 2010 October 2010

  5. ST Decisions: They’re interconnected (1) address different objectives, (2) made at different time-resolutions, (3) revisited on different update cycles.

  6. Recursiveness of WRM decision-making influences value of information Monitoring and forecasts of ST climate, weather, and hydrology

  7. STdoc Objectives • Consolidate the Hydroclimate Information Needs of the Water Management Community • Needs related Knowledge, Methods, Tools • …relative to state of Information Services • …and Management use of these Services • Inform the Scientific Community • Teamwork • Flexible and Inclusive

  8. Draft, Preliminary Results Use and Needs Assessment: Questions • What do we use? • Was the product obtained?

  9. Draft, Preliminary Results Use and Needs Assessment: Questions • What do we use? • Was the product obtained? • For cases where the product was obtained, for which outlook resolution(s) does it apply? • … and does it influence outlook-related Decisions?

  10. Draft, Preliminary Results Use and Needs Assessment: Questions • What do we use? • Was the product obtained? • For cases where the product was obtained, for which outlook resolution(s) does it apply? • … and does it influence outlook-related Decisions? • What other products have we piloted, but did not adopt? • Wish List: new products or services?

  11. Draft, Preliminary Results Use and Needs Assessment: Distribution • Ask USACE & Reclamation operations units about their use of NWS, NRCS and USGS products • 16 products considered, monitoring to prediction • USACE: 41 responses (all Divisions represented) • Reclamation: 22 responses (all Regions represented)

  12. Draft, Preliminary Results

  13. Draft, Preliminary Results

  14. Draft, Preliminary Results

  15. Draft, Preliminary Results

  16. Draft, Preliminary Results

  17. Draft, Preliminary Results

  18. Draft, Preliminary Results Pilot/No-Adopt Example • Reclamation (Pacific Northwest response) • longer lead water supply forecasts • ENS0-based, teleconnections-based • Re: ENSO-based: “big busts … in the last ten years” (e.g., 2001) “hard to believe and operate reservoir with this kind of uncertainty” • “anything that can be done to give a more believable outlook of the winter snowpack building period would be useful.”

  19. Identifying Draft Needs • Focused on Operators’ responses to: • What other products have we piloted, but did not adopt? • Wish List: new products or services? • Needs interpreted under four emergent themes: • Monitoring • Forecasting • Understanding on Product Relationships and Utilization in Water Management • Information Services Enterprise

  20. Draft, Preliminary Results Summary of Needs: Monitoring

  21. Draft, Preliminary Results Summary of Needs: Forecasting

  22. Draft, Preliminary Results Summary of Needs: Understanding on Product Relationships and Utilization in Water Management

  23. Draft, Preliminary Results Summary of Needs: Information Services Enterprise

  24. Review and Feedback • Distributed Draft STdoc (www.ccawwg.us) on 23 May 2012; comments received June/July • Responses received from non-Federal entities (or staff*) • Association of State Dam Officials • CA DWR / WSWC (Thanks Jeanine!) • CO WCB • Family Farm Alliance • Northwest Power and Conservation Council (*) • Oregon Water Resources Congress • Salt River Project • Southern Nevada Water Authority (representing MWD, CAP) • Water Utilities Climate Alliance • 5 Federal responses (^ = multiple offices) • NOAA^, Reclamation^, USACE^, EPA, NRCS

  25. Status and Next Steps • Add chapter that summarizes feedback • Less feedback on STdoc than LTdoc … not sure if we plan to synthesize gap “priorities” for the summary chapter. • In any case, we’ll add appendix that contains unaltered feedback, including priorities from respondents who provided them. • Prepare final draft for formatting/editing • Aiming to distribute 30 September 2012

  26. www.ccawwg.usQuestions? • USACE: David Raff (david.a.raff@us.army.mil), Kathleen White • NWS: Kevin Werner (CBRFC), Andy Wood (NWRFC) • Reclamation: Levi Brekke (lbrekke@usbr.gov)

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