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Navy Aviation Building the Future Fleet

Navy Aviation Building the Future Fleet. RDML Michael Manazir (N880) Head, Aviation Programs. NDIA Defense Forum March 12, 2010. NAVAIR Public Release 08-624. Distribution Statement A – “Approved for Public Release, Distribution Unlimited.”. THE BATTLE SPACE.

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Navy Aviation Building the Future Fleet

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  1. Navy Aviation Building the Future Fleet RDML Michael Manazir (N880) Head, Aviation Programs NDIA Defense Forum March 12, 2010

  2. NAVAIR Public Release 08-624. Distribution Statement A – “Approved for Public Release, Distribution Unlimited.” THE BATTLE SPACE BLOS C2 / Data between AVs / CV / CAOC via Wideband SATCOM; Bandwidth / Transmissions restricted in AOR JFACC/CAOC BAMS USAF deep attack forces Carrier Strike Group E-2 CCA Ops with Mesh EMCON NetworkSupporting ADMACS, JPALS Connections Relayed SATCOM and LOS to Directional Anti-Access Network Stubs via UCAS, E-2, OG, BAMS, etc AV-AV-Weapon and Relayed LOS C2 / Data via Directional LPI Anti-Access Network Stubs F-35 CV-Based Mission Control Element Aerial Refueling Tanker / UCAS Local Mesh EMCON Network Ground Forces/SOF

  3. BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT • Trends in the “cost to own and operate” the fleet point to an unaffordable future • Every one of us must proactively drive to continuously reduce total life cycle costs Operational concepts should inform design & integration of ship hull, weapons, and communications systems, mission modules, manning and training plans, and infrastructure requirements. We must understand how these factors individually, and as a whole, impact the cost of our Surface Fleet. - CNO letter of 3 Aug 09 Today’s fiscal environment demands that every dollar invested in sustaining today’s Navy & building tomorrow’s Navy be spent effectively and efficiently Source: N4B Navy Readiness Overview Brief dated 2 February 2010, Mr. Pat Tamburrino

  4. FEDERAL BUDGET 1962-2015 Federal Budget* 2010 ~$3700 B Projection 2010-2015 Veterans’ Benefits Interest 2009 Stimulus Package Social Security Defense Budget 2010 ~$719 B 19% of Total Budget TY $ in B Medicare Medicaid Discretionary Non-Defense Discretionary Defense *Doesn't include undistributed offsets Source: OMB Historical Tables

  5. DEFENSE BUDGET BROKEN OUT BY SERVICE1962-2010 FEDERAL BUDGET 1962-2015 TY $ in B Defense Budget OSD TY $ in B Air Force Navy/USMC Army Source: National Defense Budget Estimates 2009 – Green Book, June 2009

  6. NAE BUDGET PRESSURES Reduced Top Line Due to OCO Budget Transition - RMD adjustments MILCON - Other Corporate Bills PANMC - Fact of Life WPN MPN - Change Proposals OPN OMN SCN TY$(B) RDTE APN Top Line Pressures will cause cuts in RDTE and APN accounts TOC is critical to controlling our costs so that we can afford future war fighting systems

  7. AIRCRAFT TOTAL OWNERSHIP/ LIFE CYCLE COST COMPOSITION PLUS PLUS PLUS PLUS PLUS • Tech Data • Initial • RDT&E • Operating • Common • Management • Pubs Spares • Facility & Support Spares/ • Hardware • CSS Construc - (Includes Support • ECOs • Support tion Operating Items RECURRING Equip Production • Infrastruc - FLYAWAY • Training Support) ture Cost for Equip • Disposal Planning, • Factory Managing, PLUS Training Operating, • Non - recurring and • Ancillary Equip Executing • Linked FLYAWAY COST Indirect Costs WEAPON SYSTEM COST • Modification PROCUREMENT COST Improve - ments ACQUISITION COST LIFE CYCLE COST TOTAL OWNERSHIP COST Reducing TOC is a major initiative within the Navy

  8. NAVAL AVIATION TYPICALLIFE CYCLE COST DISTRIBUTION R&D PRODUCTION O&S 46% 44% 10% PERCENTAGES BASED ON CARRIER AIR WING STUDY • STUDY COVERED 50 YEAR CYCLE • ASSUMED 75 AIRCRAFT WING MAKE UP • 25 YEAR LIFE CYCLE • REPLACEMENT AIRCRAFT DEVELOPED & FIELDED AFTER 25 YEARS DESIGN INFLUENCES TO REDUCE TOC (INCLUDING PRODUCTION AND O&S) COST DEVELOP BUSINESS MODEL FOR SUPPORT STRATEGY (INCLUDING PBL) A B C ENG AND MFG DEV (EMD) PRODUCTION DEVELOPMENT OPERATION & SUPPORT CONCEPTREFINE- MENT TECH DEV Ability to reduce/ influence TOC (including production and O&S) costs decreases over time NOTE: PERCENTS VARY BY T/M/S BUT ARE GENERALLY ARE IN THE RANGE SHOWN ABOVE

  9. PROGRAM DEFINITION UNCERTAINTY vs. TIME 10% Development 46% Production 44% O&S Pre Systems Acquisition Systems Acquisition Sustainment Pre Systems Acquisition Concept Refinement Concept Refinement Systems Development & Demonstration Cost, Technical, and Programmatic Uncertainty Production & Deployment Operations & Support A B C IOC FOC Disposal 70-75% OF COST DECISION HAVE BEEN MADE 85% OF COST DECISIONS MADE 90-95% OF COST DECISIONS MADE 95% OF COST DECISIONS MADE Ability to influence TOC reduces over time

  10. FUTURE CARRIER AIR WING NOTIONAL CVW OF THE FUTURE COMPRISED OF: • 44 STRIKE FIGHTER (F/A-18, JSF) AIRCRAFT • 5 EA-18G AIRBORNE ELECTRONIC ATTACK (AEA) AIRCRAFT • 5 E-2D ADVANCED HAWKEYE AIRCRAFT • 19 MH-60R/S HELOS (11 ON THE CARRIER/8 DISPERSED THROUGH THE CSG) • 2 CARRIER ONBOARD DELIVERY (COD) AIRCRAFT AUGMENT THE ENTIRE CSG

  11. 3 PRIMARY TOC CHALLENGES 1. Life Cycle Costs are set early • Understanding and influencing the cost drivers are essential • Need to increase the focus on TOC at every decision point 2. The majority of the 2020 Battle Force exists today • Platforms must achieve their expected service life • 222 of today's 285 ships are required in 2020 3. Life cycle costs of next generation systems must be more fully understood • Increased fidelity of sustainment strategies is essential • The F-35 challenge is representative of the future Think strategically about how to reduce the cost of doing business without compromising warfighting effectiveness Source: N4B Navy Readiness Overview Brief dated 2 February 2010, Mr. Pat Tamburrino

  12. WAY AHEAD • Think well past the POM/PR…Create and exploit every opportunity to reduce cost • Develop Catalog of Initiatives that Reduce TOC • Build base of unfunded affordability initiatives with ROI potential • Develop TOC Performance Capture Methodology • Identify data sources with fidelity to facilitate senior leadership decision making Source: N4B Navy Readiness Overview Brief dated 2 February 2010, Mr. Pat Tamburrino

  13. DISCUSSION

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