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North Central Texas Thinking Ahead

North Central Texas Thinking Ahead. Donna Coggeshall North Central Texas Council of Governments. Population: Past, Present, and Future. 2010: 6.4 million. 2040: 10.5 million. 1900: 0.4 million. Figures are for the 12-county MPA. Development Form. 2005 – 2040 Growth. 12-County Area.

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North Central Texas Thinking Ahead

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  1. North Central TexasThinking Ahead Donna Coggeshall North Central Texas Council of Governments

  2. Population: Past, Present, and Future 2010: 6.4 million 2040: 10.5 million 1900: 0.4 million Figures are for the 12-county MPA

  3. Development Form

  4. 2005 – 2040 Growth 12-County Area compound annual growth rate: 1.7% The 12-County Area includes Collin, Dallas, Denton, Ellis, Hood, Hunt, Johnson, Kaufman, Parker, Rockwall, Tarrant, and Wise Counties Population figures do not include people living in group quarter such as jail, dorms, or nursing homes.

  5. 2005 – 2040 Growth 12-County Area Source: NCTCOG 2040 Demographic Forecast

  6. 2005 – 2040 Growth County share of projected population growth 0.9% 18.3% 1.7% 12.6% Wise Collin Denton 2.7% Hunt Rockwall 2.3% 20.8% 30.5% 2.6% Parker Tarrant Dallas 1.6% 3.2% Kaufman 2.9% Hood Johnson Ellis Source: NCTCOG 2040 Demographic Forecast

  7. 2005 – 2040 Growth County share of projected employment growth 1.1% 12.6% 1.5% 8.7% Wise Collin Denton 1.4% Hunt Rockwall 2.1% 36.7% 27.5% 1.9% Parker Tarrant Dallas 0.8% 3.1% Kaufman 2.6% Hood Johnson Ellis Source: NCTCOG 2040 Demographic Forecast

  8. Collin Projections Summarized by Market Wise Denton Hunt Tarrant Parker Rockwall Dallas Johnson Hood Ellis Kaufman

  9. 2005-2040 Population Growth Source: NCTCOG 2040 Demographic Forecast

  10. 2005-2040 Population Growth Alliance/North Fort Worth McKinney Frisco/Legacy Las Colinas Western Tarrant County Southeastern Tarrant County

  11. Collin Projections Summarized by Market Wise Denton Hunt Tarrant Parker Rockwall Dallas Johnson Hood Ellis Kaufman

  12. 2005-2040 Employment Growth Source: NCTCOG 2040 Demographic Forecast

  13. 2005-2040 Employment Growth Las Colinas Brookhollow/Central Stemmons 190/DNT North Central Corridor Dallas CBD/ Baylor/Uptown I-20

  14. Development Form 2040 2005 Source: NCTCOG 2040 Demographic Forecast

  15. What Does It Mean? 44 new hospitals 1,100 new schools 350 new neighborhood retail centers 1 million new homes 14 new malls 70 million more sq ft of class A office space 470,000 new multi-family units Mobility 2035

  16. For More Information: www.nctcog.org Donna Coggeshall 817-695-9168 dcoggeshall@nctcog.org

  17. Economy

  18. Economic Ranking - GDP (millions of current dollars) Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis

  19. Economic Recessions Source: National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., http://www.nber.org/cycles/cyclesmain.html

  20. Unemployment Rate Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

  21. DFW Major Employers Source: NCTCOG Development Monitoring Program

  22. Tarrant County Major Employers Source: NCTCOG Development Monitoring Program

  23. State Data Center Projections

  24. A More Diverse Region Source: Texas State Data Center

  25. And a more Mature One Source: Texas State Data Center

  26. Tarrant County Population Projection Scenarios Zero net migration (0.0) assumes that immigration and outmigration are equal. Lowered migration (0.5) assumes net migration rates that are one-half those experienced in the 1990s. Unchanged migration (1.0) assumes that trends in age, sex and race/ethnicity experienced in the 1990s will continue. Recent migration trend (2000-2007) takes into account post-2000 trends in migration rates, age, sex, and race/ethnicity composition. Source: Texas State Data Center

  27. Tarrant County Population Projections Source: Texas State Data Center

  28. Tarrant County Age Structure Projections Source: Texas State Data Center

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